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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 120-104
28-17 33-26 28-33 31-28
Position#17
Record3-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game104.1
Allowed / game108.2
vs
Position#29
Record3-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game108.4
Allowed / game115.6
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
107-102
107
102
+5
102avg 94
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-115 OT
113
115
-2
99avg 94
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
102-105
102
105
-3
88avg 94
A31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
102-99
102
99
+3
97avg 94
A04/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
86-103
86
103
-17
66avg 94
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
123-107
123
107
+16
117avg 94
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
107-108
107
108
-1
106avg 94
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
101-125
101
125
-24
89avg 94
H11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
95-106
95
106
-11
80avg 94
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
105-112
105
112
-7
90avg 94
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
30-24
25-29
22-25
28-33
26-29
34-19
16-23
24-33
25-29
35-26
18-17
25-37
30-24
33-14
14-24
12-29
32-22
23-26
19-26
42-23
35-29
26-31
20-24
26-26
30-30
20-23
31-29
19-38
32-27
24-34
26-26
21-36
28-21
22-23
24-26
28-20
29-30
15-36
33-26
212.3Avg total
104.1Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)104.1108.2212.3-4.130%
Season at home (3)103.0115.3218.3-12.30%
Season away (7)104.6105.1209.7-0.643%
Last 10 (10)104.1108.2212.3-4.130%
Last 5 (5)106.2111.6217.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)98.7112.1210.8-13.422%
vs Similar (19)105.5105.5211.0+0.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)110.0104.0214.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
110-113 OT
110
113
-3
89avg 90
A29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
100-106
100
106
-6
87avg 90
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
98-116
98
116
-18
85avg 90
A01/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
118-115 OT
118
115
+3
102avg 90
H03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
112-111 OT
112
111
+1
103avg 90
A05/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
108-119
108
119
-11
92avg 90
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
121-124
121
124
-3
109avg 90
A09/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
107-100
107
100
+7
99avg 90
H10/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
104-122
104
122
-18
87avg 90
H13/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
120-133
120
133
-13
111avg 90
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-25
13-24
30-28
19-25
30-22
27-33
21-26
22-25
24-24
12-24
34-34
28-34
28-28
29-25
19-20
27-30
30-29
28-32
23-18
21-23
15-23
28-31
33-29
32-36
25-42
30-21
27-26
39-35
19-28
35-23
27-25
26-24
21-23
24-35
38-32
21-32
32-28
27-34
33-37
28-34
225.7Avg total
109.8Scored
115.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)108.4115.6224.0-7.327%
Season at home (5)104.6111.2215.8-6.640%
Season away (6)111.5119.3230.8-7.817%
Last 10 (10)109.8115.9225.7-6.130%
Last 5 (5)112.0119.6231.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)103.9110.9214.8-7.124%
vs Similar (13)104.8110.7215.5-5.938%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A04/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
77-52
77
52
+25
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A14/11
NBA
111.6Avg total
55.2Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.153.6107.6+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.953.3106.2-0.446%-
Last 30 away (17)54.953.8108.7+1.235%-
Last 10 (10)55.256.4111.6-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)58.056.0114.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)51.455.6107.0-4.111%-
vs Similar (19)55.253.5108.6+1.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)55.545.5101.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A01/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A05/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A09/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H10/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H13/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A14/11
NBA
107.1Avg total
51.7Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.553.4102.9-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.253.2101.4-5.043%-
Last 30 away (16)50.653.6104.2-3.025%-
Last 10 (10)51.755.4107.1-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)51.257.6108.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)50.853.8104.5-3.041%-
vs Similar (13)47.853.0100.8-5.223%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 104.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.927.7
45.5%
50.2%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.0
35.6%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws28.221.7
77.0%
77.0%21.7
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.633.7
48.4%
50.2%67.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.8
30.1%
35.7%20.4
🏀 Free throws28.422.0
77.5%
77.0%22.0
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLLLWLWLLW
Phoenix Suns
LLWLLWWLLL
#17
League position
#29
-4.0
Net rating
-5.6
101.2
Offensive rating
101.0
105.1
Defensive rating
106.6
47.8%
Effective FG%
47.6%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
13.7%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.6%
3-point %
30.1%
51.0%
Assist %
47.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 101.0Defence105.1 · 106.6Shooting47.8% · 47.6%3-point %35.6% · 30.1%Ball care16.9% · 13.7%Off. rebounds28.4% · 23.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/16APortland Trail Blazers105-112
13/11/16HDetroit Pistons95-106
11/11/16HGolden State Warriors101-125
09/11/16AMemphis Grizzlies107-108
07/11/16ABoston Celtics123-107
05/11/16ADetroit Pistons86-103
04/11/16AMinnesota Timberwolves102-99
31/10/16AToronto Raptors102-105
30/10/16HPortland Trail Blazers113-115 OT
27/10/16ANew Orleans Pelicans107-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/16AGolden State Warriors120-133
13/11/16HBrooklyn Nets104-122
10/11/16HDetroit Pistons107-100
09/11/16APortland Trail Blazers121-124
07/11/16ALos Angeles Lakers108-119
05/11/16ANew Orleans Pelicans112-111 OT
03/11/16HPortland Trail Blazers118-115 OT
01/11/16ALos Angeles Clippers98-116
30/10/16HGolden State Warriors100-106
29/10/16AOklahoma City Thunder110-113 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %30%0%43%
Points / game104.1103.0104.6
Allowed / game108.2115.3105.1
Point differential-4.1-12.3-0.6
Avg total212.3218.3209.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %10%33%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game108.4104.6111.5
Allowed / game115.6111.2119.3
Point differential-7.3-6.6-7.8
Avg total224.0215.8230.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %27%20%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Clippers1110191%108.892.2+16.6
2 Atlanta Hawks119282%107.898.2+9.6
3 Golden State Warriors119282%117.4109.4+8.0
4 Cleveland Cavaliers119282%109.0103.5+5.5
5 San Antonio Spurs118373%101.296.1+5.1
6 Charlotte Hornets107370%105.599.8+5.7
7 Chicago Bulls117464%106.899.6+7.2
8 Toronto Raptors117464%107.8103.7+4.1
9 Utah Jazz127558%97.593.8+3.7
10 Los Angeles Lakers127558%110.0108.4+1.6
11 Oklahoma City Thunder127558%103.2102.8+0.5
12 Portland Trail Blazers127558%107.0111.2-4.2
13 Houston Rockets116555%107.4104.8+2.5
14 Boston Celtics116555%106.3105.8+0.5
15 Detroit Pistons126650%98.696.9+1.7
16 Milwaukee Bucks105550%103.5102.5+1.0
17 Indiana Pacers126650%106.2106.8-0.6
18 Memphis Grizzlies105550%97.5101.9-4.4
19 New York Knicks115645%101.4106.1-4.7
20 Orlando Magic125742%92.3100.9-8.6
21 Sacramento Kings114736%99.8103.6-3.8
22 Brooklyn Nets114736%106.4110.9-4.5
23 Minnesota Timberwolves103730%107.9106.1+1.8
24 Denver Nuggets103730%104.1108.2-4.1
25 Phoenix Suns113827%108.4115.6-7.3
26 Miami Heat102820%94.497.5-3.1
27 Washington Wizards102820%100.1104.6-4.5
28 Dallas Mavericks102820%93.7100.2-6.5
29 Philadelphia 76ers112918%96.8108.3-11.5
30 New Orleans Pelicans1221017%100.1107.4-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets28332831120
Phoenix Suns17263328104
← all games of the day
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