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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 106-87
26-22 25-15 30-27 25-23
Position#16
Record22-24
FormWWWLL
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game104.3
vs
Position#9
Record27-23
FormLLWLL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game95.5
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
05 Oct 2018
WAS121
MIA114
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
10 Jul 2017
WAS87
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
04 Oct 2016
WAS95
MIA106
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
17 Jul 2014
WAS78
MIA67
15 Jul 2014
WAS85
MIA83
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
15 Oct 2013
WAS100
MIA82
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
103-91
103
91
+12
H02/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
75-97
75
97
-22
H03/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
115-121
115
121
-6
H07/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
88-97
88
97
-9
H09/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
105-99
105
99
+6
A10/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
114-100
114
100
+14
A12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
106-101
106
101
+5
H14/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
118-104
118
104
+14
A16/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
117-119
117
119
-2
H17/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
98-108
98
108
-10
H18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
24-22
24-29
31-19
24-25
7-25
20-23
24-24
26-24
24-38
39-33
26-26
26-18
21-29
14-26
27-24
27-17
33-32
25-21
20-29
28-25
34-23
21-26
31-26
29-18
27-25
15-31
35-27
24-27
35-19
29-26
30-32
31-24
30-30
25-29
31-36
17-32
40-27
19-35
22-14
207.6Avg total
103.9Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)102.9104.3207.3-1.448%
Season at home (24)103.8104.8208.6-1.042%
Season away (22)102.0103.9205.8-1.955%
Last 10 (10)103.9103.7207.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)110.6106.4217.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.3106.7209.0-4.333%
vs Similar ◀ (24)100.7103.6204.2-2.942%
vs Weaker (3)108.0103.3211.3+4.767%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#16
W
97-75
97
75
+22
A03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H07/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
103-95
103
95
+8
A09/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-104
90
104
-14
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
98-95
98
95
+3
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
74-99
74
99
-25
A18/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
25-7
23-20
24-24
19-29
25-18
22-27
29-21
21-22
18-25
20-24
31-27
21-20
32-20
24-33
26-22
29-19
20-26
19-27
15-26
25-27
29-29
23-24
26-31
25-17
27-28
17-34
21-25
20-31
26-31
30-16
22-17
18-24
24-20
16-31
16-24
18-19
21-30
18-26
22-16
188.6Avg total
92.0Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)96.095.5191.6+0.554%
Season at home (28)98.195.8193.8+2.361%
Season away (22)93.495.3188.7-1.945%
Last 10 (10)92.096.6188.6-4.640%
Last 5 (5)88.8100.0188.8-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)91.3101.7193.0-10.333%
vs Similar ◀ (16)95.797.5193.2-1.844%
vs Weaker (11)95.993.5189.4+2.564%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H02/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H03/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H07/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H09/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A10/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H14/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A16/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H17/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H18/01
NBA
103.2Avg total
53.1Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.452.6105.0-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.453.3105.6-0.947%-
Last 30 away (13)52.451.7104.1+0.754%-
Last 10 (10)53.150.1103.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)59.050.0109.0+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.053.3105.3-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)52.552.1104.7+0.454%-
vs Weaker (3)51.355.7107.0-4.333%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#16
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A09/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H20/01
NBA
93.4Avg total
46.8Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.048.697.6+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.348.899.1+1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)47.748.496.1-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)46.846.693.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.651.297.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.750.399.0-1.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)49.849.799.4+0.150%-
vs Weaker (11)48.146.594.6+1.555%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 100.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.428.7
48.3%
49.0%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.7
39.6%
35.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
75.5%13.6
They take 83.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.129.1
47.6%
49.0%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.05.8
30.5%
35.3%17.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.4
76.6%
75.5%16.4
They take 80.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLWWWWLLLW
Miami Heat
LLWLLLWLWW
#16
League position
#9
-0.2
Net rating
-4.9
102.8
Offensive rating
97.8
103.0
Defensive rating
102.7
51.5%
Effective FG%
47.2%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
13.1%
Turnover %
14.8%
17.9%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.6%
3-point %
30.5%
66.1%
Assist %
57.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 97.8Defence103.0 · 102.7Shooting51.5% · 47.2%3-point %39.6% · 30.5%Ball care13.1% · 14.8%Off. rebounds17.9% · 22.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Washington Wizards wins
3
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/16HPortland Trail Blazers98-108
17/01/16HBoston Celtics117-119
16/01/16AIndiana Pacers118-104
14/01/16HMilwaukee Bucks106-101
12/01/16AChicago Bulls114-100
10/01/16AOrlando Magic105-99
09/01/16HToronto Raptors88-97
07/01/16HCleveland Cavaliers115-121
03/01/16HMiami Heat75-97
02/01/16HOrlando Magic103-91
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/16HMilwaukee Bucks79-91
18/01/16AOklahoma City Thunder74-99
16/01/16ADenver Nuggets98-95
14/01/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-104
12/01/16AGolden State Warriors103-111
10/01/16AUtah Jazz83-98
09/01/16APhoenix Suns103-95
07/01/16HNew York Knicks90-98
05/01/16HIndiana Pacers103-100 OT
03/01/16AWashington Wizards97-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL48%
HomeLLWLL42%
AwayWLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %48%42%55%
Points / game102.9103.8102.0
Allowed / game104.3104.8103.9
Point differential-1.4-1.0-1.9
Avg total207.3208.6205.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)50% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL54%
HomeLWWLL61%
AwayLLLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502822
Win %54%61%45%
Points / game96.098.193.4
Allowed / game95.595.895.3
Point differential+0.5+2.3-1.9
Avg total191.6193.8188.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)78% (9)40% (5)
Overtime %8%7%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4941884%112.7102.9+9.8
2 San Antonio Spurs48381079%102.690.4+12.2
3 Oklahoma City Thunder48351373%108.299.6+8.5
4 Toronto Raptors48311765%99.895.7+4.0
5 Los Angeles Clippers47301764%103.9101.1+2.7
6 Cleveland Cavaliers46291763%100.396.7+3.5
7 Atlanta Hawks49292059%101.299.2+2.0
8 Memphis Grizzlies49292059%95.296.5-1.3
9 Chicago Bulls48282058%101.9101.4+0.6
10 Indiana Pacers49282157%102.599.2+3.3
11 Boston Celtics47262155%103.199.6+3.5
12 Miami Heat50272354%96.095.5+0.5
13 Orlando Magic47252253%98.998.9+0.1
14 Charlotte Hornets49262353%101.298.9+2.3
15 Detroit Pistons49252451%101.799.0+2.7
16 New York Knicks48242450%99.199.8-0.7
17 Houston Rockets51252649%104.8105.7-0.9
18 Dallas Mavericks50242648%99.3101.0-1.7
19 Sacramento Kings46222448%105.7106.9-1.2
20 Washington Wizards46222448%102.9104.3-1.4
21 Utah Jazz48212744%97.297.2-0.1
22 Portland Trail Blazers51222943%101.8102.7-0.9
23 Milwaukee Bucks50212942%98.5103.0-4.5
24 Denver Nuggets49202941%99.5102.6-3.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans48173135%101.9105.5-3.6
26 Phoenix Suns49173235%102.0105.7-3.7
27 Minnesota Timberwolves50153530%98.5103.2-4.7
28 Brooklyn Nets47133428%95.9102.7-6.8
29 Los Angeles Lakers50113922%96.2105.7-9.5
30 Philadelphia 76ers5074314%94.5105.1-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards26253025106
Miami Heat2215272387
← all games of the day
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