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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 116-117
33-25 30-29 23-24 30-39
Position#2
Record42-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game103.5
vs
Position#11
Record32-25
FormWWLWW
Points / game109.8
Allowed / game107.6
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
124-115
124
115
+9
127avg 107
H28/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
110-106
110
106
+4
101avg 107
H30/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
122-108
122
108
+14
118avg 107
A01/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
124-120
124
120
+4
118avg 107
A02/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
126-114
126
114
+12
123avg 107
H04/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
110-98
110
98
+12
108avg 107
A08/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
85-111
85
111
-26
69avg 107
A10/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
114-116
114
116
-2
104avg 107
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
117-115
117
115
+2
108avg 107
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
104-119
104
119
-15
93avg 107
A15/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
28-32
38-20
29-34
31-20
23-27
24-29
32-30
23-25
38-27
26-26
35-30
30-36
31-33
28-35
35-16
34-23
39-31
21-29
32-31
20-23
36-23
29-26
25-26
31-30
18-25
16-24
20-32
28-33
34-24
20-31
32-28
32-26
33-36
30-32
22-21
37-34
22-27
19-33
26-25
225.8Avg total
113.6Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)110.5103.5214.0+7.172%
Season at home (31)113.5101.3214.8+12.284%
Season away (27)107.1106.0213.1+1.159%
Last 10 (10)113.6112.2225.8+1.470%
Last 5 (5)106.0111.8217.8-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)105.1105.9210.9-0.856%
vs Weaker (14)114.1107.2221.4+6.971%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
116-105
116
105
+11
116avg 107
A29/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
136-100
136
100
+36
142avg 107
A31/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
115-130
115
130
-15
109avg 107
A02/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
104-108
104
108
-4
101avg 107
A03/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
105-113
105
113
-8
95avg 107
H05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
124-104
124
104
+20
129avg 107
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
132-115
132
115
+17
136avg 107
H09/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
102-108
102
108
-6
95avg 107
A12/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
W
110-109
110
109
+1
110avg 107
A13/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
121-111
121
111
+10
119avg 107
H15/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
24-31
36-30
30-27
33-30
32-27
38-24
33-19
28-30
23-39
27-31
37-30
30-28
31-32
18-22
25-26
29-27
23-24
30-31
23-31
39-40
37-35
31-16
17-13
40-36
43-24
28-34
21-21
32-30
28-21
19-25
23-32
31-25
25-32
27-29
27-23
29-14
24-26
32-30
36-41
226.8Avg total
116.5Scored
110.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)109.8107.6217.4+2.156%
Season at home (26)112.2107.3219.6+4.962%
Season away (31)107.7107.9215.6-0.252%
Last 10 (10)116.5110.3226.8+6.260%
Last 5 (5)117.8109.4227.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0108.0210.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)111.9111.1223.0+0.850%
vs Weaker (9)117.7106.2223.9+11.489%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H28/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A01/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A02/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H04/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A08/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A10/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A15/02
NBA
116.1Avg total
59.7Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.954.7110.6+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.152.8109.9+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)54.756.5111.2-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)59.756.4116.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)58.256.2114.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)52.056.6108.6-4.638%-
vs Weaker (14)60.452.5112.9+7.971%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A29/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A31/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A02/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A03/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H09/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A12/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A13/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/02
NBA
117.5Avg total
60.7Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.556.1116.6+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)63.259.6122.8+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)58.153.1111.2+5.169%-
Last 10 (10)60.756.8117.5+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)65.656.6122.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.051.0111.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)58.657.0115.6+1.655%-
vs Weaker (9)64.854.7119.4+10.178%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.824.1
53.8%
53.1%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.916.6
39.6%
35.3%49.8
🏀 Free throws19.415.6
80.4%
77.4%15.6
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.627.8
58.4%
53.1%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.114.6
38.3%
35.3%43.8
🏀 Free throws20.617.1
83.0%
77.4%17.1
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LWLLWWWWWW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLLLWW
#2
League position
#11
+1.4
Net rating
+6.2
114.2
Offensive rating
116.8
112.8
Defensive rating
110.6
56.5%
Effective FG%
58.0%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
12.8%
Turnover %
15.3%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.6%
3-point %
38.3%
62.9%
Assist %
67.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 116.8Defence112.8 · 110.6Shooting56.5% · 58.0%3-point %39.6% · 38.3%Ball care12.8% · 15.3%Off. rebounds21.4% · 24.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/22ALos Angeles Clippers104-119
13/02/22HLos Angeles Lakers117-115
11/02/22HNew York Knicks114-116
10/02/22AUtah Jazz85-111
08/02/22AOklahoma City Thunder110-98
04/02/22HSacramento Kings126-114
02/02/22ASan Antonio Spurs124-120
01/02/22AHouston Rockets122-108
30/01/22HBrooklyn Nets110-106
28/01/22HMinnesota Timberwolves124-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/22HOrlando Magic121-111
13/02/22AToronto Raptors110-109
12/02/22ABoston Celtics102-108
09/02/22HNew York Knicks132-115
06/02/22HBrooklyn Nets124-104
05/02/22HNew Orleans Pelicans105-113
03/02/22AUtah Jazz104-108
02/02/22AMinnesota Timberwolves115-130
31/01/22AMilwaukee Bucks136-100
29/01/22ANew Orleans Pelicans116-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL72%
HomeWWWLW84%
AwayWWWLL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583127
Win %72%84%59%
Points / game110.5113.5107.1
Allowed / game103.5101.3106.0
Point differential+7.1+12.2+1.1
Avg total214.0214.8213.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%58%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)50% (10)67% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW56%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayWLLLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572631
Win %56%62%52%
Points / game109.8112.2107.7
Allowed / game107.6107.3107.9
Point differential+2.1+4.9-0.2
Avg total217.4219.6215.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%35%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)75% (4)60% (10)
Overtime %4%4%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns58481083%113.7105.5+8.1
2 Golden State Warriors58421672%110.5103.5+7.1
3 Memphis Grizzlies60411968%113.8109.0+4.8
4 Chicago Bulls59382164%112.6110.4+2.3
5 Miami Heat58372164%108.9104.4+4.5
6 Utah Jazz57362163%114.0106.9+7.1
7 Milwaukee Bucks59362361%113.1109.6+3.5
8 Cleveland Cavaliers58352360%106.7102.5+4.1
9 Philadelphia 76ers57342360%107.2105.7+1.5
10 Dallas Mavericks58342459%106.3103.0+3.3
11 Boston Celtics60342657%108.8103.5+5.4
12 Denver Nuggets57322556%109.8107.6+2.1
13 Toronto Raptors57322556%108.7106.9+1.8
14 Brooklyn Nets58312753%110.9110.7+0.2
15 Minnesota Timberwolves59312853%113.2111.7+1.5
16 Charlotte Hornets59293049%113.9114.8-0.8
17 Los Angeles Clippers60293148%106.3107.6-1.4
18 Atlanta Hawks58283048%112.2111.8+0.5
19 Los Angeles Lakers57263146%111.0112.6-1.6
20 Washington Wizards57263146%106.9110.0-3.1
21 New York Knicks59253442%105.1106.6-1.5
22 Portland Trail Blazers59253442%108.2112.0-3.9
23 New Orleans Pelicans58233540%106.1109.3-3.1
24 San Antonio Spurs59233639%111.8111.7+0.1
25 Sacramento Kings60223837%109.9114.9-5.0
26 Indiana Pacers60204033%109.3112.0-2.6
27 Oklahoma City Thunder58184031%101.2107.8-6.6
28 Houston Rockets57154226%108.4117.7-9.3
29 Detroit Pistons58134522%102.6112.6-10.1
30 Orlando Magic60134722%103.3112.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors33302330116
Denver Nuggets25292439117
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