PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 139-140 (OT)
32-26 21-26 26-32 33-28 27-28
Position#9
Record47-28
FormLWLWW
Points / game120.9
Allowed / game116.7
vs
Position#7
Record43-32
FormLWLWW
Points / game113.8
Allowed / game109.2
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
95-115
95
115
-20
80avg 114
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
131-126
131
126
+5
126avg 114
H15/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
123-126
123
126
-3
124avg 114
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
114-105
114
105
+9
114avg 114
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
108-120
108
120
-12
100avg 114
A20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
109-128
109
128
-19
102avg 114
A22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
111avg 114
A23/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
119-129
119
129
-10
116avg 114
H25/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
127-117
127
117
+10
128avg 114
H27/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
129-93
129
93
+36
137avg 114
H29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-34
22-23
27-32
20-26
32-40
39-27
31-32
29-27
44-30
28-33
23-32
28-31
29-22
33-28
27-27
25-28
29-46
30-27
18-32
31-15
30-30
29-24
23-34
27-40
27-27
30-30
39-22
20-32
35-27
30-38
30-30
24-34
38-27
29-37
33-28
27-25
26-15
31-32
29-18
43-28
234.1Avg total
117.1Scored
117.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)120.9116.7237.6+4.263%
Season at home (37)123.0116.5239.5+6.568%
Season away (38)118.8116.8235.6+2.058%
Last 10 (10)117.1117.0234.1+0.150%
Last 5 (5)120.0115.6235.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)115.3121.3236.7-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (13)115.5115.0230.5+0.562%
vs Weaker (14)128.0119.6247.6+8.471%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
141-124
141
124
+17
143avg 107
H10/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
115-95
115
95
+20
113avg 107
A13/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
118-111
118
111
+7
116avg 107
H15/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
128-102
128
102
+26
122avg 107
H16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
130-132 OT
130
132
-2
116avg 107
H18/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
115-119
115
119
-4
107avg 107
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
134-93
134
93
+41
136avg 107
H22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
103-119
103
119
-16
96avg 107
A24/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
124-109
124
109
+15
123avg 107
H29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
123-104
123
104
+19
119avg 107
H30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-29
31-31
41-34
32-30
34-26
23-22
32-27
26-20
33-30
29-28
16-29
40-24
34-20
28-31
37-25
29-26
30-30
16-30
41-29
30-28
30-24
31-38
30-34
24-23
28-22
34-26
35-24
37-21
23-25
25-29
25-41
30-24
27-21
30-24
35-30
32-34
20-34
34-26
38-23
31-21
233.9Avg total
123.1Scored
110.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)113.8109.2223.1+4.657%
Season at home (39)115.7109.2224.9+6.559%
Season away (36)111.8109.3221.0+2.556%
Last 10 (10)123.1110.8233.9+12.370%
Last 5 (5)119.8108.8228.6+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)119.2121.8241.0-2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (8)114.5112.4226.9+2.138%
vs Weaker (18)120.3108.0228.3+12.378%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +6.0+6.0
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H15/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A23/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
D
65-65
65
65
+0
H25/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H27/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H29/03
NBA
121.4Avg total
61.7Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.559.3121.8+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)64.258.9123.1+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)60.959.7120.5+1.260%-
Last 10 (10)61.759.7121.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)61.057.4118.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.365.0123.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)59.660.1119.7-0.554%-
vs Weaker (14)66.157.4123.5+8.886%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H10/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A13/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H15/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H18/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A24/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H30/03
NBA
112.3Avg total
57.7Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.057.0114.0-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.756.9115.6+1.856%-
Last 30 away (12)54.457.2111.7-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)57.754.6112.3+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)56.453.8110.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.061.8115.8-7.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)54.458.8113.1-4.412%-
vs Weaker (18)58.855.2114.1+3.661%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.932.1
57.4%
54.3%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.6
36.0%
35.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws24.418.1
74.2%
77.8%18.1
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 123.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.029.4
57.6%
54.3%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.815.4
39.7%
35.9%46.2
🏀 Free throws23.118.1
78.4%
77.8%18.1
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLLWLWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLWLLWWWW
#9
League position
#7
+0.1
Net rating
+12.3
115.5
Offensive rating
121.5
115.4
Defensive rating
109.1
56.2%
Effective FG%
58.5%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
14.3%
Turnover %
12.7%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.0%
3-point %
39.7%
70.3%
Assist %
65.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 121.5Defence115.4 · 109.1Shooting56.2% · 58.5%3-point %36.0% · 39.7%Ball care14.3% · 12.7%Off. rebounds28.5% · 27.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HUtah Jazz129-93
27/03/25HMilwaukee Bucks127-117
25/03/25HChicago Bulls119-129
23/03/25AHouston Rockets116-111
22/03/25APortland Trail Blazers109-128
20/03/25ALos Angeles Lakers108-120
18/03/25AGolden State Warriors114-105
16/03/25HWashington Wizards123-126
15/03/25HLos Angeles Lakers131-126
13/03/25HMinnesota Timberwolves95-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HDetroit Pistons123-104
29/03/25HPhoenix Suns124-109
24/03/25AIndiana Pacers103-119
22/03/25HNew Orleans Pelicans134-93
20/03/25HNew Orleans Pelicans115-119
18/03/25HIndiana Pacers130-132 OT
16/03/25HUtah Jazz128-102
15/03/25HOrlando Magic118-111
13/03/25ADenver Nuggets115-95
10/03/25HSan Antonio Spurs141-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW63%
HomeWLLWW68%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753738
Win %63%68%58%
Points / game120.9123.0118.8
Allowed / game116.7116.5116.8
Point differential+4.2+6.5+2.0
Avg total237.6239.5235.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%46%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won63% (19)56% (9)70% (10)
Overtime %7%3%11%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeLLWWW59%
AwayWWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753936
Win %57%59%56%
Points / game113.8115.7111.8
Allowed / game109.2109.2109.3
Point differential+4.6+6.5+2.5
Avg total223.1224.9221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%41%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (24)36% (14)60% (10)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder73611284%120.6107.2+13.3
2 Cleveland Cavaliers75601580%122.3112.3+10.0
3 Boston Celtics75561975%116.9107.7+9.2
4 Houston Rockets74482665%114.5109.3+5.2
5 New York Knicks74482665%116.5111.8+4.6
6 Denver Nuggets75472863%120.9116.7+4.2
7 Los Angeles Lakers75462961%113.1112.2+0.8
8 Golden State Warriors74443059%114.0111.1+2.9
9 Indiana Pacers75443159%117.1115.3+1.8
10 Memphis Grizzlies76443258%122.0117.3+4.7
11 Minnesota Timberwolves75433257%113.8109.2+4.6
12 Los Angeles Clippers75433257%112.2108.4+3.8
13 Detroit Pistons75423356%115.5113.1+2.4
14 Milwaukee Bucks73393453%114.8113.1+1.7
15 Dallas Mavericks75373849%115.0115.1-0.1
16 Orlando Magic76373949%105.0105.6-0.6
17 Sacramento Kings75363948%115.8115.7+0.0
18 Atlanta Hawks73353848%118.2119.9-1.8
19 Phoenix Suns76354146%114.4116.6-2.2
20 Miami Heat75344145%109.6109.9-0.3
21 Chicago Bulls76344245%117.6120.0-2.4
22 Portland Trail Blazers76334343%110.9114.3-3.5
23 San Antonio Spurs75314441%114.0116.8-2.8
24 Toronto Raptors76284837%110.8115.3-4.5
25 Brooklyn Nets76255133%105.2111.8-6.6
26 Philadelphia 76ers76235330%109.6115.7-6.1
27 New Orleans Pelicans75215428%110.2118.8-8.6
28 Charlotte Hornets75195625%105.6113.6-8.0
29 Washington Wizards75165921%108.6120.9-12.3
30 Utah Jazz76166021%111.5120.1-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Denver Nuggets3221263327139
Minnesota Timberwolves2626322828140
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.