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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 111-117
32-21 34-29 26-36 19-31
Position#26
Record15-27
FormLLLLW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game108.3
vs
Position#16
Record21-20
FormWWLWL
Points / game99.8
Allowed / game102.3
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
ORL136
MIA115
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
12 Oct 2025
ORL120
MIA104
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
17 Oct 2019
ORL98
MIA107
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
07 Oct 2017
ORL93
MIA90
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
13 Oct 2015
ORL95
MIA92
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
09 Jul 2013
ORL80
MIA94
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
110-117
110
117
-7
A10/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
95-106
95
106
-11
H14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
88-95
88
95
-7
H16/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
110-114
110
114
-4
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
94-112
94
112
-18
A21/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
L
97-111
97
111
-14
H23/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
103-130
103
130
-27
A24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
89-107
89
107
-18
A27/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
23-35
22-32
19-22
22-32
32-25
33-32
23-28
24-13
16-32
28-29
27-32
20-24
23-26
23-25
22-20
23-36
20-24
36-36
31-18
24-31
24-28
18-31
28-22
20-32
30-28
22-28
25-23
29-37
19-35
35-28
20-30
18-21
31-22
19-25
21-39
33-28
17-22
27-23
25-16
206.1Avg total
97.7Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)104.0108.3212.2-4.336%
Season at home (19)102.4105.2207.5-2.847%
Season away (23)105.3110.8216.1-5.526%
Last 10 (10)97.7108.4206.1-10.710%
Last 5 (5)97.0109.8206.8-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)101.8112.0213.9-10.214%
vs Similar ◀ (8)100.5105.6206.1-5.150%
vs Weaker (1)128.0112.0240.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
107-82
107
82
+25
A12/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H14/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
104-98
104
98
+6
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H17/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
104-110
104
110
-6
A19/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A21/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
113-101
113
101
+12
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
L
94-109
94
109
-15
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
107-89
107
89
+18
H27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
87-111
87
111
-24
H30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
24-19
25-18
37-22
33-21
27-29
19-20
16-32
24-19
29-28
26-24
25-27
24-17
22-23
23-25
21-20
30-29
27-29
19-29
28-23
15-24
21-20
26-15
28-30
32-23
21-30
29-20
31-28
28-27
25-29
16-27
25-26
21-18
22-31
25-19
39-21
20-24
19-35
21-36
27-16
196.7Avg total
99.1Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)99.8102.3202.1-2.551%
Season at home (20)101.2104.0205.3-2.855%
Season away (21)98.4100.7199.1-2.348%
Last 10 (10)99.197.6196.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)98.299.8198.0-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.398.0184.3-11.733%
vs Similar ◀ (22)99.5102.3201.8-2.850%
vs Weaker (5)106.898.2205.0+8.680%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A10/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H16/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A21/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H23/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
48-72
48
72
-24
A24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A27/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H29/12
NBA
101.8Avg total
47.3Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.757.2107.9-6.523%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.053.6102.6-4.631%-
Last 30 away (17)51.959.9111.9-8.018%-
Last 10 (10)47.354.5101.8-7.210%-
Last 5 (5)49.056.8105.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)50.259.2109.4-9.010%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)50.251.2101.5-1.050%-
vs Weaker (1)64.063.0127.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H14/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H17/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A19/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H30/12
NBA
98.3Avg total
48.5Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.351.8103.1-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.852.7104.5-0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)50.951.1102.0-0.159%-
Last 10 (10)48.549.898.3-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.852.297.0-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.753.798.3-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)51.852.2104.0-0.455%-
vs Weaker (5)53.048.6101.6+4.480%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 97.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.328.4
47.9%
51.0%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
36.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.614.8
75.5%
76.5%14.8
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 99.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.725.6
51.5%
51.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.7
36.6%
36.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.8
75.6%
76.5%15.8
They take 78.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WLLLLLLLLL
Miami Heat
LWLWWLWWLW
#26
League position
#16
-10.8
Net rating
+1.6
98.5
Offensive rating
106.2
109.3
Defensive rating
104.6
48.4%
Effective FG%
52.8%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.3%
18.3%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.1%
3-point %
36.6%
58.0%
Assist %
57.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 106.2Defence109.3 · 104.6Shooting48.4% · 52.8%3-point %33.1% · 36.6%Ball care13.9% · 14.3%Off. rebounds18.3% · 20.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Orlando Magic wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/17HDetroit Pistons102-89
27/12/17AMiami Heat89-107
24/12/17AWashington Wizards103-130
23/12/17HNew Orleans Pelicans97-111
21/12/17AChicago Bulls94-112
17/12/17ADetroit Pistons110-114
16/12/17HPortland Trail Blazers88-95
14/12/17HLos Angeles Clippers95-106
10/12/17AAtlanta Hawks110-117
09/12/17HDenver Nuggets89-103
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/17HBrooklyn Nets87-111
27/12/17HOrlando Magic107-89
24/12/17HNew Orleans Pelicans94-109
23/12/17HDallas Mavericks113-101
21/12/17ABoston Celtics90-89
19/12/17AAtlanta Hawks104-110
17/12/17HLos Angeles Clippers90-85
16/12/17ACharlotte Hornets104-98
14/12/17HPortland Trail Blazers95-102
12/12/17AMemphis Grizzlies107-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeLLLLW47%
AwayLLLLL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games421923
Win %36%47%26%
Points / game104.0102.4105.3
Allowed / game108.3105.2110.8
Point differential-4.3-2.8-5.5
Avg total212.2207.5216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%26%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)100% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL51%
HomeWWLWL55%
AwayWWWLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %51%55%48%
Points / game99.8101.298.4
Allowed / game102.3104.0100.7
Point differential-2.5-2.8-2.3
Avg total202.1205.3199.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%15%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)83% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics43331077%103.698.0+5.6
2 Golden State Warriors40301075%114.4105.1+9.3
3 Houston Rockets38281074%113.3104.9+8.4
4 Toronto Raptors39271269%110.5102.8+7.7
5 San Antonio Spurs41281368%102.598.4+4.1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers40251562%109.0107.2+1.7
7 Minnesota Timberwolves39241562%108.7107.1+1.6
8 Washington Wizards40231757%106.2103.8+2.4
9 Oklahoma City Thunder39221756%102.999.6+3.3
10 Portland Trail Blazers39221756%103.4100.7+2.6
11 Denver Nuggets40221855%107.1105.8+1.3
12 Detroit Pistons39211854%102.6101.8+0.8
13 Indiana Pacers39211854%107.1106.4+0.7
14 Milwaukee Bucks38201853%104.3105.4-1.1
15 Miami Heat41212051%99.8102.3-2.5
16 New Orleans Pelicans39192049%110.5111.6-1.1
17 Utah Jazz39182146%102.0101.5+0.5
18 Los Angeles Clippers39172244%105.4106.2-0.7
19 Philadelphia 76ers39172244%107.9108.9-1.0
20 New York Knicks40172342%102.8104.8-2.0
21 Brooklyn Nets39162341%108.1109.3-1.2
22 Chicago Bulls41162539%100.3106.3-6.0
23 Charlotte Hornets40152538%104.0105.7-1.7
24 Dallas Mavericks43162737%100.9102.4-1.5
25 Phoenix Suns41152637%105.7112.3-6.6
26 Orlando Magic42152736%104.0108.3-4.3
27 Memphis Grizzlies40142635%98.3100.4-2.1
28 Los Angeles Lakers40132732%105.2109.1-3.9
29 Sacramento Kings41132832%96.1104.8-8.7
30 Atlanta Hawks40112928%102.9107.3-4.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic32342619111
Miami Heat21293631117
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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