PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Apr 2011
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 100-77
21-22 26-18 27-19 26-18
Position#4
Record55-24
FormWWWLW
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game95.1
vs
Position#5
Record55-24
FormLWWLW
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game90.8
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
27 Mar 2027
MIA v BOS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
MIA129
BOS147
15 Jan 2026
MIA114
BOS119
14 Mar 2025
MIA91
BOS103
10 Feb 2025
MIA85
BOS103
29 Apr 2024
MIA88
BOS102
27 Apr 2024
MIA84
BOS104
11 Feb 2024
MIA106
BOS110
25 Jan 2024
MIA110
BOS143
27 May 2023
MIA103
BOS104
23 May 2023
MIA99
BOS116
21 May 2023
MIA128
BOS102
24 Jan 2023
MIA98
BOS95
21 Oct 2022
MIA104
BOS111
29 May 2022
MIA96
BOS100
25 May 2022
MIA80
BOS93
19 May 2022
MIA102
BOS127
17 May 2022
MIA118
BOS107
04 Nov 2021
MIA78
BOS95
06 Jan 2021
MIA105
BOS107
27 Sep 2020
MIA125
BOS113
23 Sep 2020
MIA112
BOS109
19 Sep 2020
MIA106
BOS117
04 Aug 2020
MIA112
BOS106
11 Apr 2020
MIA v BOS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIA101
BOS109
03 Apr 2019
MIA102
BOS112
10 Jan 2019
MIA115
BOS99
22 Nov 2017
MIA104
BOS98
28 Oct 2017
MIA90
BOS96
18 Dec 2016
MIA95
BOS105
28 Nov 2016
MIA104
BOS112
30 Nov 2015
MIA95
BOS105
09 Mar 2015
MIA90
BOS100
21 Dec 2014
MIA100
BOS84
21 Jan 2014
MIA93
BOS86
09 Nov 2013
MIA110
BOS111
12 Apr 2013
MIA109
BOS101
30 Oct 2012
MIA120
BOS107
09 Jun 2012
MIA101
BOS88
05 Jun 2012
MIA90
BOS94
30 May 2012
MIA115
BOS111
28 May 2012
MIA93
BOS79
10 Apr 2012
MIA107
BOS115
27 Dec 2011
MIA115
BOS107
11 May 2011
MIA97
BOS87
03 May 2011
MIA102
BOS91
01 May 2011
MIA99
BOS90
10 Apr 2011
MIA100
BOS77
11 Nov 2010
MIA107
BOS112
25 Apr 2010
MIA101
BOS92
23 Apr 2010
MIA98
BOS100
06 Jan 2010
MIA106
BOS112
29 Nov 2009
MIA85
BOS92
11 Mar 2009
MIA107
BOS99
21 Jan 2009
MIA83
BOS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
103-98
103
98
+5
H19/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
100-94
100
94
+6
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
111-99
111
99
+12
H25/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
W
125-119
125
119
+6
H27/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
90-102
90
102
-12
A29/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
123-107
123
107
+16
A30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
111-92
111
92
+19
A02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
108-94
108
94
+14
A03/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H07/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
112-103
112
103
+9
H08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
27-26
23-24
24-27
21-27
32-28
20-26
27-13
20-27
31-23
26-32
34-17
38-37
33-31
22-25
32-26
24-24
18-29
28-22
20-27
32-29
31-23
25-29
35-26
30-20
21-32
34-20
26-20
32-18
26-26
19-25
31-25
15-25
25-20
23-18
22-27
31-25
24-19
28-25
29-34
206.6Avg total
106.8Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)102.295.1197.3+7.170%
Season at home (40)103.294.5197.7+8.872%
Season away (39)101.295.7196.9+5.567%
Last 10 (10)106.899.8206.6+7.080%
Last 5 (5)107.897.2205.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)93.394.6187.9-1.233%
vs Weaker (21)107.297.8205.0+9.481%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H23/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H25/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
L
100-107
100
107
-7
A28/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
107-97
107
97
+10
A01/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A02/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
101-90
101
90
+11
H03/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
99-82
99
82
+17
H05/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
81-97
81
97
-16
A08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
104-88
104
88
+16
H08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
30-24
25-23
17-23
25-19
17-18
24-16
15-30
32-13
15-21
17-28
21-20
33-27
16-30
36-24
15-26
31-33
18-16
28-21
30-27
21-23
31-21
16-18
15-26
26-29
23-19
33-18
19-24
24-26
30-24
21-15
24-17
18-26
25-22
17-23
21-26
28-23
31-33
24-19
21-13
183.2Avg total
92.8Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)96.690.8187.4+5.770%
Season at home (40)99.291.1190.3+8.180%
Season away (39)93.990.6184.5+3.359%
Last 10 (10)92.890.4183.2+2.450%
Last 5 (5)93.689.0182.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.489.1176.5-1.740%
vs Weaker (20)95.889.5185.3+6.270%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -3.4-3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -3.4-3.4
Miami HeatBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H19/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H25/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H27/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A29/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A03/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H07/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H08/04
NBA
105.0Avg total
54.0Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.048.9102.9+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.548.8103.4+5.771%-
Last 30 away (13)53.448.9102.3+4.569%-
Last 10 (10)54.051.0105.0+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)53.447.4100.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)51.446.197.6+5.378%-
vs Weaker (21)55.150.0105.2+5.167%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H23/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H25/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A28/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A01/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A02/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H03/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H05/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H08/04
NBA
95.6Avg total
48.9Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.146.994.0+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.144.994.0+4.179%-
Last 30 away (16)45.348.693.9-3.325%-
Last 10 (10)48.946.795.6+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)51.449.2100.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)45.047.092.0-2.040%-
vs Weaker (20)48.146.995.0+1.255%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Miami Heat wins
9
Boston Celtics wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/11HCharlotte Hornets112-103
07/04/11HMilwaukee Bucks85-90
03/04/11ABrooklyn Nets108-94
02/04/11AMinnesota Timberwolves111-92
30/03/11AWashington Wizards123-107
29/03/11ACleveland Cavaliers90-102
27/03/11HHouston Rockets125-119
25/03/11HPhiladelphia 76ers111-99
23/03/11ADetroit Pistons100-94
19/03/11HDenver Nuggets103-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/11HWashington Wizards104-88
08/04/11AChicago Bulls81-97
05/04/11HPhiladelphia 76ers99-82
03/04/11HDetroit Pistons101-90
02/04/11AAtlanta Hawks83-88
01/04/11ASan Antonio Spurs107-97
28/03/11AIndiana Pacers100-107
27/03/11AMinnesota Timberwolves85-82
25/03/11HCharlotte Hornets81-83
23/03/11HMemphis Grizzlies87-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWWWLW72%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games794039
Win %70%72%67%
Points / game102.2103.2101.2
Allowed / game95.194.595.7
Point differential+7.1+8.8+5.5
Avg total197.3197.7196.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%40%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (20)27% (11)33% (9)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeLLWWW80%
AwayWLWLL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games794039
Win %70%80%59%
Points / game96.699.293.9
Allowed / game90.891.190.6
Point differential+5.7+8.1+3.3
Avg total187.4190.3184.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%42%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (31)67% (18)54% (13)
Overtime %4%5%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs80611976%103.897.8+6.0
2 Chicago Bulls80602075%98.691.3+7.3
3 Miami Heat79552470%102.295.1+7.1
4 Los Angeles Lakers79552470%101.294.9+6.3
5 Boston Celtics79552470%96.690.8+5.7
6 Dallas Mavericks79542568%99.896.2+3.6
7 Oklahoma City Thunder79532667%104.4100.7+3.7
8 Orlando Magic80503062%99.394.1+5.2
9 Denver Nuggets80493161%107.2102.5+4.6
10 Portland Trail Blazers80473359%96.394.7+1.7
11 New Orleans Pelicans79463358%95.393.5+1.8
12 Memphis Grizzlies79453457%99.997.5+2.4
13 Atlanta Hawks80443655%95.295.8-0.6
14 Houston Rockets80423852%105.9103.8+2.1
15 New York Knicks79413852%106.7105.6+1.1
16 Philadelphia 76ers80413951%99.297.5+1.7
17 Phoenix Suns79384148%104.8105.6-0.7
18 Indiana Pacers80374346%100.0100.9-0.9
19 Utah Jazz80374346%99.5101.5-2.1
20 Golden State Warriors79354444%103.2105.6-2.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks80334741%91.692.6-1.0
22 Charlotte Hornets79324741%93.097.2-4.2
23 Los Angeles Clippers81315038%98.5101.8-3.3
24 Detroit Pistons79285135%96.6100.4-3.8
25 Brooklyn Nets79245530%94.1100.4-6.3
26 Sacramento Kings79235629%99.1104.4-5.4
27 Washington Wizards80225828%97.4104.9-7.5
28 Toronto Raptors79215827%99.5105.8-6.3
29 Minnesota Timberwolves80176321%100.7107.2-6.5
30 Cleveland Cavaliers80176321%95.2104.7-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat21262726100
Boston Celtics2218191877
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.