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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 May 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 118-102
35-24 17-25 39-25 27-28
Position#2
Record59-32
FormWWWLL
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game112.0
vs
Position#9
Record51-40
FormWLLWW
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game111.9
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
109-95
109
95
+14
107avg 111
H09/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
109-80
109
80
+29
104avg 111
H17/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
122-113
122
113
+9
115avg 111
H20/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
120-111
120
111
+9
122avg 111
A22/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
94avg 111
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
112-109
112
109
+3
103avg 111
H26/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
125-107
125
107
+18
113avg 111
H30/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
97-87
97
87
+10
91avg 111
H02/05
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
114-121
114
121
-7
106avg 111
A06/05
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
124-129
124
129
-5
115avg 111
A08/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-43
33-24
24-14
26-14
26-23
29-21
32-14
22-22
31-22
33-27
23-40
35-24
28-28
33-27
33-33
26-23
22-23
30-25
22-32
22-16
22-29
26-18
29-30
35-32
31-32
37-19
26-30
31-26
18-21
22-21
30-31
27-14
31-29
21-38
36-23
26-31
34-32
27-31
31-35
32-31
220.6Avg total
114.0Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (91)115.7112.0227.7+3.765%
Season at home (46)118.7108.5227.2+10.285%
Season away (45)112.6115.6228.2-3.044%
Last 10 (10)114.0106.6220.6+7.470%
Last 5 (5)114.4110.6225.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)110.6110.0220.6+0.650%
vs Weaker (14)117.1111.5228.6+5.664%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
114-119
114
119
-5
103avg 106
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
110-115
110
115
-5
105avg 106
H17/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
123-109
123
109
+14
122avg 106
H19/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
129-124
129
124
+5
116avg 106
A21/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
112-100
112
100
+12
109avg 106
A22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
136-130
136
130
+6
133avg 106
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
107-125
107
125
-18
97avg 106
A30/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
87-97
87
97
-10
71avg 106
A02/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
121-114
121
114
+7
110avg 106
H06/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
129-124
129
124
+5
127avg 106
H08/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
25-29
33-34
28-37
18-30
36-29
27-22
29-34
24-29
35-30
33-28
31-22
27-27
27-24
40-34
35-39
23-30
25-17
35-31
29-22
32-30
29-40
50-24
25-36
32-31
19-37
30-26
26-31
21-18
21-22
31-30
14-27
29-31
38-21
23-36
31-26
32-34
31-27
35-31
31-32
232.5Avg total
116.8Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (91)114.0111.9225.9+2.056%
Season at home (46)115.2110.2225.4+4.970%
Season away (45)112.8113.7226.5-0.942%
Last 10 (10)116.8115.7232.5+1.160%
Last 5 (5)116.0118.0234.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (27)116.7114.6231.4+2.156%
vs Weaker (3)112.099.3211.3+12.7100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -2.7-2.7
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H09/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H17/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H20/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A22/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H26/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H30/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H02/05
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A06/05
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A08/05
NBA
109.3Avg total
56.0Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.557.0114.6+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.754.9111.6+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)58.359.2117.5-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)56.053.3109.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)53.854.0107.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)55.059.0114.0-4.025%-
vs Weaker (14)60.454.8115.2+5.671%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H17/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H19/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A21/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A30/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H06/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H08/05
NBA
110.7Avg total
55.2Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.655.8113.4+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.555.5114.1+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)56.756.1112.8+0.760%-
Last 10 (10)55.255.5110.7-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)56.858.2115.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (27)57.056.4113.5+0.656%-
vs Weaker (3)63.050.0113.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.032.0
55.2%
54.5%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.0
35.9%
35.8%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.417.0
79.4%
78.1%17.0
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.134.3
55.2%
54.5%68.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.7
36.5%
35.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws23.519.1
81.3%
78.1%19.1
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWLWWWW
Phoenix Suns
WWLLWWWWLL
#2
League position
#9
+7.6
Net rating
+1.1
116.5
Offensive rating
116.6
109.0
Defensive rating
115.5
54.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
11.4%
Turnover %
10.8%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.9%
3-point %
36.5%
57.2%
Assist %
58.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 116.6Defence109.0 · 115.5Shooting54.7% · 55.1%3-point %35.9% · 36.5%Ball care11.4% · 10.8%Off. rebounds27.7% · 25.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/23APhoenix Suns124-129
06/05/23APhoenix Suns114-121
02/05/23HPhoenix Suns97-87
30/04/23HPhoenix Suns125-107
26/04/23HMinnesota Timberwolves112-109
24/04/23AMinnesota Timberwolves108-114 OT
22/04/23AMinnesota Timberwolves120-111
20/04/23HMinnesota Timberwolves122-113
17/04/23HMinnesota Timberwolves109-80
09/04/23HSacramento Kings109-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/23HDenver Nuggets129-124
06/05/23HDenver Nuggets121-114
02/05/23ADenver Nuggets87-97
30/04/23ADenver Nuggets107-125
26/04/23HLos Angeles Clippers136-130
22/04/23ALos Angeles Clippers112-100
21/04/23ALos Angeles Clippers129-124
19/04/23HLos Angeles Clippers123-109
17/04/23HLos Angeles Clippers110-115
09/04/23HLos Angeles Clippers114-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL65%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games914645
Win %65%85%44%
Points / game115.7118.7112.6
Allowed / game112.0108.5115.6
Point differential+3.7+10.2-3.0
Avg total227.7227.2228.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%52%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (27)69% (16)64% (11)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayLWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games914645
Win %56%70%42%
Points / game114.0115.2112.8
Allowed / game111.9110.2113.7
Point differential+2.0+4.9-0.9
Avg total225.9225.4226.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (28)60% (15)31% (13)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks87592868%117.0113.9+3.1
2 Boston Celtics93633068%117.9111.5+6.4
3 Philadelphia 76ers91613067%114.3110.2+4.1
4 Denver Nuggets91593265%115.7112.0+3.7
5 Memphis Grizzlies88533560%116.1112.9+3.2
6 Cleveland Cavaliers87523560%111.2106.5+4.8
7 Sacramento Kings89513857%120.2117.9+2.3
8 New York Knicks91523957%114.4111.8+2.6
9 Phoenix Suns91514056%114.0111.9+2.0
10 Miami Heat93524156%110.0109.7+0.3
11 Los Angeles Lakers93514255%116.5115.4+1.2
12 Golden State Warriors93494453%118.3116.7+1.6
13 Brooklyn Nets86454152%112.4112.1+0.3
14 Los Angeles Clippers87454252%113.7113.6+0.1
15 New Orleans Pelicans83424151%114.4112.6+1.8
16 Atlanta Hawks89444549%118.2118.2+0.0
17 Minnesota Timberwolves89444549%115.1115.4-0.3
18 Toronto Raptors83414249%112.8111.3+1.4
19 Chicago Bulls84414349%112.8111.6+1.2
20 Oklahoma City Thunder84414349%117.3116.5+0.8
21 Dallas Mavericks82384446%114.2114.1+0.1
22 Utah Jazz82374545%117.1118.0-0.9
23 Washington Wizards82354743%113.2114.4-1.2
24 Indiana Pacers82354743%116.3119.5-3.2
25 Orlando Magic82344841%111.4114.0-2.6
26 Portland Trail Blazers82334940%113.4117.4-4.0
27 Charlotte Hornets82275533%111.0117.2-6.2
28 Houston Rockets82226027%110.7118.6-7.9
29 San Antonio Spurs82226027%113.0123.1-10.0
30 Detroit Pistons82176521%110.3118.5-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets35173927118
Phoenix Suns24252528102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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