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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 122-120
35-29 25-34 37-31 25-26
Position#9
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game120.8
Allowed / game117.8
vs
Position#17
Record5-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game108.8
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
79avg 109
H20/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-102
87
102
-15
80avg 109
H25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
104-109
104
109
-5
88avg 109
H26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
127-125 OT
127
125
+2
122avg 109
A28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
144-139 OT
144
139
+5
140avg 109
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
116-119
116
119
-3
110avg 109
A02/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
129-103
129
103
+26
126avg 109
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
121-119
121
119
+2
118avg 109
H05/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
124-122
124
122
+2
126avg 109
H07/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
135-122
135
122
+13
143avg 109
H09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
29-19
14-28
23-32
24-31
27-27
17-27
19-17
19-27
23-21
29-22
33-39
29-30
25-32
29-26
31-26
27-40
36-32
33-27
29-26
29-33
32-31
24-27
31-28
37-26
28-30
34-19
30-28
34-37
25-27
29-29
33-26
30-32
25-34
40-29
29-27
40-27
31-33
33-30
31-32
233.5Avg total
117.7Scored
115.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)120.8117.8238.6+3.067%
Season at home (6)116.7112.8229.5+3.867%
Season away (3)129.0127.7256.7+1.367%
Last 10 (10)117.7115.8233.5+1.960%
Last 5 (5)125.0117.0242.0+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.5112.0217.5-6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)105.9106.4212.3-0.643%
vs Weaker (14)119.5111.4230.9+8.186%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
88-106
88
106
-18
75avg 106
A18/06
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
120-109
120
109
+11
107avg 106
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
102-114
102
114
-12
89avg 106
A27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
110-102
110
102
+8
103avg 106
H29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
120-114
120
114
+6
109avg 106
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
102-108
102
108
-6
89avg 106
H01/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
108-85
108
85
+23
106avg 106
H04/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
127-134
127
134
-7
120avg 106
H05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
119-99
119
99
+20
117avg 106
H07/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
113-114
113
114
-1
105avg 106
H09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
28-39
21-19
21-20
20-22
27-27
40-31
33-29
26-28
29-35
25-28
22-23
27-19
22-24
33-27
28-32
26-34
35-25
32-23
27-32
21-34
23-23
28-31
30-20
30-22
35-18
23-21
20-24
29-36
30-27
36-33
32-38
32-24
24-21
32-23
31-31
26-36
24-27
33-24
30-27
219.4Avg total
110.9Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)113.4108.8222.2+4.756%
Season at home (7)114.1107.3221.4+6.957%
Season away (2)111.0114.0225.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)110.9108.5219.4+2.450%
Last 5 (5)113.8108.0221.8+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)104.2105.1209.2-0.946%
vs Similar ◀ (16)111.9104.8216.7+7.269%
vs Weaker (1)110.0102.0212.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H20/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A02/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H05/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H07/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H09/11
NBA
116.2Avg total
57.4Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.755.3109.9-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.254.8108.0-1.744%-
Last 30 away (12)56.955.9112.8+1.042%-
Last 10 (10)57.458.8116.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)62.262.0124.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.062.0115.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)51.651.9103.5-0.450%-
vs Weaker (14)58.057.6115.6+0.443%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
46-67
46
67
-21
A18/06
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H01/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
65-40
65
40
+25
H04/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H07/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H09/11
NBA
108.1Avg total
53.2Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.552.9106.4+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.950.8103.7+2.147%-
Last 30 away (13)54.455.6110.0-1.246%-
Last 10 (10)53.254.9108.1-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)54.853.6108.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)52.654.8107.4-2.246%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.652.0106.6+2.644%-
vs Weaker (1)49.043.092.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.529.7
51.7%
54.3%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.212.2
37.9%
35.9%36.6
🏀 Free throws27.321.7
79.5%
77.8%21.7
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.428.7
54.8%
54.3%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.912.8
34.7%
35.9%38.4
🏀 Free throws20.015.1
75.5%
77.8%15.1
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWWLLL
Dallas Mavericks
LWLWLWWLWL
#9
League position
#17
+1.8
Net rating
+2.4
114.0
Offensive rating
111.7
112.2
Defensive rating
109.3
53.5%
Effective FG%
53.6%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
13.5%
Turnover %
11.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.9%
3-point %
34.7%
69.2%
Assist %
59.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 111.7Defence112.2 · 109.3Shooting53.5% · 53.6%3-point %37.9% · 34.7%Ball care13.5% · 11.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 23.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HMiami Heat135-122
07/11/24HOklahoma City Thunder124-122
05/11/24HToronto Raptors121-119
03/11/24HUtah Jazz129-103
02/11/24AMinnesota Timberwolves116-119
29/10/24ABrooklyn Nets144-139 OT
28/10/24AToronto Raptors127-125 OT
26/10/24HLos Angeles Clippers104-109
25/10/24HOklahoma City Thunder87-102
20/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves90-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HPhoenix Suns113-114
07/11/24HChicago Bulls119-99
05/11/24HIndiana Pacers127-134
04/11/24HOrlando Magic108-85
01/11/24HHouston Rockets102-108
29/10/24AMinnesota Timberwolves120-114
29/10/24HUtah Jazz110-102
27/10/24APhoenix Suns102-114
24/10/24HSan Antonio Spurs120-109
18/06/24ABoston Celtics88-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game120.8116.7129.0
Allowed / game117.8112.8127.7
Point differential+3.0+3.8+1.3
Avg total238.6229.5256.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %22%0%67%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %56%57%50%
Points / game113.4114.1111.0
Allowed / game108.8107.3114.0
Point differential+4.7+6.9-3.0
Avg total222.2221.4225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers11110100%122.7110.2+12.5
2 Phoenix Suns98189%114.4111.1+3.3
3 Boston Celtics119282%120.2109.6+10.5
4 Oklahoma City Thunder108280%115.7102.9+12.8
5 Golden State Warriors108280%121.3109.4+11.9
6 Denver Nuggets96367%120.8117.8+3.0
7 Memphis Grizzlies106460%119.6113.8+5.8
8 Minnesota Timberwolves106460%113.8108.4+5.4
9 Houston Rockets106460%111.8107.9+3.9
10 Los Angeles Clippers106460%108.5106.3+2.2
11 Dallas Mavericks95456%113.4108.8+4.7
12 Sacramento Kings95456%116.4112.4+4.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers95456%115.9118.4-2.6
14 Indiana Pacers105550%116.2118.8-2.6
15 Orlando Magic115645%108.0106.3+1.7
16 New York Knicks94544%114.4111.2+3.2
17 Miami Heat94544%109.0109.9-0.9
18 Brooklyn Nets104640%111.2112.3-1.1
19 San Antonio Spurs104640%106.3108.4-2.1
20 Charlotte Hornets104640%109.5112.5-3.0
21 Chicago Bulls104640%114.8120.3-5.5
22 Detroit Pistons114736%107.1109.6-2.5
23 Atlanta Hawks114736%116.1121.6-5.5
24 Portland Trail Blazers103730%107.2114.9-7.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans103730%107.2117.5-10.3
26 Washington Wizards82625%110.0123.5-13.5
27 Philadelphia 76ers92722%107.0114.6-7.6
28 Utah Jazz92722%105.0118.9-13.9
29 Milwaukee Bucks102820%110.6115.7-5.1
30 Toronto Raptors102820%116.5122.7-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets35253725122
Dallas Mavericks29343126120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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