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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 105-115
22-31 35-35 26-27 22-22
Position#29
Record5-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game101.3
Allowed / game111.8
vs
Position#4
Record17-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game106.9
Allowed / game103.8
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
88-123
88
123
-35
71avg 93
H27/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
92-105
92
105
-13
77avg 93
A28/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
96-101
96
101
-5
88avg 93
A30/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
108-103
108
103
+5
105avg 93
H02/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
116-118
116
118
-2
111avg 93
A04/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
95-126
95
126
-31
85avg 93
A07/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
130-142
130
142
-12
121avg 93
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
104-106
104
106
-2
98avg 93
A11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
94-106
94
106
-12
79avg 93
A13/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
99-111
99
111
-12
90avg 93
H16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
19-28
23-35
19-33
22-27
27-27
20-24
23-27
19-31
24-23
35-27
18-20
15-29
32-34
32-20
29-20
24-31
32-23
27-30
33-34
26-31
18-34
35-33
16-28
36-38
31-32
25-34
38-38
30-23
14-26
31-29
29-28
25-18
27-31
10-36
32-21
25-27
25-37
23-29
26-18
216.3Avg total
102.2Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)101.3111.8213.1-10.517%
Season at home (11)96.2109.5205.7-13.418%
Season away (18)104.4113.2217.6-8.817%
Last 10 (10)102.2114.1216.3-11.910%
Last 5 (5)104.4118.2222.6-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)100.2111.1211.3-10.919%
vs Similar (3)116.3123.3239.7-7.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
107-104
107
104
+3
94avg 101
A28/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
111-120
111
120
-9
104avg 101
H30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
85-111
85
111
-26
65avg 101
H02/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
113-104
113
104
+9
108avg 101
A04/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
102-124
102
124
-22
94avg 101
A05/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
90-105
90
105
-15
86avg 101
H07/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
113-104
113
104
+9
89avg 101
H09/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
118-92
118
92
+26
121avg 101
H12/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
94-105
94
105
-11
86avg 101
A14/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
101-96
101
96
+5
98avg 101
A16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
22-26
23-28
35-30
23-32
20-31
35-32
33-25
16-31
27-30
20-26
22-24
32-25
30-30
30-26
21-23
23-34
29-35
24-36
26-19
25-34
24-26
18-22
23-23
24-26
20-25
39-26
30-27
39-25
26-27
21-18
32-22
25-23
19-32
29-23
21-27
29-18
29-31
23-21
20-26
209.9Avg total
103.4Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)106.9103.8210.7+3.159%
Season at home (12)108.0101.8209.8+6.267%
Season away (17)106.2105.2211.4+0.953%
Last 10 (10)103.4106.5209.9-3.150%
Last 5 (5)103.2100.4203.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)103.0120.0223.0-17.00%
vs Similar (16)106.1106.7212.8-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)108.0100.2208.2+7.869%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H27/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A28/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A30/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
47-63
47
63
-16
H02/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A04/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
44-65
44
65
-21
A07/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A13/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
50-64
50
64
-14
H16/12
NBA
107.5Avg total
49.8Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.357.1106.5-7.820%-
Last 30 at home (11)46.456.6103.0-10.39%-
Last 30 away (19)51.157.4108.5-6.426%-
Last 10 (10)49.857.7107.5-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)51.459.4110.8-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)48.557.1105.6-8.619%-
vs Similar (3)56.757.3114.0-0.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A28/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
43-63
43
63
-20
H30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H02/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A04/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A05/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H07/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H09/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H12/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A14/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A16/12
NBA
107.0Avg total
50.9Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.252.8106.0+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.551.7104.2+0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)53.753.6107.3+0.159%-
Last 10 (10)50.956.1107.0-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)52.053.4105.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.057.0121.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (16)53.055.4108.4-2.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)52.649.2101.8+3.569%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 102.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.726.8
51.8%
53.1%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.910.4
30.7%
35.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.017.4
79.1%
77.4%17.4
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 103.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.1
52.3%
53.1%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.415.2
38.6%
35.3%45.6
🏀 Free throws15.111.6
76.8%
77.4%11.6
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LLLLLLWLLL
Miami Heat
WLWWLLWLLW
#29
League position
#4
-11.8
Net rating
-3.2
101.8
Offensive rating
107.8
113.6
Defensive rating
111.0
49.5%
Effective FG%
54.9%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.18
30.7%
3-point %
38.6%
58.9%
Assist %
71.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 107.8Defence113.6 · 111.0Shooting49.5% · 54.9%3-point %30.7% · 38.6%Ball care14.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds20.0% · 22.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Orlando Magic wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/21HAtlanta Hawks99-111
13/12/21ALos Angeles Lakers94-106
11/12/21ALos Angeles Clippers104-106
09/12/21ASacramento Kings130-142
07/12/21AGolden State Warriors95-126
04/12/21AHouston Rockets116-118
02/12/21HDenver Nuggets108-103
30/11/21APhiladelphia 76ers96-101
28/11/21ACleveland Cavaliers92-105
27/11/21HChicago Bulls88-123
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/21APhiladelphia 76ers101-96
14/12/21ACleveland Cavaliers94-105
12/12/21HChicago Bulls118-92
09/12/21HMilwaukee Bucks113-104
07/12/21HMemphis Grizzlies90-105
05/12/21AMilwaukee Bucks102-124
04/12/21AIndiana Pacers113-104
02/12/21HCleveland Cavaliers85-111
30/11/21HDenver Nuggets111-120
28/11/21AChicago Bulls107-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLLWL18%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291118
Win %17%18%17%
Points / game101.396.2104.4
Allowed / game111.8109.5113.2
Point differential-10.5-13.4-8.8
Avg total213.1205.7217.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)100% (1)0% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeLLLWW67%
AwayWWLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291217
Win %59%67%53%
Points / game106.9108.0106.2
Allowed / game103.8101.8105.2
Point differential+3.1+6.2+0.9
Avg total210.7209.8211.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2823582%111.8100.2+11.6
2 Phoenix Suns2823582%111.0104.5+6.5
3 Utah Jazz2720774%115.6104.1+11.5
4 Brooklyn Nets2921872%110.3106.5+3.8
5 Milwaukee Bucks30191163%110.6106.6+4.0
6 Chicago Bulls27171063%108.3105.7+2.6
7 Memphis Grizzlies29181162%111.1109.0+2.1
8 Cleveland Cavaliers30181260%106.6101.5+5.1
9 Miami Heat29171259%106.9103.8+3.1
10 Los Angeles Clippers29161355%106.1104.9+1.2
11 Los Angeles Lakers29161355%111.1111.2-0.1
12 Charlotte Hornets30161453%115.6116.4-0.8
13 Atlanta Hawks28141450%111.4109.1+2.2
14 Boston Celtics28141450%108.3107.2+1.1
15 Dallas Mavericks28141450%104.4104.6-0.2
16 Denver Nuggets28141450%105.9106.2-0.4
17 Philadelphia 76ers30151550%105.6106.7-1.1
18 Washington Wizards30151550%105.5108.3-2.8
19 Toronto Raptors28131546%105.9105.4+0.5
20 Minnesota Timberwolves28131546%108.6109.3-0.6
21 New York Knicks29131645%105.8107.2-1.3
22 Indiana Pacers31131842%108.0106.5+1.5
23 Sacramento Kings29121741%111.1114.0-2.9
24 Portland Trail Blazers29111838%108.0111.2-3.2
25 San Antonio Spurs27101737%108.8109.5-0.7
26 Houston Rockets2992031%106.1113.1-7.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans3092130%104.0109.9-5.9
28 Oklahoma City Thunder2781930%99.0108.3-9.4
29 Orlando Magic2952417%101.3111.8-10.5
30 Detroit Pistons2742315%100.1109.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic22352622105
Miami Heat31352722115
← all games of the day
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