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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 113-107
27-29 29-24 23-30 34-24
Position#28
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game117.0
vs
Position#15
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game109.5
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
ORL136
MIA115
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
12 Oct 2025
ORL120
MIA104
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
17 Oct 2019
ORL98
MIA107
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
07 Oct 2017
ORL93
MIA90
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
13 Oct 2015
ORL95
MIA92
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
09 Jul 2013
ORL80
MIA94
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
133-127
133
127
+6
H14/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
122-110
122
110
+12
A18/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
96-111
96
111
-15
A20/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
107-121
107
121
-14
H22/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
106-121
106
121
-15
H24/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
104-118
104
118
-14
A29/08
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
116-112
116
112
+4
A12/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
107-116
107
116
-9
A13/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
115-123
115
123
-8
H18/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
120-117
120
117
+3
H20/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-31
43-30
22-26
34-40
33-23
29-29
30-27
30-31
13-25
30-39
30-29
23-18
23-31
20-39
34-29
30-22
18-22
34-36
29-26
25-37
21-26
29-41
29-23
25-28
31-23
21-29
35-25
29-35
26-36
26-22
30-30
25-28
18-32
40-36
30-31
27-24
38-27
25-22
31-29
26-39
230.2Avg total
112.6Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)114.5117.0231.5-2.550%
Season at home (2)117.5120.0237.5-2.550%
Season away (2)111.5114.0225.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)112.6117.6230.2-5.040%
Last 5 (5)112.4117.2229.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)109.9115.1225.0-5.225%
vs Similar (13)118.2117.1235.2+1.162%
vs Weaker (1)130.0120.0250.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#4
L
108-121
108
121
-13
A26/09
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
125-113
125
113
+12
H27/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
98-116
98
116
-18
A01/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
114-124
114
124
-10
A03/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
115-104
115
104
+11
H04/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
96-102
96
102
-6
H07/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
111-108
111
108
+3
A10/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
93-106
93
106
-13
H11/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
92-114
92
114
-22
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
117-105
117
105
+12
A19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
32-33
25-41
25-29
33-27
29-33
26-26
37-27
28-31
20-34
19-28
31-23
23-29
31-39
39-35
21-21
26-23
32-31
27-26
30-24
22-27
25-22
23-26
26-27
25-24
35-32
28-26
23-26
20-28
16-36
22-23
35-19
30-32
23-28
19-25
20-29
23-24
35-32
33-27
26-22
218.2Avg total
106.9Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)104.5109.5214.0-5.050%
Season at home (1)92.0114.0206.0-22.00%
Season away (1)117.0105.0222.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)106.9111.3218.2-4.440%
Last 5 (5)101.8107.0208.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)113.3110.0223.3+3.367%
vs Similar (24)108.5108.6217.0-0.154%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H14/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A18/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
43-64
43
64
-21
A20/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
43-70
43
70
-27
H22/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H24/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A29/08
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A12/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A13/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H18/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H20/12
NBA
115.1Avg total
55.2Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.258.8114.0-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.261.1117.3-4.833%-
Last 30 away (18)54.557.3111.8-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)55.259.9115.1-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)55.058.8113.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)51.858.2109.9-6.419%-
vs Similar (13)58.859.2117.9-0.454%-
vs Weaker (1)64.064.0128.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#4
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A26/09
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H27/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A01/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A03/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H04/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H07/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A10/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
36-64
36
64
-28
H11/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A19/12
NBA
111.7Avg total
53.4Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.655.3110.0-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.753.7106.5-1.040%-
Last 30 away (15)56.556.9113.5-0.460%-
Last 10 (10)53.458.3111.7-4.950%-
Last 5 (5)50.857.0107.8-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)58.255.3113.5+2.850%-
vs Similar (24)53.855.3109.1-1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.725.8
49.0%
52.8%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.013.8
37.3%
36.6%41.4
🏀 Free throws22.918.5
80.8%
77.7%18.5
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 106.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.325.7
55.5%
52.8%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.512.1
36.1%
36.6%36.3
🏀 Free throws23.419.2
82.1%
77.7%19.2
They take 79.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WLLWLLLLWW
Miami Heat
WLLWLWLLWL
#28
League position
#15
-5.0
Net rating
-4.5
105.0
Offensive rating
109.1
110.0
Defensive rating
113.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
54.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.3%
17.9%
Off. rebound %
14.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.3%
3-point %
36.1%
58.6%
Assist %
68.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 109.1Defence110.0 · 113.6Shooting51.8% · 54.9%3-point %37.3% · 36.1%Ball care14.0% · 13.3%Off. rebounds17.9% · 14.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Orlando Magic wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/20HCharlotte Hornets120-117
18/12/20HCharlotte Hornets115-123
13/12/20AAtlanta Hawks107-116
12/12/20AAtlanta Hawks116-112
29/08/20AMilwaukee Bucks104-118
24/08/20HMilwaukee Bucks106-121
22/08/20HMilwaukee Bucks107-121
20/08/20AMilwaukee Bucks96-111
18/08/20AMilwaukee Bucks122-110
14/08/20HNew Orleans Pelicans133-127
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/20AToronto Raptors117-105
15/12/20HNew Orleans Pelicans92-114
11/10/20HLos Angeles Lakers93-106
10/10/20ALos Angeles Lakers111-108
07/10/20HLos Angeles Lakers96-102
04/10/20HLos Angeles Lakers115-104
03/10/20ALos Angeles Lakers114-124
01/10/20ALos Angeles Lakers98-116
27/09/20HBoston Celtics125-113
26/09/20ABoston Celtics108-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game114.5117.5111.5
Allowed / game117.0120.0114.0
Point differential-2.5-2.5-2.5
Avg total231.5237.5225.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game104.592.0117.0
Allowed / game109.5114.0105.0
Point differential-5.0-22.0+12.0
Avg total214.0206.0222.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brooklyn Nets330100%119.0100.7+18.3
2 New Orleans Pelicans220100%120.5102.5+18.0
3 Utah Jazz330100%118.3100.7+17.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers220100%110.5103.0+7.5
5 Los Angeles Lakers54180%110.6104.6+6.0
6 Houston Rockets43175%114.0103.0+11.0
7 Memphis Grizzlies43175%118.5108.0+10.5
8 New York Knicks43175%100.089.8+10.2
9 Chicago Bulls43175%109.2105.5+3.8
10 Denver Nuggets32167%120.099.3+20.7
11 Dallas Mavericks32167%122.3114.3+8.0
12 Toronto Raptors32167%109.3108.7+0.7
13 Detroit Pistons42250%94.091.5+2.5
14 Orlando Magic42250%114.5117.0-2.5
15 Atlanta Hawks42250%112.8116.8-4.0
16 Golden State Warriors42250%108.0112.2-4.2
17 Sacramento Kings42250%110.5114.8-4.2
18 Miami Heat21150%104.5109.5-5.0
19 Cleveland Cavaliers42250%99.8107.2-7.5
20 Oklahoma City Thunder31233%109.0112.3-3.3
21 Washington Wizards31233%99.7104.0-4.3
22 Minnesota Timberwolves31233%112.7119.0-6.3
23 Charlotte Hornets41325%112.2114.5-2.2
24 Los Angeles Clippers41325%102.0113.0-11.0
25 Portland Trail Blazers41325%106.0119.5-13.5
26 Indiana Pacers3030%105.7112.0-6.3
27 Phoenix Suns4040%104.2114.0-9.8
28 Milwaukee Bucks3030%109.0122.3-13.3
29 San Antonio Spurs3030%104.0120.3-16.3
30 Boston Celtics2020%94.0110.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic27292334113
Miami Heat29243024107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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