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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 123-128
34-40 18-30 36-28 35-30
Position#11
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game123.0
Allowed / game109.0
vs
Position#2
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game123.0
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
L
108-120
108
120
-12
97avg 107
H03/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
107-88
107
88
+19
98avg 107
H06/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
100-116
100
116
-16
90avg 107
A09/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
107-97
107
97
+10
no box
A11/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
104-94
104
94
+10
94avg 107
H14/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
103-90
103
90
+13
95avg 107
A17/06
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#1
L
68-86
68
86
-18
no box
H02/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
no box
H03/07
California Classic
Miami Heat
#3
L
70-94
70
94
-24
no box
A05/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
123-109
123
109
+14
115avg 107
H19/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
22-28
38-24
16-40
31-30
21-20
35-14
20-24
22-33
34-35
33-25
11-23
27-28
22-26
30-24
28-19
27-16
24-23
24-35
29-20
27-22
27-17
22-27
27-24
13-17
19-21
20-29
16-19
21-23
16-26
16-23
24-28
22-27
16-24
21-17
11-26
25-22
34-30
32-19
32-38
196.1Avg total
96.7Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)123.0109.0232.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)123.0109.0232.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)96.799.4196.1-2.750%
Last 5 (5)88.295.8184.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.793.3165.0-21.70%
vs Similar ◀ (23)112.3106.9219.3+5.474%
vs Weaker (4)116.2100.8217.0+15.5100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
129-118
129
118
+11
130avg 108
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
97-116
97
116
-19
84avg 108
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
122-109
122
109
+13
123avg 108
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
141-146 OT
141
146
-5
133avg 108
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
107-123
107
123
-16
94avg 108
A17/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
106-126
106
126
-20
97avg 108
A19/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
113-118
113
118
-5
110avg 108
H22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
126-121
126
121
+5
125avg 108
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
98-102
98
102
-4
95avg 108
A28/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
102-123
102
123
-21
92avg 108
A20/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
38-33
33-33
34-24
30-32
14-32
35-21
18-31
34-30
36-23
35-25
17-31
33-36
36-33
39-26
27-40
27-26
20-32
23-32
37-33
26-25
25-32
30-44
25-25
32-34
27-35
30-18
24-31
26-21
37-31
35-37
28-32
25-30
23-18
30-22
20-32
30-37
23-38
27-19
22-29
234.3Avg total
114.1Scored
120.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)102.0123.0225.0-21.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)102.0123.0225.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)114.1120.2234.3-6.130%
Last 5 (5)109.0118.0227.0-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)117.0132.0249.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)115.9118.6234.6-2.744%
vs Weaker (12)119.4112.8232.2+6.775%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -5.6-5.6
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H03/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H06/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A09/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A11/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H14/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A17/06
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H02/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H03/07
California Classic
Miami Heat
#3
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A05/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H19/10
NBA
97.8Avg total
48.2Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.452.7106.1+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.150.6103.7+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)53.855.1108.9-1.343%-
Last 10 (10)48.249.697.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.045.889.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.746.081.7-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)54.254.2108.4-0.052%-
vs Weaker (4)62.249.0111.2+13.2100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
D
69-69
69
69
+0
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A17/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A19/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A28/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A20/10
NBA
117.2Avg total
56.6Scored
60.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.058.4118.4+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.860.2121.0+0.659%-
Last 30 away (13)58.956.0114.9+2.954%-
Last 10 (10)56.660.6117.2-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)54.860.2115.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.567.0122.5-11.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.258.8118.0+0.444%-
vs Weaker (12)61.856.3118.2+5.575%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.325.9
53.6%
54.5%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.214.3
36.5%
35.8%42.9
🏀 Free throws17.814.3
80.3%
78.1%14.3
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.731.1
57.9%
54.5%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.7
33.4%
35.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.619.8
80.5%
78.1%19.8
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WLLLWWWLWL
Denver Nuggets
LLWLLLLWLW
#11
League position
#2
+5.0
Net rating
-6.0
111.4
Offensive rating
111.9
106.4
Defensive rating
117.9
54.1%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.4%
12.8%
Turnover %
15.0%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.5%
3-point %
33.4%
65.2%
Assist %
62.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 111.9Defence106.4 · 117.9Shooting54.1% · 55.0%3-point %36.5% · 33.4%Ball care12.8% · 15.0%Off. rebounds23.7% · 24.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/22HLos Angeles Lakers123-109
05/07/22AMiami Heat70-94
03/07/22HLos Angeles Lakers77-100
02/07/22HSacramento Kings68-86
17/06/22ABoston Celtics103-90
14/06/22HBoston Celtics104-94
11/06/22ABoston Celtics107-97
09/06/22ABoston Celtics100-116
06/06/22HBoston Celtics107-88
03/06/22HBoston Celtics108-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/22AUtah Jazz102-123
28/04/22AGolden State Warriors98-102
24/04/22HGolden State Warriors126-121
22/04/22HGolden State Warriors113-118
19/04/22AGolden State Warriors106-126
17/04/22AGolden State Warriors107-123
11/04/22HLos Angeles Lakers141-146 OT
08/04/22HMemphis Grizzlies122-109
06/04/22HSan Antonio Spurs97-116
03/04/22ALos Angeles Lakers129-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game123.0123.0-
Allowed / game109.0109.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total232.0232.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game102.0-102.0
Allowed / game123.0-123.0
Point differential-21.0--21.0
Avg total225.0-225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Orleans Pelicans220100%127.0110.0+17.0
2 Golden State Warriors110100%123.0109.0+14.0
3 Utah Jazz220100%127.5114.0+13.5
4 Atlanta Hawks220100%112.5102.5+10.0
5 Boston Celtics220100%118.5110.5+8.0
6 Portland Trail Blazers110100%115.0108.0+7.0
7 Los Angeles Clippers110100%103.097.0+6.0
8 Memphis Grizzlies220100%122.0117.0+5.0
9 Washington Wizards220100%108.0103.5+4.5
10 Milwaukee Bucks110100%90.088.0+2.0
11 Phoenix Suns110100%107.0105.0+2.0
12 New York Knicks21150%121.0110.5+10.5
13 Charlotte Hornets21150%120.5113.0+7.5
14 Chicago Bulls21150%108.0105.0+3.0
15 Minnesota Timberwolves21150%120.5120.0+0.5
16 Toronto Raptors21150%106.5107.0-0.5
17 Brooklyn Nets21150%108.5117.5-9.0
18 Detroit Pistons21150%109.5119.5-10.0
19 San Antonio Spurs21150%119.5131.5-12.0
20 Dallas Mavericks1010%105.0107.0-2.0
21 Cleveland Cavaliers1010%105.0108.0-3.0
22 Indiana Pacers2020%120.5125.5-5.0
23 Philadelphia 76ers2020%102.5108.0-5.5
24 Oklahoma City Thunder1010%108.0115.0-7.0
25 Orlando Magic2020%103.5110.5-7.0
26 Sacramento Kings1010%108.0115.0-7.0
27 Miami Heat2020%106.0113.5-7.5
28 Houston Rockets2020%114.5123.0-8.5
29 Los Angeles Lakers2020%103.0113.0-10.0
30 Denver Nuggets1010%102.0123.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors34183635123
Denver Nuggets40302830128
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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