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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 79-91
18-19 21-30 18-26 22-16
Position#8
Record23-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game95.5
vs
Position#23
Record18-25
FormLWLWW
Points / game98.3
Allowed / game103.3
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Feb 2027
MIA v MIL
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
MIA v MIL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MIA112
MIL105
26 Nov 2025
MIA106
MIL103
05 Apr 2025
MIA115
MIL121
26 Nov 2024
MIA103
MIL106
28 Nov 2023
MIA124
MIL131
24 Apr 2023
MIA119
MIL114
22 Apr 2023
MIA121
MIL99
14 Jan 2023
MIA111
MIL95
12 Jan 2023
MIA108
MIL102
08 Dec 2021
MIA113
MIL104
21 Oct 2021
MIA137
MIL95
29 May 2021
MIA103
MIL120
27 May 2021
MIA84
MIL113
30 Dec 2020
MIA119
MIL108
29 Dec 2020
MIA97
MIL144
06 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL118
04 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL100
02 Mar 2020
MIA105
MIL89
15 Mar 2019
MIA98
MIL113
22 Dec 2018
MIA94
MIL87
09 Feb 2018
MIA91
MIL85
14 Jan 2018
MIA97
MIL79
21 Jan 2017
MIA109
MIL97
17 Nov 2016
MIA96
MIL73
19 Jan 2016
MIA79
MIL91
27 Jan 2015
MIA102
MIL109
16 Nov 2014
MIA84
MIL91
02 Apr 2014
MIA96
MIL77
12 Nov 2013
MIA118
MIL95
23 Apr 2013
MIA98
MIL86
21 Apr 2013
MIA110
MIL87
09 Apr 2013
MIA94
MIL83
21 Nov 2012
MIA113
MIL106
22 Jan 2012
MIA82
MIL91
06 Apr 2011
MIA85
MIL90
04 Jan 2011
MIA101
MIL89
27 Feb 2010
MIA71
MIL94
01 Feb 2010
MIA81
MIL97
28 Mar 2009
MIA102
MIL85
15 Dec 2008
MIA83
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
106-82
106
82
+24
108avg 88
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
97-75
97
75
+22
98avg 88
A03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
86avg 88
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
90-98
90
98
-8
74avg 88
H07/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
103-95
103
95
+8
100avg 88
A09/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
83-98
83
98
-15
65avg 88
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
103-111
103
111
-8
100avg 88
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-104
90
104
-14
92avg 88
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 88
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
74-99
74
99
-25
62avg 88
A18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
36-35
22-16
26-21
25-24
25-7
23-20
24-24
19-29
25-18
22-27
29-21
21-22
18-25
20-24
31-27
21-20
32-20
24-33
26-22
29-19
20-26
19-27
15-26
25-27
29-29
23-24
26-31
25-17
27-28
17-34
21-25
20-31
26-31
30-16
22-17
18-24
24-20
16-31
16-24
190.4Avg total
94.7Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)96.495.5192.0+0.956%
Season at home (23)99.495.7195.1+3.765%
Season away (18)92.695.3187.9-2.744%
Last 10 (10)94.795.7190.4-1.050%
Last 5 (5)89.6101.4191.0-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)93.297.2190.5-4.050%
vs Similar (15)95.598.4193.9-2.940%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)97.593.5190.9+4.073%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
120-116
120
116
+4
109avg 90
A31/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
95-85
95
85
+10
91avg 90
A03/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
98-123
98
123
-25
89avg 90
H05/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
106-117
106
117
-11
92avg 90
A06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
96-95
96
95
+1
89avg 90
H09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
88-100
88
100
-12
76avg 90
A11/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
106-101
106
101
+5
93avg 90
H13/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
101-106
101
106
-5
101avg 90
A14/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
95avg 90
H16/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
105-92
105
92
+13
108avg 90
A17/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
26-28
30-25
31-39
15-28
29-19
28-23
23-15
30-29
19-31
26-30
23-33
28-36
33-31
28-27
17-23
28-18
27-21
24-36
17-20
24-24
17-27
19-31
28-18
20-29
26-22
28-26
32-24
18-29
25-27
31-15
27-35
22-28
24-23
27-25
22-19
19-29
33-19
32-23
21-21
205.9Avg total
102.3Scored
103.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)98.3103.3201.6-5.042%
Season at home (19)100.8101.2201.9-0.463%
Season away (24)96.3105.0201.3-8.725%
Last 10 (10)102.3103.6205.9-1.360%
Last 5 (5)101.6100.0201.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)98.6103.2201.9-4.638%
vs Similar (12)99.3100.8200.2-1.550%
vs Weaker (2)104.0106.5210.5-2.550%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
Miami HeatMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A09/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/01
NBA
94.9Avg total
48.7Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.848.597.3+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.948.798.5+1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)47.748.496.1-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)48.746.294.9+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)48.650.499.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.548.299.8+3.225%-
vs Similar (15)49.150.299.3-1.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.546.493.8+1.155%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A31/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A03/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H05/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A11/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H13/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A14/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H16/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A17/01
NBA
101.8Avg total
49.6Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.451.6101.0-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.649.2101.8+3.462%-
Last 30 away (17)46.953.4100.4-6.518%-
Last 10 (10)49.652.2101.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.651.497.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)48.650.899.4-2.244%-
vs Similar (12)49.452.8102.2-3.425%-
vs Weaker (2)55.550.5106.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.330.7
49.3%
49.0%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.66.1
32.8%
35.3%18.3
🏀 Free throws19.715.0
76.1%
75.5%15.0
They take 80.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 104.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀15%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.8 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers72.134.9
48.4%
49.0%69.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.15.1
38.9%
35.3%15.3
🏀 Free throws27.919.4
69.5%
75.5%19.4
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 15% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLLLWLWWW
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLWLWLLWW
#8
League position
#23
-1.1
Net rating
-1.6
100.6
Offensive rating
107.1
101.7
Defensive rating
108.8
49.3%
Effective FG%
49.9%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.4%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.8%
3-point %
38.9%
57.3%
Assist %
57.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 107.1Defence101.7 · 108.8Shooting49.3% · 49.9%3-point %32.8% · 38.9%Ball care14.5% · 13.4%Off. rebounds22.4% · 29.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/16AOklahoma City Thunder74-99
16/01/16ADenver Nuggets98-95
14/01/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-104
12/01/16AGolden State Warriors103-111
10/01/16AUtah Jazz83-98
09/01/16APhoenix Suns103-95
07/01/16HNew York Knicks90-98
05/01/16HIndiana Pacers103-100 OT
03/01/16AWashington Wizards97-75
02/01/16HDallas Mavericks106-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/16ACharlotte Hornets105-92
16/01/16HAtlanta Hawks108-101 OT
14/01/16AWashington Wizards101-106
13/01/16HChicago Bulls106-101
11/01/16ANew York Knicks88-100
09/01/16HDallas Mavericks96-95
06/01/16AChicago Bulls106-117
05/01/16HSan Antonio Spurs98-123
03/01/16AMinnesota Timberwolves95-85
31/12/15AIndiana Pacers120-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL56%
HomeWLWWL65%
AwayLLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412318
Win %56%65%44%
Points / game96.499.492.6
Allowed / game95.595.795.3
Point differential+0.9+3.7-2.7
Avg total192.0195.1187.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%30%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %7%9%6%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW42%
HomeLLWWW63%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431924
Win %42%63%25%
Points / game98.3100.896.3
Allowed / game103.3101.2105.0
Point differential-5.0-0.4-8.7
Avg total201.6201.9201.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%26%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)83% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4238490%114.3102.6+11.7
2 San Antonio Spurs4236686%103.989.6+14.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers39281172%101.396.0+5.3
4 Oklahoma City Thunder42301271%108.5100.0+8.6
5 Los Angeles Clippers41271466%104.8101.0+3.7
6 Toronto Raptors41261563%100.696.9+3.7
7 Chicago Bulls40241660%102.0100.7+1.4
8 Atlanta Hawks42251760%102.6100.1+2.5
9 Miami Heat41231856%96.495.5+0.9
10 Dallas Mavericks43241956%100.9101.1-0.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies43241956%96.398.7-2.4
12 Indiana Pacers41221954%102.799.6+3.1
13 Detroit Pistons41221954%101.499.5+1.9
14 Boston Celtics42222052%103.6100.4+3.1
15 Houston Rockets43222151%104.3105.3-1.0
16 Orlando Magic40202050%98.698.8-0.2
17 New York Knicks43212249%99.3100.1-0.9
18 Washington Wizards40192148%102.1104.2-2.1
19 Charlotte Hornets41192246%101.7100.8+0.9
20 Utah Jazz41182344%97.197.2-0.1
21 Portland Trail Blazers44192543%101.5102.8-1.3
22 Sacramento Kings40172342%106.3108.3-2.0
23 Milwaukee Bucks43182542%98.3103.3-5.0
24 Denver Nuggets41162539%99.3103.4-4.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans40132732%101.3105.4-4.0
26 Minnesota Timberwolves42132931%99.0102.5-3.5
27 Phoenix Suns42132931%102.1106.9-4.8
28 Brooklyn Nets42113126%95.7103.3-7.6
29 Los Angeles Lakers4393421%96.3106.0-9.7
30 Philadelphia 76ers4353812%94.3105.2-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1821182279
Milwaukee Bucks1930261691
← all games of the day
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