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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 88-89
31-22 21-19 19-20 17-28
Position#15
Record19-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game107.2
Allowed / game103.6
vs
Position#20
Record14-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game112.1
Allowed / game109.4
USANBA· Kia Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
100-92
100
92
+8
101avg 101
A01/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
106-121
106
121
-15
92avg 101
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
106-102
106
102
+4
97avg 101
A05/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
94-102
94
102
-8
86avg 101
A07/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
115-110
115
110
+5
100avg 101
H08/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
109-114
109
114
-5
126avg 101
A11/12
NBA Cup
New York Knicks
#6
L
91-100
91
100
-9
80avg 101
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
99-105
99
105
-6
94avg 101
H20/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
121-114
121
114
+7
113avg 101
H22/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
108-104
108
104
+4
104avg 101
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
24-21
25-19
25-23
27-36
24-35
24-35
31-15
34-22
19-31
24-24
29-25
27-25
14-25
18-21
35-31
29-34
28-28
27-25
31-23
33-25
26-35
13-20
37-34
22-22
19-29
26-24
24-25
28-29
18-36
28-17
25-23
28-40
28-36
28-30
37-8
21-32
22-26
36-21
29-25
211.3Avg total
104.9Scored
106.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)107.2103.6210.8+3.663%
Season at home (14)111.1101.1212.1+10.086%
Season away (16)103.9105.8209.7-1.944%
Last 10 (10)104.9106.4211.3-1.550%
Last 5 (5)105.6107.4213.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)101.0109.8210.8-8.817%
vs Similar ◀ (13)108.7108.8217.5-0.162%
vs Weaker (10)108.293.8202.0+14.490%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
116-119
116
119
-3
108avg 103
A01/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
89-108
89
108
-19
78avg 103
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
134-93
134
93
+41
146avg 103
H05/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
121-111
121
111
+10
119avg 103
H08/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
122-113
122
113
+9
120avg 103
H08/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
114-104
114
104
+10
108avg 103
H13/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
124-125 OT
124
125
-1
115avg 103
A17/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
85avg 103
H21/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
114-121
114
121
-7
102avg 103
A22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
110-95
110
95
+15
113avg 103
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-34
36-31
27-33
29-21
25-28
20-32
18-25
26-23
34-26
35-26
36-20
29-21
26-29
27-29
34-24
34-29
21-25
38-26
31-29
32-33
23-27
35-24
31-25
25-28
32-33
27-30
22-34
33-17
25-30
22-20
23-31
27-23
40-28
36-28
30-28
8-37
39-28
19-29
25-21
27-17
223.4Avg total
114.1Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)112.1109.4221.5+2.852%
Season at home (14)112.2106.1218.3+6.164%
Season away (13)112.1112.9225.0-0.838%
Last 10 (10)114.1109.3223.4+4.850%
Last 5 (5)111.8109.8221.6+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)96.9103.7200.6-6.943%
vs Similar ◀ (17)116.0113.9229.9+2.141%
vs Weaker (6)104.393.0197.3+11.3100%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +7.1+7.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +7.1+7.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A01/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
51-71
51
71
-20
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A05/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A07/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H08/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A11/12
NBA Cup
New York Knicks
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
46-65
46
65
-19
H20/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
56-76
56
76
-20
H22/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H24/12
NBA
109.3Avg total
49.7Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.556.1108.6-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.754.6108.3-0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)51.557.4108.9-5.919%-
Last 10 (10)49.759.6109.3-9.90%-
Last 5 (5)49.062.0111.0-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)45.561.7107.2-16.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)56.158.8114.8-2.738%-
vs Weaker (10)51.548.9100.4+2.650%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A01/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
69-52
69
52
+17
H05/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H08/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H08/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H13/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A17/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H21/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
76-56
76
56
+20
A22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H24/12
NBA
114.7Avg total
58.4Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.353.9109.2+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.154.5111.6+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)53.753.4107.1+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)58.456.3114.7+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)59.655.4115.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.151.1101.3-1.057%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)58.757.1115.8+1.647%-
vs Weaker (6)51.548.099.5+3.567%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 105.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.528.6
54.5%
54.3%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.09.9
29.1%
35.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws23.819.0
79.8%
77.8%19.0
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.126.2
55.6%
54.3%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.9
36.7%
35.9%41.7
🏀 Free throws25.120.0
79.7%
77.8%20.0
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WWLLLWLWLW
Miami Heat
WLLLWWWWLL
#15
League position
#20
-2.6
Net rating
+4.8
103.5
Offensive rating
114.6
106.1
Defensive rating
109.8
50.2%
Effective FG%
55.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
13.6%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.1%
3-point %
36.7%
57.4%
Assist %
65.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 114.6Defence106.1 · 109.8Shooting50.2% · 55.4%3-point %29.1% · 36.7%Ball care15.9% · 13.6%Off. rebounds27.2% · 22.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Orlando Magic wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24HBoston Celtics108-104
22/12/24HMiami Heat121-114
20/12/24HOklahoma City Thunder99-105
15/12/24HNew York Knicks91-100
11/12/24AMilwaukee Bucks109-114
08/12/24HPhoenix Suns115-110
07/12/24APhiladelphia 76ers94-102
05/12/24APhiladelphia 76ers106-102
04/12/24ANew York Knicks106-121
01/12/24ABrooklyn Nets100-92
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24HBrooklyn Nets110-95
22/12/24AOrlando Magic114-121
21/12/24HOklahoma City Thunder97-104
17/12/24ADetroit Pistons124-125 OT
13/12/24HToronto Raptors114-104
08/12/24HCleveland Cavaliers122-113
08/12/24HPhoenix Suns121-111
05/12/24HLos Angeles Lakers134-93
03/12/24ABoston Celtics89-108
01/12/24AToronto Raptors116-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW63%
HomeWLLWW86%
AwayWWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %63%86%44%
Points / game107.2111.1103.9
Allowed / game103.6101.1105.8
Point differential+3.6+10.0-1.9
Avg total210.8212.1209.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %52%64%38%
Points / game112.1112.2112.1
Allowed / game109.4106.1112.9
Point differential+2.8+6.1-0.8
Avg total221.5218.3225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%43%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3026487%121.8110.2+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder2621581%115.1103.4+11.7
3 Boston Celtics3022873%118.9109.8+9.1
4 Houston Rockets2719870%114.4106.7+7.6
5 New York Knicks2920969%117.9110.1+7.8
6 Memphis Grizzlies30201067%122.7113.0+9.7
7 Dallas Mavericks29191066%118.7111.6+7.1
8 Orlando Magic30191163%107.2103.6+3.6
9 Denver Nuggets28161257%119.1116.1+3.0
10 Los Angeles Clippers30171357%109.6107.6+2.0
11 Los Angeles Lakers30171357%111.3113.8-2.5
12 Milwaukee Bucks26141254%112.8111.6+1.2
13 Golden State Warriors28151354%113.6111.7+2.0
14 Miami Heat27141352%112.1109.4+2.8
15 Minnesota Timberwolves29151452%109.1106.9+2.2
16 Phoenix Suns29151452%113.3114.6-1.3
17 Indiana Pacers30151550%114.8115.9-1.1
18 San Antonio Spurs30151550%111.7112.8-1.1
19 Atlanta Hawks28141450%117.2120.0-2.8
20 Sacramento Kings30131743%114.8113.6+1.2
21 Detroit Pistons30131743%111.9114.6-2.7
22 Chicago Bulls30131743%117.2121.1-4.0
23 Philadelphia 76ers28111739%106.4110.5-4.2
24 Brooklyn Nets29111838%108.7114.0-5.3
25 Portland Trail Blazers2992031%107.1116.8-9.7
26 Utah Jazz2872125%110.3119.5-9.2
27 Charlotte Hornets2972224%106.4113.0-6.6
28 Toronto Raptors3072323%112.1117.3-5.3
29 New Orleans Pelicans3052517%105.7117.2-11.5
30 Washington Wizards2742315%107.4122.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic3121191788
Miami Heat2219202889
← all games of the day
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