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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 125-111
31-31 37-28 33-29 24-23
Position#29
Record21-60
FormLLLWL
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game112.2
vs
Position#4
Record53-28
FormWWWWW
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game105.3
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
90-85
90
85
+5
88avg 93
H20/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
94-90
94
90
+4
88avg 93
H22/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
102-118
102
118
-16
89avg 93
A24/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
110-114 OT
110
114
-4
101avg 93
H26/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
101-107
101
107
-6
99avg 93
A28/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
110-127
110
127
-17
93avg 93
A30/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
89-102
89
102
-13
86avg 93
H01/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
88-118
88
118
-30
69avg 93
H03/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
120-115
120
115
+5
115avg 93
H05/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
101-128
101
128
-27
89avg 93
A07/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
14-18
17-21
28-21
25-17
21-21
19-36
29-16
34-26
19-34
21-24
28-34
28-41
34-25
22-15
21-24
22-27
31-33
27-21
21-26
35-28
21-30
23-28
31-41
23-29
23-30
17-26
26-17
20-29
27-28
15-37
26-24
35-36
24-25
32-25
29-29
28-30
22-40
32-27
19-31
210.9Avg total
100.5Scored
110.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)104.0112.2216.2-8.326%
Season at home (40)103.7112.4216.1-8.728%
Season away (41)104.2112.1216.4-7.924%
Last 10 (10)100.5110.4210.9-9.930%
Last 5 (5)101.6118.0219.6-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)105.8116.9222.6-11.129%
vs Similar (6)109.0109.5218.5-0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
106-113
106
113
-7
98avg 104
A21/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
104-118
104
118
-14
92avg 104
H23/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
103-111
103
111
-8
96avg 104
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
95-110
95
110
-15
86avg 104
H27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
123-100
123
100
+23
125avg 104
H28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
106-98
106
98
+8
103avg 104
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
127-109
127
109
+18
125avg 104
A03/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
W
114-109
114
109
+5
112avg 104
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
144-115
144
115
+29
144avg 104
H05/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
113-109
113
109
+4
107avg 104
H09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
24-31
22-23
28-33
23-23
27-27
30-31
24-37
32-25
26-24
30-24
15-38
25-27
21-40
22-29
27-14
31-19
26-22
36-27
30-32
25-29
28-23
26-31
27-15
31-30
35-27
32-22
29-30
28-34
17-21
34-23
35-31
29-32
41-28
32-37
42-18
24-22
32-39
35-26
22-22
222.7Avg total
113.5Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)110.0105.3215.3+4.765%
Season at home (41)110.8105.2216.0+5.571%
Season away (40)109.2105.4214.7+3.860%
Last 10 (10)113.5109.2222.7+4.360%
Last 5 (5)120.8108.0228.8+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)106.7108.2214.9-1.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)117.7104.0221.7+13.793%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H20/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H22/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A24/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H26/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A28/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A30/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H01/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H03/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H05/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
50-70
50
70
-20
A07/04
NBA
108.9Avg total
51.7Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.658.5111.1-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.459.4112.8-6.029%-
Last 30 away (13)51.657.2108.8-5.623%-
Last 10 (10)51.757.2108.9-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)51.661.0112.6-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)51.558.9110.5-7.421%-
vs Similar (6)57.056.7113.7+0.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A21/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H23/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
46-67
46
67
-21
H27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A03/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H05/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H09/04
NBA
110.6Avg total
55.7Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.954.3112.2+3.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.753.7112.4+5.076%-
Last 30 away (13)56.855.2112.0+1.762%-
Last 10 (10)55.754.9110.6+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)58.057.0115.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)56.756.1112.8+0.753%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)59.152.6111.7+6.587%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 100.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.125.6
50.1%
53.1%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.612.2
31.6%
35.3%36.6
🏀 Free throws16.812.7
75.6%
77.4%12.7
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.625.6
57.4%
53.1%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.014.7
42.0%
35.3%44.1
🏀 Free throws22.918.2
79.5%
77.4%18.2
They take 79.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LWLLLLLLWW
Miami Heat
WWWWWWLLLL
#29
League position
#4
-9.9
Net rating
+4.4
100.0
Offensive rating
117.1
109.9
Defensive rating
112.7
48.9%
Effective FG%
59.9%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
17.9%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.6%
3-point %
42.0%
66.1%
Assist %
62.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 117.1Defence109.9 · 112.7Shooting48.9% · 59.9%3-point %31.6% · 42.0%Ball care13.6% · 14.8%Off. rebounds20.3% · 17.9%Free throws0.19 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Orlando Magic wins
8
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/22ACharlotte Hornets101-128
05/04/22HCleveland Cavaliers120-115
03/04/22HNew York Knicks88-118
01/04/22HToronto Raptors89-102
30/03/22AWashington Wizards110-127
28/03/22ACleveland Cavaliers101-107
26/03/22HSacramento Kings110-114 OT
24/03/22AOklahoma City Thunder102-118
22/03/22HGolden State Warriors94-90
20/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder90-85
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/22HAtlanta Hawks113-109
05/04/22HCharlotte Hornets144-115
03/04/22AToronto Raptors114-109
03/04/22AChicago Bulls127-109
30/03/22ABoston Celtics106-98
28/03/22HSacramento Kings123-100
27/03/22HBrooklyn Nets95-110
26/03/22HNew York Knicks103-111
23/03/22HGolden State Warriors104-118
21/03/22APhiladelphia 76ers106-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL26%
HomeWLLLW28%
AwayWLLLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814041
Win %26%28%24%
Points / game104.0103.7104.2
Allowed / game112.2112.4112.1
Point differential-8.3-8.7-7.9
Avg total216.2216.1216.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%8%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (18)56% (9)11% (9)
Overtime %5%8%2%
Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayWLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814140
Win %65%71%60%
Points / game110.0110.8109.2
Allowed / game105.3105.2105.4
Point differential+4.7+5.5+3.8
Avg total215.3216.0214.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%41%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)86% (7)36% (11)
Overtime %5%2%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns81641779%114.9107.2+7.7
2 Memphis Grizzlies81562569%115.7109.6+6.1
3 Miami Heat81532865%110.0105.3+4.7
4 Golden State Warriors81522964%110.8105.4+5.3
5 Dallas Mavericks81513063%107.8104.5+3.2
6 Milwaukee Bucks82513162%115.5112.1+3.4
7 Boston Celtics81503162%111.4104.4+7.0
8 Philadelphia 76ers81503162%109.8107.3+2.5
9 Utah Jazz81483359%113.6107.9+5.7
10 Toronto Raptors81483359%109.6107.1+2.5
11 Denver Nuggets81483359%112.4110.0+2.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves81463557%115.9113.2+2.7
13 Chicago Bulls81453656%111.5111.9-0.4
14 Cleveland Cavaliers82443854%107.8105.7+2.1
15 Brooklyn Nets82443854%112.9112.1+0.8
16 Atlanta Hawks82433952%113.9112.4+1.6
17 Charlotte Hornets82433952%115.3114.9+0.4
18 Los Angeles Clippers81414051%108.0108.6-0.6
19 New York Knicks81364544%106.5106.8-0.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans81364544%109.3110.1-0.7
21 Washington Wizards82354743%108.6112.0-3.4
22 San Antonio Spurs81344742%113.1112.8+0.2
23 Los Angeles Lakers81324940%111.7114.8-3.1
24 Sacramento Kings81295236%110.2115.9-5.6
25 Portland Trail Blazers81275433%106.6115.2-8.6
26 Indiana Pacers82255730%111.5114.9-3.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder81245730%103.9111.5-7.6
28 Detroit Pistons81235828%104.8112.5-7.7
29 Orlando Magic81216026%104.0112.2-8.3
30 Houston Rockets82206224%109.7118.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic31373324125
Miami Heat31282923111
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