PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 102-98
30-25 18-23 22-30 32-20
Position#2
Record56-30
FormWWWWL
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game105.8
vs
Position#11
Record49-37
FormLLLLW
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game111.0
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
103-107
103
107
-4
99avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
111-107
111
107
+4
109avg 108
H03/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
109-90
109
90
+19
112avg 108
A04/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
128-112
128
112
+16
130avg 108
H08/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
100-94
100
94
+6
95avg 108
A10/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
128-107
128
107
+21
134avg 108
A11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
123-107
123
107
+16
123avg 108
H17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
126-106
126
106
+20
119avg 108
H19/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
118-113
118
113
+5
114avg 108
A22/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
121-126
121
126
-5
111avg 108
A24/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-29
16-21
27-27
28-30
23-30
22-28
36-29
30-20
28-14
34-28
19-25
28-23
27-32
38-30
26-22
37-28
23-21
31-23
24-27
22-23
27-26
41-22
21-28
39-31
26-27
32-20
32-23
33-37
25-26
32-25
44-30
25-25
34-32
35-27
18-30
31-24
21-26
31-37
37-35
32-28
223.6Avg total
116.7Scored
106.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)111.5105.8217.3+5.765%
Season at home (43)113.5103.3216.8+10.377%
Season away (43)109.5108.3217.8+1.153%
Last 10 (10)116.7106.9223.6+9.880%
Last 5 (5)123.2111.8235.0+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)112.9113.8226.6-0.944%
vs Weaker (14)113.9108.1222.0+5.957%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
125-118
125
118
+7
133avg 107
A30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
130-136
130
136
-6
134avg 107
H02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
129-118
129
118
+11
130avg 107
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
97-116
97
116
-19
84avg 107
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
122-109
122
109
+13
123avg 107
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
141-146 OT
141
146
-5
133avg 107
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
107-123
107
123
-16
94avg 107
A17/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
106-126
106
126
-20
97avg 107
A19/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
113-118
113
118
-5
110avg 107
H22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
126-121
126
121
+5
125avg 107
H24/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
43-15
26-38
22-38
34-27
35-40
30-30
29-28
36-38
24-28
38-33
33-33
34-24
30-32
14-32
35-21
18-31
34-30
36-23
35-25
17-31
33-36
36-33
39-26
27-40
27-26
20-32
23-32
37-33
26-25
25-32
30-44
25-25
32-34
27-35
30-18
24-31
26-21
37-31
35-37
28-32
242.7Avg total
119.6Scored
123.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)112.7111.0223.7+1.857%
Season at home (43)115.0112.7227.7+2.356%
Season away (43)110.5109.2219.7+1.358%
Last 10 (10)119.6123.1242.7-3.540%
Last 5 (5)118.6126.8245.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)117.0132.0249.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)117.1119.5236.6-2.450%
vs Weaker (12)121.0111.8232.8+9.283%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -3.2-3.2
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H31/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H03/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
62-42
62
42
+20
A04/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H08/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A10/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
68-48
68
48
+20
A11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H19/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A22/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A24/04
NBA
110.2Avg total
57.8Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.356.1113.4+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.253.4110.6+3.869%-
Last 30 away (17)57.358.2115.5-0.935%-
Last 10 (10)57.852.4110.2+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)60.853.6114.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.257.2111.5-3.038%-
vs Weaker (14)60.754.9115.6+5.964%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
D
69-69
69
69
+0
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A17/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A19/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H24/04
NBA
120.5Avg total
59.9Scored
60.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.257.7117.9+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)60.459.1119.4+1.361%-
Last 30 away (12)59.955.7115.6+4.258%-
Last 10 (10)59.960.6120.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)57.861.0118.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.567.0122.5-11.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.659.8119.3-0.244%-
vs Weaker (12)61.853.4115.2+8.483%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 116.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.526.7
57.4%
53.1%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.615.5
42.3%
35.3%46.5
🏀 Free throws22.116.8
76.0%
77.4%16.8
They take 83.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 119.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.731.8
60.3%
53.1%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.212.0
36.1%
35.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws24.220.0
82.6%
77.4%20.0
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LWWWWWWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLLLLWLWLW
#2
League position
#11
+9.8
Net rating
-3.4
116.9
Offensive rating
116.7
107.0
Defensive rating
120.2
60.1%
Effective FG%
58.0%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.0%
20.7%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
42.3%
3-point %
36.1%
69.9%
Assist %
64.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 116.7Defence107.0 · 120.2Shooting60.1% · 58.0%3-point %42.3% · 36.1%Ball care14.4% · 15.0%Off. rebounds20.7% · 24.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/22ADenver Nuggets121-126
22/04/22ADenver Nuggets118-113
19/04/22HDenver Nuggets126-106
17/04/22HDenver Nuggets123-107
11/04/22ANew Orleans Pelicans128-107
10/04/22ASan Antonio Spurs100-94
08/04/22HLos Angeles Lakers128-112
04/04/22ASacramento Kings109-90
03/04/22HUtah Jazz111-107
31/03/22HPhoenix Suns103-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/22HGolden State Warriors126-121
22/04/22HGolden State Warriors113-118
19/04/22AGolden State Warriors106-126
17/04/22AGolden State Warriors107-123
11/04/22HLos Angeles Lakers141-146 OT
08/04/22HMemphis Grizzlies122-109
06/04/22HSan Antonio Spurs97-116
03/04/22ALos Angeles Lakers129-118
02/04/22HMinnesota Timberwolves130-136
30/03/22AIndiana Pacers125-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayWWWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864343
Win %65%77%53%
Points / game111.5113.5109.5
Allowed / game105.8103.3108.3
Point differential+5.7+10.3+1.1
Avg total217.3216.8217.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (23)43% (14)56% (9)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW57%
HomeLWLLW56%
AwayWWWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864343
Win %57%56%58%
Points / game112.7115.0110.5
Allowed / game111.0112.7109.2
Point differential+1.8+2.3+1.3
Avg total223.7227.7219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%28%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (22)62% (8)64% (14)
Overtime %6%7%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns87672077%114.6107.5+7.1
2 Memphis Grizzlies87592868%115.6109.9+5.6
3 Miami Heat87573066%110.0105.1+4.9
4 Golden State Warriors86563065%111.5105.8+5.7
5 Boston Celtics86553164%111.8104.7+7.2
6 Milwaukee Bucks87553263%115.2111.2+4.0
7 Dallas Mavericks87553263%107.9104.4+3.5
8 Philadelphia 76ers87543362%109.8107.2+2.6
9 Utah Jazz87513659%112.8107.5+5.3
10 Toronto Raptors87503757%109.1107.1+2.0
11 Denver Nuggets86493757%112.7111.0+1.8
12 Minnesota Timberwolves88493956%115.5113.3+2.2
13 Chicago Bulls87474054%110.7111.9-1.2
14 Cleveland Cavaliers84444052%107.7105.8+1.9
15 Charlotte Hornets83434052%115.2115.1+0.1
16 Brooklyn Nets87454252%112.7112.1+0.6
17 Atlanta Hawks89464352%113.1112.0+1.2
18 Los Angeles Clippers84424250%108.3108.4-0.1
19 New York Knicks82374545%106.5106.6-0.1
20 New Orleans Pelicans89404945%109.3110.1-0.8
21 Washington Wizards82354743%108.6112.0-3.4
22 San Antonio Spurs83344941%113.0113.0+0.0
23 Los Angeles Lakers82334940%112.1115.1-3.0
24 Sacramento Kings82305237%110.3115.8-5.5
25 Portland Trail Blazers82275533%106.2115.1-8.9
26 Indiana Pacers82255730%111.5114.9-3.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder82245829%103.7111.8-8.1
28 Detroit Pistons82235928%104.8112.5-7.7
29 Orlando Magic82226027%104.2112.2-8.0
30 Houston Rockets82206224%109.7118.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors30182232102
Denver Nuggets2523302098
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.