PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 105-85
27-22 29-22 28-35 21-6
Position#19
Record18-22
FormWWLLW
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Position#6
Record29-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game106.6
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
ORL136
MIA115
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
12 Oct 2025
ORL120
MIA104
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
17 Oct 2019
ORL98
MIA107
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
07 Oct 2017
ORL93
MIA90
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
13 Oct 2015
ORL95
MIA92
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
09 Jul 2013
ORL80
MIA94
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#10
L
107-130
107
130
-23
H14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
130-119
130
119
+11
A15/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
102-109
102
109
-7
A18/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
104-113
104
113
-9
A19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
103-118
103
118
-15
A21/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
103-95
103
95
+8
H24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
98-97
98
97
+1
H28/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
100-111
100
111
-11
A29/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
93-101
93
101
-8
H31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
122-101
122
101
+21
A01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
33-34
23-34
29-34
24-30
34-27
41-27
31-35
20-26
27-32
24-24
31-27
32-27
28-18
16-39
28-29
13-31
31-26
31-36
28-25
28-28
23-26
32-27
20-14
19-21
27-26
25-21
27-29
25-37
21-19
28-22
26-33
21-25
36-22
15-27
21-27
31-29
31-29
32-25
28-18
215.6Avg total
106.2Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)103.0104.0207.0-0.945%
Season at home (20)100.0102.8202.8-2.850%
Season away (20)106.0105.2211.2+0.840%
Last 10 (10)106.2109.4215.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)103.2101.0204.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)96.5110.0206.5-13.50%
vs Similar (18)108.9106.4215.3+2.556%
vs Weaker (4)100.597.0197.5+3.575%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
110-113
110
113
-3
H14/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
A15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
111-118
111
118
-7
A17/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
108-104
108
104
+4
A19/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
129-114
129
114
+15
H21/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
107-104
107
104
+3
H24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
113-112
113
112
+1
H28/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
117-116 OT
117
116
+1
H29/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
105-123
105
123
-18
A31/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-30
30-21
26-37
25-25
37-23
36-27
18-31
21-31
32-36
26-37
28-22
25-23
19-29
37-19
26-26
26-30
39-20
31-27
28-27
31-40
32-28
21-24
23-29
31-23
25-27
33-28
26-27
29-30
28-33
26-26
31-20
23-29
39-29
24-42
18-19
24-33
18-20
24-19
21-21
21-16
220.4Avg total
110.6Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)112.0106.6218.6+5.474%
Season at home (20)116.3104.5220.8+11.990%
Season away (19)107.4108.9216.3-1.558%
Last 10 (10)110.6109.8220.4+0.870%
Last 5 (5)105.2106.2211.4-1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)106.2106.3212.6-0.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)115.8107.5223.3+8.386%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#10
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A15/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A18/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
60-45
60
45
+15
A19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A21/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H28/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A29/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A01/01
NBA
106.7Avg total
52.6Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.153.0105.1-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.251.5102.7-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)53.154.5107.5-1.453%-
Last 10 (10)52.654.1106.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)52.452.4104.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)46.854.8101.5-8.025%-
vs Similar (18)53.953.0106.9+0.956%-
vs Weaker (4)54.849.2104.0+5.575%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H14/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
73-50
73
50
+23
A15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A17/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A19/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H21/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H28/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H29/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A31/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H03/01
NBA
113.1Avg total
58.6Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.053.5111.6+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.651.8112.4+8.880%-
Last 30 away (15)55.555.3110.7+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)58.654.5113.1+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)54.055.2109.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)53.652.4105.9+1.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)63.154.9118.0+8.364%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 106.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.628.9
48.5%
52.3%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.8
34.7%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.016.0
72.7%
77.2%16.0
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 110.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.425.9
49.4%
52.3%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.212.4
38.5%
35.7%37.2
🏀 Free throws27.221.6
79.4%
77.2%21.6
They take 84.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WLLWWLLLWL
Miami Heat
WLWWWWWLWL
#19
League position
#6
-3.2
Net rating
+0.8
105.9
Offensive rating
110.7
109.1
Defensive rating
109.9
49.7%
Effective FG%
52.6%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
9.5%
Turnover %
12.4%
19.4%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.7%
3-point %
38.5%
60.5%
Assist %
64.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 110.7Defence109.1 · 109.9Shooting49.7% · 52.6%3-point %34.7% · 38.5%Ball care9.5% · 12.4%Off. rebounds19.4% · 21.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Orlando Magic wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/20AWashington Wizards122-101
31/12/19HAtlanta Hawks93-101
29/12/19AMilwaukee Bucks100-111
28/12/19HPhiladelphia 76ers98-97
24/12/19HChicago Bulls103-95
21/12/19APortland Trail Blazers103-118
19/12/19ADenver Nuggets104-113
18/12/19AUtah Jazz102-109
15/12/19ANew Orleans Pelicans130-119
14/12/19HHouston Rockets107-130
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/20HToronto Raptors84-76
31/12/19AWashington Wizards105-123
29/12/19HPhiladelphia 76ers117-116 OT
28/12/19HIndiana Pacers113-112
24/12/19HUtah Jazz107-104
21/12/19HNew York Knicks129-114
19/12/19APhiladelphia 76ers108-104
17/12/19AMemphis Grizzlies111-118
15/12/19ADallas Mavericks122-118 OT
14/12/19HLos Angeles Lakers110-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game103.0100.0106.0
Allowed / game104.0102.8105.2
Point differential-0.9-2.8+0.8
Avg total207.0202.8211.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)80% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWLWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %74%90%58%
Points / game112.0116.3107.4
Allowed / game106.6104.5108.9
Point differential+5.4+11.9-1.5
Avg total218.6220.8216.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)80% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %15%15%16%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks4136588%119.7106.3+13.3
2 Boston Celtics3527877%111.4101.7+9.7
3 Los Angeles Lakers40301075%111.8105.0+6.7
4 Miami Heat39291074%112.0106.6+5.4
5 Denver Nuggets38281074%108.6103.6+5.0
6 Houston Rockets39261367%119.8114.8+5.0
7 Philadelphia 76ers40261465%109.2104.3+4.9
8 Los Angeles Clippers39251464%113.5108.2+5.2
9 Toronto Raptors39251464%110.9106.3+4.6
10 Indiana Pacers39251464%110.3106.4+3.9
11 Dallas Mavericks39241562%115.5108.2+7.3
12 Utah Jazz38221658%108.6108.0+0.6
13 Oklahoma City Thunder37201754%107.8107.5+0.3
14 Brooklyn Nets36181850%110.1111.1-1.0
15 Orlando Magic40182245%103.0104.0-0.9
16 San Antonio Spurs38162242%112.0114.4-2.4
17 New Orleans Pelicans39162341%114.0116.7-2.7
18 Phoenix Suns38152339%113.5114.5-1.0
19 Portland Trail Blazers39152438%111.9114.3-2.5
20 Sacramento Kings39152438%106.8109.5-2.7
21 Chicago Bulls40152538%106.0106.9-0.9
22 Detroit Pistons40152538%108.0111.3-3.3
23 Minnesota Timberwolves38142437%111.6115.3-3.7
24 Memphis Grizzlies38142437%110.9116.4-5.5
25 Charlotte Hornets42152736%103.9110.1-6.2
26 Washington Wizards37122532%115.3119.1-3.7
27 New York Knicks38112729%103.7110.5-6.8
28 Cleveland Cavaliers37102727%103.3113.4-10.1
29 Golden State Warriors41113027%106.1113.4-7.3
30 Atlanta Hawks3983121%105.6116.8-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic27292821105
Miami Heat222235685
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.