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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 104-101
25-31 29-20 25-27 25-23
Position#16
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game99.0
vs
Position#17
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game112.8
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
ORL136
MIA115
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
12 Oct 2025
ORL120
MIA104
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
17 Oct 2019
ORL98
MIA107
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
07 Oct 2017
ORL93
MIA90
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
13 Oct 2015
ORL95
MIA92
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
09 Jul 2013
ORL80
MIA94
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#15
W
101-92
101
92
+9
H12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H06/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
86-56
86
56
+30
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Utah Jazz
#22
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
114-120
114
120
-6
A01/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A08/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
102-86
102
86
+16
H10/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
81-100
81
100
-19
H12/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
29-22
21-30
25-17
20-24
22-10
24-25
20-21
16-16
20-9
27-18
23-13
11-20
13-19
20-12
9-20
19-20
10-21
18-10
23-24
14-20
24-27
24-20
23-20
24-30
25-30
29-33
36-27
22-20
20-32
26-21
21-17
25-20
29-21
32-21
16-24
10-22
20-18
22-31
29-29
172.4Avg total
86.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)96.599.0195.5-2.525%
Season at home (2)91.593.0184.5-1.550%
Season away (2)101.5105.0206.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)86.785.7172.4+1.040%
Last 5 (5)94.296.6190.8-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)90.4103.3193.6-12.918%
vs Similar ◀ (15)97.498.1195.5-0.733%
vs Weaker (4)86.877.5164.2+9.275%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#11
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Utah Jazz
#22
W
98-90
98
90
+8
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
W
110-106
110
106
+4
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Boston Celtics
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
100-104
100
104
-4
A30/09
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
113-122
113
122
-9
A02/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
114-121
114
121
-7
A05/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H08/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
140-128
140
128
+12
H10/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
119-113
119
113
+6
H13/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
20-24
22-21
22-27
18-18
29-29
30-19
21-24
31-25
23-28
27-23
29-30
16-19
19-20
15-22
22-13
28-29
24-22
19-26
29-27
34-25
29-33
19-30
31-34
28-26
31-25
25-38
30-32
20-22
32-20
21-26
17-21
36-26
38-34
41-32
25-36
26-27
27-39
34-23
32-24
208.7Avg total
104.6Scored
104.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)112.7112.8225.5-0.250%
Season at home (3)116.3110.0226.3+6.3100%
Season away (3)109.0115.7224.7-6.70%
Last 10 (10)104.6104.1208.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)115.2114.6229.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)96.7104.9201.6-8.230%
vs Similar ◀ (14)104.9106.4211.3-1.636%
vs Weaker (6)102.289.8192.0+12.3100%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#15
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H06/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Utah Jazz
#22
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A01/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A08/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H10/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H12/10
NBA
82.3Avg total
39.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.750.395.0-5.630%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.949.295.1-3.241%-
Last 30 away (13)43.151.894.9-8.815%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.482.3-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.648.090.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)45.555.5101.1-10.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)46.350.296.5-3.927%-
vs Weaker (4)36.236.572.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Utah Jazz
#22
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Boston Celtics
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A30/09
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A02/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A05/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H08/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H10/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H13/10
NBA
104.8Avg total
53.5Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.249.2101.4+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.150.9106.1+4.264%-
Last 30 away (16)49.647.797.2+1.962%-
Last 10 (10)53.551.3104.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)60.255.4115.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)49.750.199.8-0.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)54.449.4103.8+4.971%-
vs Weaker (6)51.247.298.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 97.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.329.0
48.9%
51.7%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.5
31.1%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.014.1
64.1%
76.6%14.1
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.227.4
48.8%
51.7%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.8
34.5%
35.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws30.621.8
71.2%
76.6%21.8
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LWLLLLLWWW
Miami Heat
WWWLLLLWWL
#16
League position
#17
-3.6
Net rating
-2.6
96.9
Offensive rating
101.6
100.5
Defensive rating
104.2
48.2%
Effective FG%
49.8%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
13.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
18.0%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.1%
3-point %
34.5%
65.6%
Assist %
57.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 101.6Defence100.5 · 104.2Shooting48.2% · 49.8%3-point %31.1% · 34.5%Ball care13.2% · 16.0%Off. rebounds18.0% · 22.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Orlando Magic wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/18HSan Antonio Spurs81-100
10/10/18HMemphis Grizzlies102-86
08/10/18AMiami Heat89-90
01/10/18APhiladelphia 76ers114-120
14/07/18AOklahoma City Thunder85-87
13/07/18HUtah Jazz70-75
10/07/18APhoenix Suns53-71
09/07/18HMemphis Grizzlies86-56
06/07/18HBrooklyn Nets86-80
12/04/18HWashington Wizards101-92
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/18HAtlanta Hawks119-113
10/10/18HNew Orleans Pelicans140-128
08/10/18HOrlando Magic90-89
05/10/18AWashington Wizards114-121
02/10/18ACharlotte Hornets113-122
30/09/18ASan Antonio Spurs100-104
14/07/18ABoston Celtics72-74
12/07/18ANew Orleans Pelicans110-106
10/07/18HUtah Jazz98-90
08/07/18HCharlotte Hornets90-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game96.591.5101.5
Allowed / game99.093.0105.0
Point differential-2.5-1.5-3.5
Avg total195.5184.5206.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game112.7116.3109.0
Allowed / game112.8110.0115.7
Point differential-0.2+6.3-6.7
Avg total225.5226.3224.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz330100%120.098.3+21.7
2 Los Angeles Clippers330100%113.397.0+16.3
3 Charlotte Hornets54180%114.2109.4+4.8
4 Milwaukee Bucks43175%124.8107.2+17.5
5 Toronto Raptors43175%116.0104.8+11.2
6 Houston Rockets43175%115.0105.2+9.8
7 Washington Wizards43175%113.5108.2+5.2
8 Denver Nuggets43175%109.5105.0+4.5
9 Portland Trail Blazers53260%113.0107.2+5.8
10 San Antonio Spurs53260%108.2102.4+5.8
11 Oklahoma City Thunder53260%107.2103.0+4.2
12 New York Knicks53260%108.4109.2-0.8
13 Miami Heat63350%112.7112.8-0.2
14 Indiana Pacers42250%103.5103.8-0.2
15 Los Angeles Lakers63350%112.5113.5-1.0
16 Philadelphia 76ers42250%109.8112.0-2.2
17 Cleveland Cavaliers42250%106.8109.2-2.5
18 Brooklyn Nets42250%104.0110.0-6.0
19 Boston Celtics52340%102.8103.6-0.8
20 Detroit Pistons52340%104.8106.0-1.2
21 Atlanta Hawks52340%112.6116.2-3.6
22 Chicago Bulls52340%102.2105.8-3.6
23 Memphis Grizzlies52340%106.6113.6-7.0
24 Golden State Warriors62433%111.2111.2+0.0
25 Dallas Mavericks31233%115.7118.3-2.7
26 Orlando Magic41325%96.599.0-2.5
27 Phoenix Suns41325%98.8111.5-12.8
28 Sacramento Kings51420%106.2120.4-14.2
29 Minnesota Timberwolves51420%108.8123.8-15.0
30 New Orleans Pelicans5050%113.0124.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic25292525104
Miami Heat31202723101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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