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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Apr 2011
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-90
15-25 25-20 23-18 22-27
Position#4
Record54-23
FormWLWWW
Points / game102.3
Allowed / game95.0
vs
Position#21
Record31-46
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game92.4
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Feb 2027
MIA v MIL
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
MIA v MIL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MIA112
MIL105
26 Nov 2025
MIA106
MIL103
05 Apr 2025
MIA115
MIL121
26 Nov 2024
MIA103
MIL106
28 Nov 2023
MIA124
MIL131
24 Apr 2023
MIA119
MIL114
22 Apr 2023
MIA121
MIL99
14 Jan 2023
MIA111
MIL95
12 Jan 2023
MIA108
MIL102
08 Dec 2021
MIA113
MIL104
21 Oct 2021
MIA137
MIL95
29 May 2021
MIA103
MIL120
27 May 2021
MIA84
MIL113
30 Dec 2020
MIA119
MIL108
29 Dec 2020
MIA97
MIL144
06 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL118
04 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL100
02 Mar 2020
MIA105
MIL89
15 Mar 2019
MIA98
MIL113
22 Dec 2018
MIA94
MIL87
09 Feb 2018
MIA91
MIL85
14 Jan 2018
MIA97
MIL79
21 Jan 2017
MIA109
MIL97
17 Nov 2016
MIA96
MIL73
19 Jan 2016
MIA79
MIL91
27 Jan 2015
MIA102
MIL109
16 Nov 2014
MIA84
MIL91
02 Apr 2014
MIA96
MIL77
12 Nov 2013
MIA118
MIL95
23 Apr 2013
MIA98
MIL86
21 Apr 2013
MIA110
MIL87
09 Apr 2013
MIA94
MIL83
21 Nov 2012
MIA113
MIL106
22 Jan 2012
MIA82
MIL91
06 Apr 2011
MIA85
MIL90
04 Jan 2011
MIA101
MIL89
27 Feb 2010
MIA71
MIL94
01 Feb 2010
MIA81
MIL97
28 Mar 2009
MIA102
MIL85
15 Dec 2008
MIA83
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
85-96
85
96
-11
H17/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
106-85
106
85
+21
A18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
103-98
103
98
+5
H19/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
100-94
100
94
+6
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
111-99
111
99
+12
H25/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
W
125-119
125
119
+6
H27/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
90-102
90
102
-12
A29/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
123-107
123
107
+16
A30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
111-92
111
92
+19
A02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
108-94
108
94
+14
A03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
27-22
17-21
23-29
25-21
25-16
36-20
20-28
29-21
27-26
23-24
24-27
21-27
32-28
20-26
27-13
20-27
31-23
26-32
34-17
38-37
33-31
22-25
32-26
24-24
18-29
28-22
20-27
32-29
31-23
25-29
35-26
30-20
21-32
34-20
26-20
32-18
26-26
19-25
31-25
204.8Avg total
106.2Scored
98.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)102.395.0197.3+7.370%
Season at home (38)103.494.3197.8+9.174%
Season away (39)101.295.7196.9+5.567%
Last 10 (10)106.298.6204.8+7.680%
Last 5 (5)111.4102.8214.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)94.495.1189.5-0.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)108.597.5206.1+11.085%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
110-95
110
95
+15
H19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
100-95
100
95
+5
H20/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H24/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
102-96
102
96
+6
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
87-95
87
95
-8
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
86-87
86
87
-1
A28/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#28
W
104-98
104
98
+6
A30/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
L
88-89
88
89
-1
A01/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
H03/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#8
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
23-28
28-19
30-22
32-9
15-32
28-31
25-23
32-25
24-28
18-22
16-22
35-24
23-27
24-26
20-19
25-21
23-23
26-25
13-26
26-27
20-18
26-20
14-22
22-28
30-21
24-27
28-22
22-14
17-32
21-23
28-20
20-30
19-18
22-13
18-18
14-26
19-16
22-15
17-21
184.9Avg total
93.2Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)91.392.4183.7-1.140%
Season at home (39)91.990.1182.0+1.851%
Season away (38)90.894.8185.5-4.029%
Last 10 (10)93.291.7184.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)88.687.8176.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.488.4166.9-10.00%
vs Similar (15)93.493.5186.9-0.140%
vs Weaker (8)97.589.8187.2+7.875%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
Miami HeatMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H17/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H19/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H25/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H27/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A29/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A03/04
NBA
104.4Avg total
54.0Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.949.3104.2+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.149.9106.0+6.275%-
Last 30 away (14)53.548.6102.1+4.971%-
Last 10 (10)54.050.4104.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)57.053.8110.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)51.846.097.8+5.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)56.551.0107.4+5.570%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H20/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H24/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A28/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#28
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A30/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A01/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H03/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#8
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A05/04
NBA
94.3Avg total
47.0Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.946.392.2-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (18)47.646.193.7+1.656%-
Last 30 away (12)43.446.790.1-3.242%-
Last 10 (10)47.047.394.3-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.846.087.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.742.781.4-4.029%-
vs Similar (15)47.548.095.5-0.553%-
vs Weaker (8)49.246.295.5+3.062%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/11ABrooklyn Nets108-94
02/04/11AMinnesota Timberwolves111-92
30/03/11AWashington Wizards123-107
29/03/11ACleveland Cavaliers90-102
27/03/11HHouston Rockets125-119
25/03/11HPhiladelphia 76ers111-99
23/03/11ADetroit Pistons100-94
19/03/11HDenver Nuggets103-98
18/03/11AAtlanta Hawks106-85
17/03/11HOklahoma City Thunder85-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/11AOrlando Magic72-78
03/04/11HPhiladelphia 76ers93-87 OT
01/04/11AIndiana Pacers88-89
30/03/11AToronto Raptors104-98
28/03/11ACharlotte Hornets86-87
27/03/11HChicago Bulls87-95
25/03/11ANew York Knicks102-96
24/03/11HSacramento Kings90-97
20/03/11HNew York Knicks100-95
19/03/11HBrooklyn Nets110-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWLWWW74%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773839
Win %70%74%67%
Points / game102.3103.4101.2
Allowed / game95.094.395.7
Point differential+7.3+9.1+5.5
Avg total197.3197.8196.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%42%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won32% (19)30% (10)33% (9)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWWLLW51%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773938
Win %40%51%29%
Points / game91.391.990.8
Allowed / game92.490.194.8
Point differential-1.1+1.8-4.0
Avg total183.7182.0185.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%28%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)67% (6)27% (11)
Overtime %6%8%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs78591976%103.597.8+5.6
2 Chicago Bulls77572074%98.691.5+7.2
3 Los Angeles Lakers77552271%101.694.9+6.7
4 Miami Heat77542370%102.395.0+7.3
5 Boston Celtics77542370%96.790.8+5.9
6 Dallas Mavericks77532469%99.896.1+3.6
7 Oklahoma City Thunder77512666%104.3100.8+3.6
8 Orlando Magic79502963%99.494.0+5.4
9 Denver Nuggets77473061%107.2102.6+4.6
10 Portland Trail Blazers78453358%96.494.9+1.5
11 New Orleans Pelicans77443357%95.093.5+1.5
12 Memphis Grizzlies78443456%99.997.5+2.4
13 Atlanta Hawks78443456%95.395.3-0.1
14 Houston Rockets78413753%106.2104.2+2.0
15 New York Knicks78403851%106.6105.8+0.8
16 Philadelphia 76ers79403951%99.297.5+1.7
17 Phoenix Suns77374048%104.9105.6-0.7
18 Utah Jazz78374147%99.6101.4-1.9
19 Indiana Pacers79364346%99.8100.8-1.0
20 Golden State Warriors78344444%103.3105.9-2.6
21 Charlotte Hornets78324641%92.997.0-4.1
22 Milwaukee Bucks77314640%91.392.4-1.1
23 Los Angeles Clippers78314740%98.7101.6-2.9
24 Detroit Pistons78275135%96.5100.4-4.0
25 Brooklyn Nets78245431%94.1100.2-6.1
26 Sacramento Kings77235430%99.2104.2-5.0
27 Toronto Raptors78215727%99.6105.9-6.3
28 Washington Wizards78215727%97.3105.2-7.9
29 Minnesota Timberwolves78176122%100.7106.9-6.2
30 Cleveland Cavaliers78176122%95.3104.8-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1525232285
Milwaukee Bucks2520182790
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