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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 126-121
26-21 37-31 35-37 28-32
Position#11
Record48-37
FormWLLLL
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game110.8
vs
Position#2
Record56-29
FormWWWWW
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game105.6
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
113-109
113
109
+4
112avg 108
A28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
125-118
125
118
+7
133avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
130-136
130
136
-6
134avg 108
H02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
129-118
129
118
+11
130avg 108
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
97-116
97
116
-19
84avg 108
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
122-109
122
109
+13
123avg 108
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
141-146 OT
141
146
-5
133avg 108
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
107-123
107
123
-16
94avg 108
A17/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
106-126
106
126
-20
97avg 108
A19/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
113-118
113
118
-5
110avg 108
H22/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-30
24-27
37-27
20-25
43-15
26-38
22-38
34-27
35-40
30-30
29-28
36-38
24-28
38-33
33-33
34-24
30-32
14-32
35-21
18-31
34-30
36-23
35-25
17-31
33-36
36-33
39-26
27-40
27-26
20-32
23-32
37-33
26-25
25-32
30-44
25-25
32-34
27-35
30-18
24-31
240.2Avg total
118.3Scored
121.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)112.6110.8223.4+1.756%
Season at home (42)114.7112.5227.3+2.255%
Season away (43)110.5109.2219.7+1.358%
Last 10 (10)118.3121.9240.2-3.640%
Last 5 (5)117.8124.4242.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)117.0132.0249.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)116.1118.8234.9-2.650%
vs Weaker (12)121.0111.8232.8+9.283%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
95-123
95
123
-28
82avg 108
A29/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
103-107
103
107
-4
99avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
111-107
111
107
+4
109avg 108
H03/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
109-90
109
90
+19
112avg 108
A04/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
128-112
128
112
+16
130avg 108
H08/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
100-94
100
94
+6
95avg 108
A10/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
128-107
128
107
+21
134avg 108
A11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
123-107
123
107
+16
123avg 108
H17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
126-106
126
106
+20
119avg 108
H19/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
118-113
118
113
+5
114avg 108
A22/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
21-43
30-32
28-28
32-29
16-21
27-27
28-30
23-30
22-28
36-29
30-20
28-14
34-28
19-25
28-23
27-32
38-30
26-22
37-28
23-21
31-23
24-27
22-23
27-26
41-22
21-28
39-31
26-27
32-20
32-23
33-37
25-26
32-25
44-30
25-25
34-32
35-27
18-30
31-24
220.7Avg total
114.1Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)111.4105.6217.0+5.866%
Season at home (43)113.5103.3216.8+10.377%
Season away (42)109.2107.9217.1+1.355%
Last 10 (10)114.1106.6220.7+7.580%
Last 5 (5)119.0105.4224.4+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)112.3112.9225.3-0.647%
vs Weaker (15)113.9108.6222.5+5.353%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
D
69-69
69
69
+0
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A17/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A19/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H22/04
NBA
120.3Avg total
59.2Scored
61.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.057.9117.8+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.259.5119.7+0.859%-
Last 30 away (13)59.655.8115.4+3.854%-
Last 10 (10)59.261.1120.3-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)59.261.2120.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.567.0122.5-11.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.160.1119.2-0.938%-
vs Weaker (12)61.853.4115.2+8.483%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
37-63
37
63
-26
A29/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H31/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H03/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
62-42
62
42
+20
A04/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H08/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A10/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
68-48
68
48
+20
A11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H19/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A22/04
NBA
108.7Avg total
56.3Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.655.9113.5+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.653.6111.2+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)57.657.9115.6-0.338%-
Last 10 (10)56.352.4108.7+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)61.249.8111.0+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.456.9111.3-2.540%-
vs Weaker (15)60.855.0115.8+5.867%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.832.0
59.5%
53.1%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.7
35.0%
35.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws23.419.2
82.1%
77.4%19.2
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.526.0
55.9%
53.1%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.115.2
42.1%
35.3%45.6
🏀 Free throws21.516.5
76.7%
77.4%16.5
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLLLWLWLWW
Golden State Warriors
WWWWWWWWLL
#11
League position
#2
-3.5
Net rating
+7.5
115.9
Offensive rating
114.4
119.5
Defensive rating
106.9
56.8%
Effective FG%
59.1%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.5%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
19.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.0%
3-point %
42.1%
65.0%
Assist %
69.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 114.4Defence119.5 · 106.9Shooting56.8% · 59.1%3-point %35.0% · 42.1%Ball care14.7% · 14.5%Off. rebounds26.1% · 19.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/22HGolden State Warriors113-118
19/04/22AGolden State Warriors106-126
17/04/22AGolden State Warriors107-123
11/04/22HLos Angeles Lakers141-146 OT
08/04/22HMemphis Grizzlies122-109
06/04/22HSan Antonio Spurs97-116
03/04/22ALos Angeles Lakers129-118
02/04/22HMinnesota Timberwolves130-136
30/03/22AIndiana Pacers125-118
28/03/22ACharlotte Hornets113-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/22ADenver Nuggets118-113
19/04/22HDenver Nuggets126-106
17/04/22HDenver Nuggets123-107
11/04/22ANew Orleans Pelicans128-107
10/04/22ASan Antonio Spurs100-94
08/04/22HLos Angeles Lakers128-112
04/04/22ASacramento Kings109-90
03/04/22HUtah Jazz111-107
31/03/22HPhoenix Suns103-107
29/03/22AMemphis Grizzlies95-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeLLWLL55%
AwayWWWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854243
Win %56%55%58%
Points / game112.6114.7110.5
Allowed / game110.8112.5109.2
Point differential+1.7+2.2+1.3
Avg total223.4227.3219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (21)57% (7)64% (14)
Overtime %6%7%5%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW66%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayLWWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854342
Win %66%77%55%
Points / game111.4113.5109.2
Allowed / game105.6103.3107.9
Point differential+5.8+10.3+1.3
Avg total217.0216.8217.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (22)43% (14)62% (8)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns85661978%114.8107.5+7.3
2 Memphis Grizzlies86582867%115.6109.9+5.7
3 Golden State Warriors85562966%111.4105.6+5.8
4 Miami Heat85553065%110.1105.5+4.7
5 Boston Celtics85543164%111.8104.6+7.2
6 Milwaukee Bucks86543263%115.2111.3+3.9
7 Dallas Mavericks86543263%108.0104.7+3.2
8 Philadelphia 76ers86543263%110.0107.2+2.8
9 Utah Jazz86513559%113.2107.5+5.7
10 Toronto Raptors86493757%109.2107.3+1.8
11 Denver Nuggets85483756%112.6110.8+1.7
12 Minnesota Timberwolves87493856%115.6113.3+2.3
13 Chicago Bulls86473955%110.8111.8-1.0
14 Atlanta Hawks87464153%113.7112.2+1.5
15 Cleveland Cavaliers84444052%107.7105.8+1.9
16 Brooklyn Nets86454152%112.8112.1+0.7
17 Charlotte Hornets83434052%115.2115.1+0.1
18 Los Angeles Clippers84424250%108.3108.4-0.1
19 New York Knicks82374545%106.5106.6-0.1
20 New Orleans Pelicans87394845%109.4110.2-0.8
21 Washington Wizards82354743%108.6112.0-3.4
22 San Antonio Spurs83344941%113.0113.0+0.0
23 Los Angeles Lakers82334940%112.1115.1-3.0
24 Sacramento Kings82305237%110.3115.8-5.5
25 Portland Trail Blazers82275533%106.2115.1-8.9
26 Indiana Pacers82255730%111.5114.9-3.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder82245829%103.7111.8-8.1
28 Detroit Pistons82235928%104.8112.5-7.7
29 Orlando Magic82226027%104.2112.2-8.0
30 Houston Rockets82206224%109.7118.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets26373528126
Golden State Warriors21313732121
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