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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 89-102
25-28 24-29 18-19 22-26
Position#20
Record21-27
FormWLLLL
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game104.7
vs
Position#7
Record32-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game108.3
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
94-98
94
98
-4
78avg 96
A11/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
114-112
114
112
+2
98avg 96
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
119-118
119
118
+1
107avg 96
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
95-122
95
122
-27
80avg 96
A17/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
95-109
95
109
-14
86avg 96
A19/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
106-83
106
83
+23
98avg 96
A20/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
114-120
114
120
-6
103avg 96
H23/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
98-109
98
109
-11
83avg 96
H25/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
97-112
97
112
-15
81avg 96
H26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
92-113
92
113
-21
78avg 96
A28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
23-31
27-19
19-21
33-25
32-27
21-33
28-27
35-29
30-29
24-30
30-30
26-34
22-33
28-24
19-31
25-28
27-25
19-29
24-27
19-27
32-18
21-20
34-18
21-24
30-36
38-32
25-28
30-24
27-29
20-29
21-27
28-26
24-28
20-31
25-27
21-31
27-23
23-31
21-28
212.0Avg total
102.4Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)103.5104.7208.2-1.244%
Season at home (24)102.8101.5204.3+1.354%
Season away (24)104.1107.9212.0-3.833%
Last 10 (10)102.4109.6212.0-7.230%
Last 5 (5)101.4107.4208.8-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)99.9110.3210.2-10.417%
vs Similar (13)112.4106.5218.9+5.869%
vs Weaker (5)97.495.2192.6+2.260%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
113-117
113
117
-4
108avg 105
A11/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
121-124
121
124
-3
118avg 105
A12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
106-100
106
100
+6
101avg 105
H16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
115-108
115
108
+7
111avg 105
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
102-107
102
107
-5
95avg 105
A19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
118-113 OT
118
113
+5
114avg 105
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
134-129 OT
134
129
+5
132avg 105
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
117-122
117
122
-5
106avg 105
H25/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
113-92
113
92
+21
116avg 105
H28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
101-109
101
109
-8
83avg 105
H29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
42-32
27-25
20-32
24-28
31-27
29-28
34-29
27-40
24-17
27-34
24-26
31-23
40-26
21-21
31-31
23-30
31-28
23-32
30-26
18-21
21-24
35-34
20-20
29-27
30-27
39-23
21-33
28-35
30-22
35-41
20-38
32-21
31-21
23-27
31-23
28-21
28-36
20-17
28-27
25-29
226.1Avg total
114.0Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)112.0108.3220.3+3.668%
Season at home (24)115.8106.0221.8+9.788%
Season away (23)108.0110.7218.7-2.748%
Last 10 (10)114.0112.1226.1+1.950%
Last 5 (5)116.6113.0229.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)109.3108.6217.9+0.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)116.3112.0228.3+4.371%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A11/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A17/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A19/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A20/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H23/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H25/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A28/01
NBA
109.1Avg total
53.7Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.453.2106.5+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.451.7105.1+1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)53.454.4107.8-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)53.755.4109.1-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)51.853.2105.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)49.955.1105.0-5.225%-
vs Similar (13)56.853.2110.0+3.762%-
vs Weaker (5)52.648.6101.2+4.060%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A11/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H25/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H29/01
NBA
112.9Avg total
58.7Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.354.8113.1+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.253.4111.6+4.865%-
Last 30 away (13)58.556.6115.1+1.854%-
Last 10 (10)58.754.2112.9+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)58.454.4112.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)56.053.4109.4+2.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)60.956.4117.3+4.657%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 102.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.127.3
47.0%
52.3%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.9
33.0%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.715.1
72.9%
77.2%15.1
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.227.4
55.7%
52.3%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.813.1
36.6%
35.7%39.3
🏀 Free throws24.019.9
82.9%
77.2%19.9
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LLLLWLLWWL
Miami Heat
LWLWWLWWLL
#20
League position
#7
-7.3
Net rating
+1.9
103.6
Offensive rating
114.0
110.9
Defensive rating
112.1
47.9%
Effective FG%
55.4%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
10.8%
Turnover %
11.6%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
17.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.0%
3-point %
36.6%
57.1%
Assist %
62.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 114.0Defence110.9 · 112.1Shooting47.9% · 55.4%3-point %33.0% · 36.6%Ball care10.8% · 11.6%Off. rebounds24.2% · 17.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Orlando Magic wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/20AMiami Heat92-113
26/01/20HLos Angeles Clippers97-112
25/01/20HBoston Celtics98-109
23/01/20HOklahoma City Thunder114-120
20/01/20ACharlotte Hornets106-83
19/01/20AGolden State Warriors95-109
17/01/20ALos Angeles Clippers95-122
16/01/20ALos Angeles Lakers119-118
14/01/20ASacramento Kings114-112
11/01/20APhoenix Suns94-98
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/20HBoston Celtics101-109
28/01/20HOrlando Magic113-92
25/01/20HLos Angeles Clippers117-122
23/01/20HWashington Wizards134-129 OT
20/01/20HSacramento Kings118-113 OT
19/01/20ASan Antonio Spurs102-107
18/01/20AOklahoma City Thunder115-108
16/01/20HSan Antonio Spurs106-100
12/01/20ANew York Knicks121-124
11/01/20ABrooklyn Nets113-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeWWLLL54%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %44%54%33%
Points / game103.5102.8104.1
Allowed / game104.7101.5107.9
Point differential-1.2+1.3-3.8
Avg total208.2204.3212.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)80% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeWWLWL88%
AwayWLLWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472423
Win %68%88%48%
Points / game112.0115.8108.0
Allowed / game108.3106.0110.7
Point differential+3.6+9.7-2.7
Avg total220.3221.8218.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%46%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)75% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %17%21%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks4841785%119.9107.6+12.3
2 Los Angeles Lakers47361177%113.7106.7+6.9
3 Toronto Raptors49351471%112.3106.0+6.3
4 Los Angeles Clippers49341569%115.4109.5+5.9
5 Denver Nuggets49341569%109.5106.1+3.4
6 Boston Celtics47321568%112.4105.5+6.9
7 Miami Heat47321568%112.0108.3+3.6
8 Utah Jazz48321667%111.2106.7+4.5
9 Indiana Pacers48311765%110.1107.0+3.0
10 Philadelphia 76ers49311863%108.7105.2+3.5
11 Houston Rockets48301862%118.7114.7+4.0
12 Dallas Mavericks48291960%116.2110.4+5.9
13 Oklahoma City Thunder50302060%110.5107.9+2.7
14 Memphis Grizzlies49242549%113.5115.7-2.2
15 Portland Trail Blazers49222745%113.3114.9-1.6
16 San Antonio Spurs47212645%113.6114.4-0.8
17 Brooklyn Nets47212645%110.2112.1-1.9
18 Orlando Magic48212744%103.5104.7-1.2
19 Phoenix Suns48202842%113.0113.5-0.5
20 New Orleans Pelicans49202941%115.2117.1-1.9
21 Sacramento Kings48183038%107.3110.3-2.9
22 Chicago Bulls51193237%106.0108.3-2.3
23 Washington Wizards47163134%115.7121.0-5.2
24 Detroit Pistons50173334%109.0111.4-2.4
25 Charlotte Hornets48163233%103.2110.4-7.2
26 Minnesota Timberwolves48153331%111.5115.4-3.9
27 New York Knicks49133627%104.1111.8-7.7
28 Cleveland Cavaliers49133627%105.4114.1-8.8
29 Atlanta Hawks49133627%109.2118.1-8.9
30 Golden State Warriors49103920%105.6114.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic2524182289
Miami Heat28291926102
← all games of the day
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