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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 97-102
19-22 26-26 32-25 20-29
Position#28
Record15-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game105.7
Allowed / game112.4
vs
Position#15
Record21-19
FormWLWWW
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game107.8
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
W
107-89
107
89
+18
102avg 97
H18/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
124-120
124
120
+4
122avg 97
H20/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
105-96
105
96
+9
103avg 97
H22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
93-105
93
105
-12
82avg 97
H24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
92-129
92
129
-37
75avg 97
A26/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
109-124
109
124
-15
96avg 97
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
124-130
124
130
-6
113avg 97
H02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
112-115
112
115
-3
107avg 97
H04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
103-111
103
111
-8
94avg 97
A12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
77-104
77
104
-27
66avg 97
A13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
30-24
30-14
24-19
37-34
27-17
29-43
31-26
28-26
28-22
27-28
22-20
24-34
27-19
14-26
28-26
28-24
19-41
25-27
20-37
21-22
29-32
26-33
33-37
33-29
25-32
28-34
38-35
39-27
22-15
29-36
22-37
32-30
26-33
24-19
21-29
29-16
10-31
25-27
13-30
216.9Avg total
104.6Scored
112.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)105.7112.4218.1-6.736%
Season at home (22)107.3111.8219.1-4.541%
Season away (20)104.0113.1217.1-9.130%
Last 10 (10)104.6112.3216.9-7.730%
Last 5 (5)105.0116.8221.8-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)104.1113.5217.6-9.421%
vs Similar (2)93.5114.0207.5-20.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
118-110
118
110
+8
118avg 103
A19/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
96-94
96
94
+2
89avg 103
A21/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
108-94
108
94
+14
108avg 103
A23/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
116avg 103
H25/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
124-116
124
116
+8
122avg 103
H27/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
109-99
109
99
+10
105avg 103
H01/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
80-94
80
94
-14
59avg 103
H03/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
103-93
103
93
+10
104avg 103
A05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
111-103
111
103
+8
101avg 103
H12/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
101-90
101
90
+11
96avg 103
A13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
26-22
32-36
29-31
36-23
23-29
22-25
15-17
23-21
22-33
34-23
29-17
32-35
34-21
26-29
24-23
26-30
31-23
39-41
28-22
26-21
28-23
24-33
31-22
17-23
20-21
29-19
14-31
31-15
24-30
22-25
26-23
30-32
33-26
19-24
29-21
29-21
13-21
28-26
31-22
206.7Avg total
106.6Scored
100.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)106.7107.8214.5-1.252%
Season at home (20)106.4107.7214.1-1.255%
Season away (20)106.9108.0214.9-1.150%
Last 10 (10)106.6100.1206.7+6.590%
Last 5 (5)100.895.8196.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)108.2117.7225.9-9.411%
vs Similar (18)105.3103.8209.1+1.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)106.797.0203.7+9.7100%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H18/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H20/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
47-65
47
65
-18
A26/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A13/03
NBA
107.7Avg total
53.7Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.955.7106.6-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.156.0111.1-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)46.655.4102.0-8.813%-
Last 10 (10)53.754.0107.7-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)53.253.4106.6-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)52.155.6107.7-3.629%-
vs Similar (2)34.056.590.5-22.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A19/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A21/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A23/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H25/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H27/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H01/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H03/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H12/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A13/03
NBA
102.6Avg total
53.5Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.353.2107.5+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.652.9108.4+2.771%-
Last 30 away (16)53.153.6106.7-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)53.549.1102.6+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)50.246.696.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)51.856.4108.2-4.744%-
vs Similar (18)55.951.3107.3+4.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)51.755.0106.7-3.333%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 104.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.025.1
47.4%
52.8%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.313.5
37.2%
36.6%40.5
🏀 Free throws16.913.9
82.2%
77.7%13.9
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 106.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.825.9
54.2%
52.8%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.412.4
35.0%
36.6%37.2
🏀 Free throws22.317.6
78.9%
77.7%17.6
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LLLLLLLWWW
Miami Heat
WWWLWWWWWW
#28
League position
#15
-7.6
Net rating
+6.7
103.7
Offensive rating
110.3
111.3
Defensive rating
103.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
53.5%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
11.9%
Turnover %
12.1%
18.0%
Off. rebound %
19.7%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.2%
3-point %
35.0%
62.2%
Assist %
69.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 110.3Defence111.3 · 103.6Shooting50.8% · 53.5%3-point %37.2% · 35.0%Ball care11.9% · 12.1%Off. rebounds18.0% · 19.7%Free throws0.19 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Orlando Magic wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21ASan Antonio Spurs77-104
12/03/21AMiami Heat103-111
04/03/21HAtlanta Hawks112-115
02/03/21HDallas Mavericks124-130
28/02/21HUtah Jazz109-124
26/02/21ABrooklyn Nets92-129
24/02/21HDetroit Pistons93-105
22/02/21HDetroit Pistons105-96
20/02/21HGolden State Warriors124-120
18/02/21HNew York Knicks107-89
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21AChicago Bulls101-90
12/03/21HOrlando Magic111-103
05/03/21ANew Orleans Pelicans103-93
03/03/21HAtlanta Hawks80-94
01/03/21HAtlanta Hawks109-99
27/02/21HUtah Jazz124-116
25/02/21HToronto Raptors116-108
23/02/21AOklahoma City Thunder108-94
21/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers96-94
19/02/21ASacramento Kings118-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWLLLL41%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422220
Win %36%41%30%
Points / game105.7107.3104.0
Allowed / game112.4111.8113.1
Point differential-6.7-4.5-9.2
Avg total218.1219.1217.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeWWWLW55%
AwayWWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game106.7106.4106.9
Allowed / game107.8107.7108.0
Point differential-1.2-1.2-1.1
Avg total214.5214.1214.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %8%5%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz41311076%116.7107.6+9.1
2 Philadelphia 76ers41291271%115.5110.1+5.5
3 Los Angeles Lakers42291369%111.2105.7+5.5
4 Brooklyn Nets41281368%120.3114.7+5.6
5 Phoenix Suns41251661%112.9108.5+4.5
6 Los Angeles Clippers42251760%114.0109.7+4.3
7 Denver Nuggets41241759%115.5109.7+5.9
8 Milwaukee Bucks41241759%118.6113.1+5.5
9 Portland Trail Blazers41231856%114.1115.8-1.7
10 Dallas Mavericks40221855%112.7112.1+0.6
11 New York Knicks43232053%104.7103.6+1.1
12 Miami Heat40211952%106.7107.8-1.2
13 Golden State Warriors42222052%113.4113.1+0.3
14 Memphis Grizzlies39201951%112.7110.8+1.9
15 San Antonio Spurs38191950%109.7111.5-1.8
16 Charlotte Hornets41202149%112.5112.8-0.3
17 Boston Celtics39192049%110.7111.1-0.3
18 Atlanta Hawks42202248%113.0112.7+0.4
19 Chicago Bulls40192148%113.5114.2-0.6
20 Toronto Raptors41192246%112.7111.6+1.0
21 New Orleans Pelicans40182245%115.5114.8+0.6
22 Oklahoma City Thunder42182443%106.7111.8-5.2
23 Indiana Pacers40172342%112.2112.3-0.1
24 Sacramento Kings42172540%114.4119.5-5.1
25 Cleveland Cavaliers41162539%103.6111.7-8.1
26 Washington Wizards40152538%113.3118.5-5.2
27 Orlando Magic42152736%105.7112.4-6.7
28 Houston Rockets40142635%107.9112.2-4.2
29 Detroit Pistons42123029%106.2109.5-3.3
30 Minnesota Timberwolves4193222%109.2117.0-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic1926322097
Miami Heat22262529102
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