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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 107-89
21-18 22-31 25-19 39-21
Position#16
Record17-16
FormWLWWL
Points / game100.1
Allowed / game102.0
Miami Heat 🏆
USA
vs
Orlando Magic
USA
Position#26
Record11-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game105.4
Allowed / game110.9
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
105-117
105
117
-12
103avg 94
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
101-89
101
89
+12
85avg 94
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
107-82
107
82
+25
108avg 94
A12/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
95-102
95
102
-7
86avg 94
H14/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
104-98
104
98
+6
102avg 94
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
90-85
90
85
+5
77avg 94
H17/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
104-110
104
110
-6
95avg 94
A19/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 94
A21/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
113-101
113
101
+12
116avg 94
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
94-109
94
109
-15
79avg 94
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-27
23-30
24-29
23-31
24-26
26-27
25-19
26-17
21-23
24-19
25-18
37-22
33-21
27-29
19-20
16-32
24-19
29-28
26-24
25-27
24-17
22-23
23-25
21-20
30-29
27-29
19-29
28-23
15-24
21-20
26-15
28-30
32-23
21-30
29-20
31-28
28-27
25-29
16-27
25-26
198.5Avg total
100.3Scored
98.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)100.1102.0202.1-1.952%
Season at home (15)100.6104.7205.3-4.147%
Season away (18)99.799.8199.4-0.156%
Last 10 (10)100.398.2198.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)98.298.8197.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.5110.0197.5-22.50%
vs Similar (23)98.7101.7200.3-3.048%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)106.898.2205.0+8.680%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
94-104
94
104
-10
87avg 93
A05/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
95avg 93
H07/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
89-103
89
103
-14
76avg 93
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
110-117
110
117
-7
110avg 93
A10/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
95-106
95
106
-11
84avg 93
H14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
88-95
88
95
-7
73avg 93
H16/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
110-114
110
114
-4
103avg 93
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
94-112
94
112
-18
78avg 93
A21/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
97-111
97
111
-14
80avg 93
H23/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
103-130
103
130
-27
82avg 93
A24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
22-28
29-21
20-29
31-23
13-29
30-27
22-17
25-14
23-35
22-32
19-22
22-32
32-25
33-32
23-28
24-13
16-32
28-29
27-32
20-24
23-26
23-25
22-20
23-36
20-24
36-36
31-18
24-31
24-28
18-31
28-22
20-32
30-28
22-28
25-23
29-37
19-35
35-28
20-30
208.8Avg total
99.0Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)105.4110.9216.2-5.532%
Season at home (15)102.1107.8209.9-5.740%
Season away (19)107.9113.3221.2-5.426%
Last 10 (10)99.0109.8208.8-10.810%
Last 5 (5)98.4112.4210.8-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)102.9112.3215.2-9.514%
vs Similar (7)102.1105.4207.6-3.357%
vs Weaker (1)128.0112.0240.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H14/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H17/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A19/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H24/12
NBA
101.1Avg total
51.1Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.851.6103.4+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.852.3105.2+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)50.951.1102.0-0.159%-
Last 10 (10)51.150.0101.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)49.050.299.2-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.556.0104.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (23)51.851.9103.7-0.152%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)53.048.6101.6+4.480%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A05/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H07/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A10/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H16/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A21/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H23/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
48-72
48
72
-24
A24/12
NBA
102.1Avg total
46.3Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.057.3108.3-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.852.4102.2-2.538%-
Last 30 away (17)51.961.0112.9-9.112%-
Last 10 (10)46.355.8102.1-9.50%-
Last 5 (5)46.460.2106.6-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)50.658.5109.2-7.914%-
vs Similar (7)50.452.4102.9-2.043%-
vs Weaker (1)64.063.0127.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 100.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.725.4
53.2%
51.0%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.9
40.5%
36.1%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.713.8
73.8%
76.5%13.8
They take 77.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 99.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.629.6
49.7%
51.0%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.7
31.4%
36.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
76.5%13.7
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWLWWLWWL
Orlando Magic
LLLLLLLLWL
#16
League position
#26
+2.3
Net rating
-10.7
109.0
Offensive rating
98.2
106.7
Defensive rating
108.9
56.1%
Effective FG%
48.9%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
13.8%
19.0%
Off. rebound %
17.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
40.5%
3-point %
31.4%
58.4%
Assist %
57.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 98.2Defence106.7 · 108.9Shooting56.1% · 48.9%3-point %40.5% · 31.4%Ball care14.2% · 13.8%Off. rebounds19.0% · 17.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Orlando Magic wins
DateGameScore
18/10/17Orlando Magic v Miami Heat116-109
04/03/17Orlando Magic v Miami Heat110-99
14/02/17Miami Heat v Orlando Magic107-116
21/12/16Miami Heat v Orlando Magic130-136 OT
26/10/16Orlando Magic v Miami Heat96-108
10/04/16Miami Heat v Orlando Magic118-96
08/04/16Orlando Magic v Miami Heat112-109
26/03/16Miami Heat v Orlando Magic108-97
27/12/15Orlando Magic v Miami Heat101-108
13/04/15Miami Heat v Orlando Magic100-93
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/17HNew Orleans Pelicans94-109
23/12/17HDallas Mavericks113-101
21/12/17ABoston Celtics90-89
19/12/17AAtlanta Hawks104-110
17/12/17HLos Angeles Clippers90-85
16/12/17ACharlotte Hornets104-98
14/12/17HPortland Trail Blazers95-102
12/12/17AMemphis Grizzlies107-82
09/12/17ABrooklyn Nets101-89
07/12/17ASan Antonio Spurs105-117
Orlando Magiclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/17AWashington Wizards103-130
23/12/17HNew Orleans Pelicans97-111
21/12/17AChicago Bulls94-112
17/12/17ADetroit Pistons110-114
16/12/17HPortland Trail Blazers88-95
14/12/17HLos Angeles Clippers95-106
10/12/17AAtlanta Hawks110-117
09/12/17HDenver Nuggets89-103
07/12/17HAtlanta Hawks110-106 OT
05/12/17ACharlotte Hornets94-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL52%
HomeLLWWL47%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %52%47%56%
Points / game100.1100.699.7
Allowed / game102.0104.799.8
Point differential-1.9-4.1-0.1
Avg total202.1205.3199.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%13%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayLLLLL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341519
Win %32%40%26%
Points / game105.4102.1107.9
Allowed / game110.9107.8113.3
Point differential-5.5-5.7-5.4
Avg total216.2209.9221.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3427779%114.5104.6+9.9
2 Houston Rockets3225778%115.1105.6+9.6
3 Boston Celtics37271073%103.598.5+4.9
4 Toronto Raptors3223972%110.8102.3+8.5
5 Cleveland Cavaliers34241071%110.8107.3+3.4
6 San Antonio Spurs34231168%101.198.0+3.1
7 Minnesota Timberwolves34211362%108.4106.3+2.1
8 Detroit Pistons33191458%102.8101.6+1.2
9 Oklahoma City Thunder34191556%102.9100.0+2.9
10 Washington Wizards34191556%105.8103.6+2.2
11 Indiana Pacers34191556%107.9106.9+0.9
12 Milwaukee Bucks31171455%105.1105.5-0.4
13 Denver Nuggets33181555%106.8105.8+1.0
14 Portland Trail Blazers33171652%101.7100.3+1.4
15 New York Knicks33171652%104.0103.6+0.4
16 New Orleans Pelicans33171652%110.6110.8-0.2
17 Miami Heat33171652%100.1102.0-1.9
18 Philadelphia 76ers33151845%107.8108.8-1.0
19 Utah Jazz34151944%101.7100.7+1.0
20 Los Angeles Clippers32131941%104.5106.3-1.8
21 Brooklyn Nets32122038%107.6110.2-2.7
22 Charlotte Hornets33122136%104.6106.5-1.9
23 Los Angeles Lakers32112134%106.5109.8-3.2
24 Sacramento Kings32112134%96.6105.1-8.5
25 Phoenix Suns35122334%105.8112.8-7.1
26 Orlando Magic34112332%105.4110.9-5.5
27 Chicago Bulls32102231%99.4106.4-7.0
28 Memphis Grizzlies33102330%97.1101.3-4.2
29 Dallas Mavericks35102529%99.9102.9-3.0
30 Atlanta Hawks3382524%103.8108.7-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat21222539107
Orlando Magic1831192189
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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