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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 123-107
26-27 32-20 32-23 33-37
Position#2
Record53-29
FormWWWWW
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game105.5
vs
Position#11
Record48-34
FormLWLWL
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game110.4
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#4
W
118-104
118
104
+14
117avg 107
A23/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
110-121
110
121
-11
105avg 107
A25/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
115-123
115
123
-8
102avg 107
A27/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
95-123
95
123
-28
82avg 107
A29/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
103-107
103
107
-4
99avg 107
H31/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
111-107
111
107
+4
109avg 107
H03/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
109-90
109
90
+19
112avg 107
A04/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
128-112
128
112
+16
130avg 107
H08/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
100-94
100
94
+6
95avg 107
A10/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
128-107
128
107
+21
134avg 107
A11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
27-27
31-30
37-24
42-36
25-33
16-32
27-20
24-28
27-31
30-33
34-31
16-20
21-43
30-32
28-28
32-29
16-21
27-27
28-30
23-30
22-28
36-29
30-20
28-14
34-28
19-25
28-23
27-32
38-30
26-22
37-28
23-21
31-23
24-27
22-23
27-26
41-22
21-28
39-31
220.5Avg total
111.7Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)111.0105.5216.5+5.565%
Season at home (41)113.0103.1216.1+9.976%
Season away (41)109.0107.8216.8+1.254%
Last 10 (10)111.7108.8220.5+2.960%
Last 5 (5)115.2102.0217.2+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)107.9113.8221.7-5.831%
vs Weaker (17)114.4108.3222.7+6.159%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
127-115
127
115
+12
128avg 108
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
130-140
130
140
-10
127avg 108
H25/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
113-107
113
107
+6
116avg 108
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
113-109
113
109
+4
112avg 108
A28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
125-118
125
118
+7
133avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
130-136
130
136
-6
134avg 108
H02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
129-118
129
118
+11
130avg 108
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
97-116
97
116
-19
84avg 108
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
122-109
122
109
+13
123avg 108
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
141-146 OT
141
146
-5
133avg 108
H11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-27
35-34
27-27
28-27
31-31
37-35
38-38
24-36
32-25
26-24
29-27
26-31
32-30
24-27
37-27
20-25
43-15
26-38
22-38
34-27
35-40
30-30
29-28
36-38
24-28
38-33
33-33
34-24
30-32
14-32
35-21
18-31
34-30
36-23
35-25
17-31
33-36
36-33
39-26
27-40
244.1Avg total
122.7Scored
121.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)112.7110.4223.1+2.359%
Season at home (41)114.8112.4227.2+2.456%
Season away (41)110.7108.4219.1+2.261%
Last 10 (10)122.7121.4244.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)123.8125.0248.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)112.0124.0236.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)119.2116.8236.0+2.467%
vs Weaker (12)121.0111.8232.8+9.283%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -4.6-4.6
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#4
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A23/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A25/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A27/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
37-63
37
63
-26
A29/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H31/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H03/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
62-42
62
42
+20
A04/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H08/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A10/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
68-48
68
48
+20
A11/04
NBA
109.2Avg total
54.7Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.455.9113.3+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.854.4113.2+4.469%-
Last 30 away (17)56.457.0113.4-0.635%-
Last 10 (10)54.754.5109.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)58.850.8109.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)52.457.8110.2-5.423%-
vs Weaker (17)61.254.4115.6+6.871%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H25/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
D
69-69
69
69
+0
H11/04
NBA
123.6Avg total
63.3Scored
60.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.057.9120.0+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)62.459.8122.3+2.667%-
Last 30 away (12)61.455.1116.5+6.367%-
Last 10 (10)63.360.3123.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)62.063.4125.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.061.7118.7-4.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)63.260.8124.0+2.453%-
vs Weaker (12)61.853.4115.2+8.483%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 111.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.626.5
54.5%
53.1%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.613.8
38.8%
35.3%41.4
🏀 Free throws21.317.3
81.2%
77.4%17.3
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 122.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.933.0
62.4%
53.1%66.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.212.1
36.4%
35.3%36.3
🏀 Free throws24.720.4
82.6%
77.4%20.4
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWWWWLLLLW
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWWWLW
#2
League position
#11
+2.9
Net rating
+1.3
111.9
Offensive rating
119.6
109.0
Defensive rating
118.3
56.1%
Effective FG%
59.4%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.4%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.8%
3-point %
36.4%
66.5%
Assist %
67.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 119.6Defence109.0 · 118.3Shooting56.1% · 59.4%3-point %38.8% · 36.4%Ball care14.5% · 14.4%Off. rebounds22.1% · 24.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/22ANew Orleans Pelicans128-107
10/04/22ASan Antonio Spurs100-94
08/04/22HLos Angeles Lakers128-112
04/04/22ASacramento Kings109-90
03/04/22HUtah Jazz111-107
31/03/22HPhoenix Suns103-107
29/03/22AMemphis Grizzlies95-123
27/03/22AWashington Wizards115-123
25/03/22AAtlanta Hawks110-121
23/03/22AMiami Heat118-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/22HLos Angeles Lakers141-146 OT
08/04/22HMemphis Grizzlies122-109
06/04/22HSan Antonio Spurs97-116
03/04/22ALos Angeles Lakers129-118
02/04/22HMinnesota Timberwolves130-136
30/03/22AIndiana Pacers125-118
28/03/22ACharlotte Hornets113-109
27/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder113-107
25/03/22HPhoenix Suns130-140
23/03/22HLos Angeles Clippers127-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeLLLWW76%
AwayLLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824141
Win %65%76%54%
Points / game111.0113.0109.0
Allowed / game105.5103.1107.8
Point differential+5.5+9.9+1.2
Avg total216.5216.1216.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%54%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)43% (14)57% (7)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL59%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayWLWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824141
Win %59%56%61%
Points / game112.7114.8110.7
Allowed / game110.4112.4108.4
Point differential+2.3+2.4+2.2
Avg total223.1227.2219.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won65% (20)67% (6)64% (14)
Overtime %6%7%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns82641878%114.8107.3+7.5
2 Memphis Grizzlies83562767%115.6110.2+5.5
3 Golden State Warriors82532965%111.0105.5+5.5
4 Miami Heat82532965%110.0105.6+4.5
5 Dallas Mavericks83523163%107.8104.7+3.2
6 Philadelphia 76ers83523163%110.2107.4+2.8
7 Boston Celtics82513162%111.8104.5+7.3
8 Milwaukee Bucks82513162%115.5112.1+3.4
9 Utah Jazz83503360%113.4107.4+6.0
10 Denver Nuggets82483459%112.7110.4+2.3
11 Toronto Raptors83483558%109.4107.4+2.0
12 Minnesota Timberwolves84483657%116.0113.2+2.8
13 Chicago Bulls82463656%111.6112.0-0.4
14 Brooklyn Nets83453854%112.9112.1+0.9
15 Atlanta Hawks84453954%114.1112.1+1.9
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84444052%107.7105.8+1.9
17 Charlotte Hornets83434052%115.2115.1+0.1
18 Los Angeles Clippers84424250%108.3108.4-0.1
19 New Orleans Pelicans84384645%109.3110.1-0.8
20 New York Knicks82374545%106.5106.6-0.1
21 Washington Wizards82354743%108.6112.0-3.4
22 San Antonio Spurs83344941%113.0113.0+0.0
23 Los Angeles Lakers82334940%112.1115.1-3.0
24 Sacramento Kings82305237%110.3115.8-5.5
25 Portland Trail Blazers82275533%106.2115.1-8.9
26 Indiana Pacers82255730%111.5114.9-3.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder82245829%103.7111.8-8.1
28 Detroit Pistons82235928%104.8112.5-7.7
29 Orlando Magic82226027%104.2112.2-8.0
30 Houston Rockets82206224%109.7118.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors26323233123
Denver Nuggets27202337107
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