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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 103-106
32-34 17-26 29-27 25-19
Position#6
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game118.4
Allowed / game111.3
vs
Position#3
Record4-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game105.0
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
114-106
114
106
+8
no box
H23/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
108-114
108
114
-6
no box
H25/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
107-117
107
117
-10
92avg 106
A27/09
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
105-107
105
107
-2
91avg 106
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
126-95
126
95
+31
136avg 106
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
129-96
129
96
+33
126avg 106
H19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
122-124 OT
122
124
-2
113avg 106
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
108-121
108
121
-13
96avg 106
H26/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
124-111
124
111
+13
124avg 106
H29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
115-125
115
125
-10
113avg 106
A30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
34-26
30-22
21-31
30-37
25-23
29-27
24-27
30-33
21-28
33-26
23-30
23-31
27-30
27-23
28-23
41-24
28-26
21-20
36-25
41-23
38-25
28-27
22-21
31-25
29-28
24-36
28-23
26-32
29-40
24-26
29-23
36-26
34-34
36-23
18-28
34-32
28-42
38-22
15-29
227.4Avg total
115.8Scored
111.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)118.4111.3229.7+7.143%
Season at home (5)121.8109.4231.2+12.460%
Season away (2)110.0116.0226.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)115.8111.6227.4+4.240%
Last 5 (5)119.6115.4235.0+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)107.5110.3217.8-2.933%
vs Similar ◀ (12)114.3112.1226.4+2.258%
vs Weaker (3)120.3120.0240.3+0.333%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
128-102
128
102
+26
130avg 106
H13/08
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
105-119
105
119
-14
95avg 106
A13/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
92-111
92
111
-19
73avg 106
A15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
107-112
107
112
-5
99avg 106
H17/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
113-114
113
114
-1
109avg 106
H19/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
106-102
106
102
+4
101avg 106
H24/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
103-106
103
106
-3
87avg 106
A27/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
116-100
116
100
+16
114avg 106
A28/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
111-86
111
86
+25
105avg 106
H30/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
106-95
106
95
+11
101avg 106
A01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-25
40-32
28-22
24-23
26-33
25-29
32-25
22-32
15-19
33-30
22-38
22-24
25-21
19-32
39-16
24-43
39-21
30-35
23-35
21-23
23-22
30-23
24-26
29-31
25-31
29-27
25-25
24-23
28-33
28-20
34-25
26-22
31-29
35-15
34-17
11-25
21-22
32-18
30-30
23-25
213.4Avg total
108.7Scored
104.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)106.6105.0211.6+1.644%
Season at home (4)109.2103.5212.8+5.850%
Season away (5)104.4106.2210.6-1.840%
Last 10 (10)108.7104.7213.4+4.050%
Last 5 (5)108.497.8206.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)112.0116.0228.0-4.043%
vs Similar ◀ (18)114.0108.5222.5+5.567%
vs Weaker (5)110.8103.8214.6+7.060%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -4.5-4.5
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H23/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H25/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A27/09
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
79-48
79
48
+31
H19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-72
55
72
-17
H26/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A30/12
NBA
120.6Avg total
61.4Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.258.4114.6-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.255.6112.8+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)55.061.7116.7-6.721%-
Last 10 (10)61.459.2120.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)65.261.4126.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)54.158.7112.9-4.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)56.857.1113.8-0.350%-
vs Weaker (3)64.062.3126.3+1.767%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H13/08
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A13/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H17/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H19/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H24/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A27/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A28/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
66-44
66
44
+22
H30/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A01/01
NBA
108.7Avg total
57.0Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.655.8114.5+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.056.3118.3+5.780%-
Last 30 away (15)55.355.3110.6-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)57.051.7108.7+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)56.448.0104.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)60.760.0120.7+0.757%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)57.054.8111.8+2.256%-
vs Weaker (5)61.653.6115.2+8.080%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.530.4
56.8%
52.8%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.7
35.9%
36.6%35.1
🏀 Free throws26.019.9
76.5%
77.7%19.9
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 108.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.427.0
52.5%
52.8%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.613.5
36.9%
36.6%40.5
🏀 Free throws18.014.2
78.9%
77.7%14.2
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWWLLLW
Phoenix Suns
WWWLWLLLLW
#6
League position
#3
+4.5
Net rating
+4.0
112.5
Offensive rating
107.6
108.1
Defensive rating
103.6
55.7%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
14.9%
Turnover %
13.5%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
18.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
35.9%
3-point %
36.9%
64.4%
Assist %
62.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 107.6Defence108.1 · 103.6Shooting55.7% · 53.7%3-point %35.9% · 36.9%Ball care14.9% · 13.5%Off. rebounds25.4% · 18.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/20ASacramento Kings115-125
29/12/20HHouston Rockets124-111
26/12/20HLos Angeles Clippers108-121
24/12/20HSacramento Kings122-124 OT
19/12/20HPortland Trail Blazers129-96
17/12/20HPortland Trail Blazers126-95
13/12/20AGolden State Warriors105-107
27/09/20ALos Angeles Lakers107-117
25/09/20HLos Angeles Lakers108-114
23/09/20HLos Angeles Lakers114-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/21AUtah Jazz106-95
30/12/20HNew Orleans Pelicans111-86
28/12/20ASacramento Kings116-100
27/12/20ASacramento Kings103-106
24/12/20HDallas Mavericks106-102
19/12/20HLos Angeles Lakers113-114
17/12/20HLos Angeles Lakers107-112
15/12/20AUtah Jazz92-111
13/12/20AUtah Jazz105-119
13/08/20HDallas Mavericks128-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%60%0%
Points / game118.4121.8110.0
Allowed / game111.3109.4116.0
Point differential+7.1+12.4-6.0
Avg total229.7231.2226.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%20%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW44%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game106.6109.2104.4
Allowed / game105.0103.5106.2
Point differential+1.6+5.8-1.8
Avg total211.6212.8210.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philadelphia 76ers76186%107.6100.7+6.9
2 Los Angeles Lakers108280%115.5105.4+10.1
3 Utah Jazz75271%113.0104.7+8.3
4 New Orleans Pelicans75271%107.0100.1+6.9
5 Atlanta Hawks96367%120.0116.0+4.0
6 Orlando Magic96367%114.6114.6+0.0
7 Brooklyn Nets85362%117.0109.2+7.8
8 Houston Rockets74357%116.4111.9+4.6
9 Golden State Warriors74357%110.9117.3-6.4
10 Memphis Grizzlies95456%115.1112.8+2.3
11 New York Knicks95456%100.498.3+2.1
12 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%105.7107.8-2.1
13 Sacramento Kings95456%112.9115.2-2.3
14 Dallas Mavericks84450%112.5107.6+4.9
15 Indiana Pacers84450%112.6108.9+3.8
16 Chicago Bulls105550%111.9116.3-4.4
17 Los Angeles Clippers84450%106.8111.2-4.5
18 Phoenix Suns94544%106.6105.0+1.6
19 Denver Nuggets73443%118.4111.3+7.1
20 Toronto Raptors73443%104.9105.9-1.0
21 Miami Heat73443%103.7110.7-7.0
22 Boston Celtics83538%105.9110.9-5.0
23 Minnesota Timberwolves83538%108.2118.8-10.5
24 Portland Trail Blazers83538%109.0119.9-10.9
25 Milwaukee Bucks93633%119.3114.4+4.9
26 Charlotte Hornets93633%109.7111.0-1.3
27 Detroit Pistons93633%102.0104.7-2.7
28 Oklahoma City Thunder72529%104.6112.1-7.6
29 San Antonio Spurs82625%108.4115.2-6.9
30 Washington Wizards92722%111.8114.7-2.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets32172925103
Phoenix Suns34262719106
← all games of the day
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