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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jul 2019
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 90-87
24-34 13-19 30-17 23-17
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#9
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game78.3
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
06 Feb 2027
MIN v MIA
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
MIN122
MIA94
10 Nov 2024
MIN94
MIA95
28 Oct 2023
MIN106
MIA90
21 Nov 2022
MIN105
MIA101
24 Nov 2021
MIN113
MIA101
16 Apr 2021
MIN119
MIA111
27 Oct 2019
MIN116
MIA109
10 Jul 2019
MIN90
MIA87
05 Apr 2019
MIN111
MIA109
24 Nov 2017
MIN97
MIA109
06 Feb 2017
MIN113
MIA115
05 Nov 2015
MIN84
MIA96
04 Feb 2015
MIN102
MIA101
07 Dec 2013
MIN82
MIA103
04 Mar 2013
MIN81
MIA97
30 Dec 2011
MIN101
MIA103
01 Apr 2011
MIN92
MIA111
03 Apr 2010
MIN84
MIA97
13 Jan 2009
MIN96
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
109-118
109
118
-9
H31/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
122-132
122
132
-10
H02/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
110-108
110
108
+2
A04/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
111-109
111
109
+2
H06/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
L
126-132
126
132
-6
H07/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
100-120
100
120
-20
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
95-99
95
99
-4
A11/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#27
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H05/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
W
100-91
100
91
+9
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-38
35-30
26-24
28-26
23-38
41-37
36-22
22-35
32-27
26-31
31-21
21-29
36-35
25-34
29-22
21-18
31-38
29-24
37-33
29-37
28-26
19-43
31-29
22-22
21-22
29-29
29-22
16-26
18-21
17-25
29-14
21-15
32-19
20-18
13-14
25-15
26-16
21-22
25-24
28-29
209.8Avg total
104.8Scored
105.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.777.3169.0+14.3100%
Season at home (3)91.777.3169.0+14.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)104.8105.0209.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)94.090.2184.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)113.9122.2236.1-8.421%
vs Similar ◀ (11)116.8118.5235.3-1.655%
vs Weaker (5)98.685.6184.2+13.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
109-111
109
111
-2
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
109-117 OT
109
117
-8
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
122-99
122
99
+23
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
94-113
94
113
-19
A11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
106-79
106
79
+27
A02/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
Sacramento Kings
#3
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A03/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A03/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
China
#31
W
103-62
103
62
+41
H05/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Utah Jazz
#23
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Orlando Magic
#16
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-36
34-25
22-29
18-21
26-25
31-25
22-28
24-25
34-20
27-22
30-18
31-39
23-32
24-31
24-29
23-21
30-20
37-20
19-14
20-25
17-21
19-24
27-26
26-17
12-15
18-23
15-12
28-15
27-13
32-12
29-19
15-18
19-17
29-17
18-20
27-27
22-24
26-28
22-16
26-24
190.1Avg total
99.4Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.378.3175.7+19.0100%
Season at home (2)99.577.0176.5+22.5100%
Season away (1)93.081.0174.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)99.490.7190.1+8.770%
Last 5 (5)90.877.6168.4+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)107.0119.5226.5-12.517%
vs Similar ◀ (14)106.099.2205.2+6.864%
vs Weaker (10)102.190.6192.7+11.590%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H31/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
64-75
64
75
-11
H02/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A04/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H06/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H07/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
47-69
47
69
-22
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A11/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#27
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H05/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
110.2Avg total
52.9Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.458.8115.2-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.459.1114.5-3.835%-
Last 30 away (13)57.858.3116.2-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)52.957.3110.2-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)46.248.294.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)55.962.3118.1-6.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)59.660.6120.3-1.045%-
vs Weaker (5)51.044.895.8+6.280%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
67-40
67
40
+27
A02/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
Sacramento Kings
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A03/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
China
#31
W
59-25
59
25
+34
H05/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Utah Jazz
#23
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Orlando Magic
#16
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
97.2Avg total
52.2Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.250.4104.6+3.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.749.6105.3+6.153%-
Last 30 away (15)52.751.3104.0+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)52.245.097.2+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.883.0+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.256.2117.3+5.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)52.550.8103.3+1.750%-
vs Weaker (10)52.446.598.9+5.940%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.730.8
50.7%
-61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.1
37.8%
-33.3
🏀 Free throws22.217.6
79.3%
-17.6
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 13% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.530.0
53.1%
-60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.310.4
30.3%
-31.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
-14.0
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jul 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWLLLWWLL
Miami Heat
WWWWWWLWLL
#1
League position
#9
-3.7
Net rating
-1.1
108.5
Offensive rating
102.6
112.2
Defensive rating
103.7
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.2%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
11.9%
Turnover %
13.4%
18.4%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.8%
3-point %
30.3%
60.6%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/19HMilwaukee Bucks100-91
07/07/19HAtlanta Hawks90-66
05/07/19HCleveland Cavaliers85-75
11/04/19ADenver Nuggets95-99
10/04/19HToronto Raptors100-120
07/04/19HOklahoma City Thunder126-132
06/04/19HMiami Heat111-109
04/04/19ADallas Mavericks110-108
02/04/19HPortland Trail Blazers122-132
31/03/19HPhiladelphia 76ers109-118
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/19HOrlando Magic96-92
08/07/19AUtah Jazz93-81
05/07/19HChina103-62
03/07/19AGolden State Warriors73-65
03/07/19ASacramento Kings89-88
02/07/19ALos Angeles Lakers106-79
11/04/19ABrooklyn Nets94-113
09/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers122-99
07/04/19AToronto Raptors109-117 OT
06/04/19AMinnesota Timberwolves109-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2019
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.791.7-
Allowed / game77.377.3-
Point differential+14.3+14.3-
Avg total169.0169.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Miami Heat
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2019
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.399.593.0
Allowed / game78.377.081.0
Point differential+19.0+22.5+12.0
Avg total175.7176.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami Heat330100%97.378.3+19.0
2 Detroit Pistons440100%96.879.5+17.2
3 Memphis Grizzlies330100%89.073.0+16.0
4 Boston Celtics330100%93.378.7+14.7
5 Minnesota Timberwolves330100%91.777.3+14.3
6 Dallas Mavericks43175%97.287.2+10.0
7 Brooklyn Nets43175%86.881.0+5.8
8 New Orleans Pelicans32167%89.376.7+12.7
9 Sacramento Kings32167%97.090.7+6.3
10 Los Angeles Clippers32167%86.082.0+4.0
11 Golden State Warriors32167%84.381.3+3.0
12 Utah Jazz32167%85.384.0+1.3
13 Oklahoma City Thunder32167%78.078.3-0.3
14 San Antonio Spurs32167%86.087.0-1.0
15 Phoenix Suns21150%87.089.5-2.5
16 Denver Nuggets21150%83.087.0-4.0
17 Chicago Bulls42250%79.584.8-5.2
18 Toronto Raptors31233%82.082.0+0.0
19 Milwaukee Bucks31233%95.396.7-1.3
20 Atlanta Hawks31233%78.782.0-3.3
21 Portland Trail Blazers31233%87.792.3-4.7
22 Washington Wizards31233%80.385.7-5.3
23 Cleveland Cavaliers31233%76.383.0-6.7
24 Houston Rockets31233%87.3100.7-13.3
25 China31233%74.392.3-18.0
26 Orlando Magic41325%82.883.0-0.2
27 Charlotte Hornets41325%85.287.5-2.2
28 Philadelphia 76ers41325%87.895.5-7.8
29 New York Knicks3030%82.390.0-7.7
30 Los Angeles Lakers3030%81.092.3-11.3
31 Croatia4040%71.283.2-12.0
32 Indiana Pacers3030%75.396.7-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves2413302390
Miami Heat3419171787
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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