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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 125-107
31-32 37-19 26-30 31-26
Position#2
Record57-30
FormWWWLW
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game112.1
vs
Position#9
Record49-38
FormLWWWW
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game111.8
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
112-110
112
110
+2
99avg 112
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
103-124
103
124
-21
97avg 112
A05/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
115-119
115
119
-4
109avg 112
A07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
114-118
114
118
-4
108avg 112
A08/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
109-95
109
95
+14
107avg 112
H09/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
109-80
109
80
+29
104avg 112
H17/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
122-113
122
113
+9
115avg 112
H20/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
120-111
120
111
+9
122avg 112
A22/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
94avg 112
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
112-109
112
109
+3
103avg 112
H26/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-36
32-25
31-26
23-23
30-31
29-25
26-30
18-38
25-27
30-29
31-33
29-30
19-32
36-26
40-31
19-29
26-43
33-24
24-14
26-14
26-23
29-21
32-14
22-22
31-22
33-27
23-40
35-24
28-28
33-27
33-33
26-23
22-23
30-25
22-32
22-16
22-29
26-18
29-30
35-32
221.7Avg total
112.4Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (87)115.7112.1227.8+3.666%
Season at home (44)119.0109.0228.0+10.084%
Season away (43)112.3115.2227.5-2.947%
Last 10 (10)112.4109.3221.7+3.160%
Last 5 (5)114.2105.4219.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)108.4109.8218.2-1.450%
vs Weaker (16)116.9111.1228.0+5.869%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
128-118
128
118
+10
128avg 107
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
115-94
115
94
+21
113avg 107
H05/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
119-115
119
115
+4
113avg 107
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
107-121
107
121
-14
90avg 107
A08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
114-119
114
119
-5
103avg 107
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
110-115
110
115
-5
105avg 107
H17/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
123-109
123
109
+14
122avg 107
H19/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
129-124
129
124
+5
116avg 107
A21/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
112-100
112
100
+12
109avg 107
A22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
136-130
136
130
+6
133avg 107
H26/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
42-28
29-34
30-29
42-25
27-26
28-25
18-18
27-25
29-30
33-31
30-29
34-30
28-31
27-35
18-25
28-19
25-29
33-34
28-37
18-30
36-29
27-22
29-34
24-29
35-30
33-28
31-22
27-27
27-24
40-34
35-39
23-30
25-17
35-31
29-22
32-30
29-40
50-24
25-36
233.8Avg total
119.3Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (87)114.1111.8225.9+2.356%
Season at home (44)114.7109.8224.5+4.968%
Season away (43)113.5113.8227.3-0.344%
Last 10 (10)119.3114.5233.8+4.870%
Last 5 (5)122.0115.6237.6+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (26)117.7114.4232.1+3.258%
vs Weaker (4)113.2100.5213.8+12.8100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A05/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A08/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H09/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H17/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H20/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A22/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H26/04
NBA
110.7Avg total
56.6Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.657.2114.9+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.455.3112.7+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)57.858.9116.8-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)56.654.1110.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)56.048.6104.6+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)54.160.3114.4-6.221%-
vs Weaker (16)60.854.6115.3+6.275%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H05/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H17/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H19/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A21/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H26/04
NBA
114.1Avg total
58.5Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.255.7113.9+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.955.8113.7+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)58.455.7114.1+2.764%-
Last 10 (10)58.555.6114.1+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)55.257.2112.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (26)57.556.7114.3+0.854%-
vs Weaker (4)62.249.2111.5+13.0100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.531.0
55.9%
54.5%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.811.3
34.5%
35.8%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.716.5
76.0%
78.1%16.5
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 119.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.132.7
55.3%
54.5%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.1
37.8%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws25.920.6
79.5%
78.1%20.6
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWLLLW
Phoenix Suns
WWWWLLLWWW
#2
League position
#9
+3.1
Net rating
+4.8
112.7
Offensive rating
118.2
109.6
Defensive rating
113.5
54.3%
Effective FG%
55.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
13.0%
Turnover %
10.6%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.5%
3-point %
37.8%
60.5%
Assist %
61.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 118.2Defence109.6 · 113.5Shooting54.3% · 55.8%3-point %34.5% · 37.8%Ball care13.0% · 10.6%Off. rebounds25.8% · 25.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/23HMinnesota Timberwolves112-109
24/04/23AMinnesota Timberwolves108-114 OT
22/04/23AMinnesota Timberwolves120-111
20/04/23HMinnesota Timberwolves122-113
17/04/23HMinnesota Timberwolves109-80
09/04/23HSacramento Kings109-95
08/04/23AUtah Jazz114-118
07/04/23APhoenix Suns115-119
05/04/23AHouston Rockets103-124
03/04/23HGolden State Warriors112-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/23HLos Angeles Clippers136-130
22/04/23ALos Angeles Clippers112-100
21/04/23ALos Angeles Clippers129-124
19/04/23HLos Angeles Clippers123-109
17/04/23HLos Angeles Clippers110-115
09/04/23HLos Angeles Clippers114-119
08/04/23ALos Angeles Lakers107-121
07/04/23HDenver Nuggets119-115
05/04/23HSan Antonio Spurs115-94
02/04/23AOklahoma City Thunder128-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW66%
HomeWWWWW84%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games874443
Win %66%84%47%
Points / game115.7119.0112.3
Allowed / game112.1109.0115.2
Point differential+3.6+10.0-2.9
Avg total227.8228.0227.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (26)69% (16)70% (10)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeWLLWW68%
AwayWWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games874443
Win %56%68%44%
Points / game114.1114.7113.5
Allowed / game111.8109.8113.8
Point differential+2.3+4.9-0.3
Avg total225.9224.5227.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%34%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (27)57% (14)31% (13)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics88612769%118.2111.7+6.4
2 Milwaukee Bucks87592868%117.0113.9+3.1
3 Philadelphia 76ers86582867%114.7110.0+4.6
4 Denver Nuggets87573066%115.7112.1+3.6
5 Memphis Grizzlies88533560%116.1112.9+3.2
6 Cleveland Cavaliers87523560%111.2106.5+4.8
7 New York Knicks87513659%115.1112.0+3.1
8 Sacramento Kings88513758%120.4117.9+2.5
9 Phoenix Suns87493856%114.1111.8+2.3
10 Miami Heat89494055%110.2110.2+0.0
11 Los Angeles Lakers89484154%116.7115.6+1.1
12 Golden State Warriors88474153%118.7117.1+1.6
13 Brooklyn Nets86454152%112.4112.1+0.3
14 Los Angeles Clippers87454252%113.7113.6+0.1
15 New Orleans Pelicans83424151%114.4112.6+1.8
16 Atlanta Hawks89444549%118.2118.2+0.0
17 Minnesota Timberwolves89444549%115.1115.4-0.3
18 Toronto Raptors83414249%112.8111.3+1.4
19 Chicago Bulls84414349%112.8111.6+1.2
20 Oklahoma City Thunder84414349%117.3116.5+0.8
21 Dallas Mavericks82384446%114.2114.1+0.1
22 Utah Jazz82374545%117.1118.0-0.9
23 Washington Wizards82354743%113.2114.4-1.2
24 Indiana Pacers82354743%116.3119.5-3.2
25 Orlando Magic82344841%111.4114.0-2.6
26 Portland Trail Blazers82334940%113.4117.4-4.0
27 Charlotte Hornets82275533%111.0117.2-6.2
28 Houston Rockets82226027%110.7118.6-7.9
29 San Antonio Spurs82226027%113.0123.1-10.0
30 Detroit Pistons82176521%110.3118.5-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31372631125
Phoenix Suns32193026107
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