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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 124-122
30-32 25-34 40-29 29-27
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game116.6
vs
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game95.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
112-97
112
97
+15
112avg 108
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
70-115
70
115
-45
53avg 108
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
79avg 108
H20/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-102
87
102
-15
80avg 108
H25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
104-109
104
109
-5
88avg 108
H26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
127-125 OT
127
125
+2
122avg 108
A28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
144-139 OT
144
139
+5
140avg 108
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
116-119
116
119
-3
110avg 108
A02/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
129-103
129
103
+26
126avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
121-119
121
119
+2
118avg 108
H05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
22-18
38-30
24-23
14-31
26-28
21-27
9-29
24-19
29-19
14-28
23-32
24-31
27-27
17-27
19-17
19-27
23-21
29-22
33-39
29-30
25-32
29-26
31-26
27-40
36-32
33-27
29-26
29-33
32-31
24-27
31-28
37-26
28-30
34-19
30-28
34-37
25-27
29-29
33-26
222.6Avg total
110.0Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)118.3116.6234.9+1.757%
Season at home (4)110.2108.2218.5+2.050%
Season away (3)129.0127.7256.7+1.367%
Last 10 (10)110.0112.6222.6-2.650%
Last 5 (5)127.4121.0248.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)87.0102.0189.0-15.00%
vs Similar (14)103.1105.1208.3-2.036%
vs Weaker (15)120.1110.9230.9+9.287%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
100-96
100
96
+4
84avg 110
A14/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
92-104
92
104
-12
76avg 110
H16/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
116-117
116
117
-1
101avg 110
A19/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
102-87
102
87
+15
88avg 110
A25/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
114-95
114
95
+19
97avg 110
A27/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
128-104
128
104
+24
121avg 110
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
105-93
105
93
+12
97avg 110
H31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
137-114
137
114
+23
134avg 110
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
105-92
105
92
+13
98avg 110
A03/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
102-86
102
86
+16
94avg 110
H05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
23-24
22-15
35-27
22-24
22-30
23-25
25-25
30-23
34-25
26-35
26-34
31-24
27-27
27-17
17-19
26-21
33-18
29-26
26-30
23-27
34-31
32-28
39-18
26-19
33-25
23-26
23-23
37-24
31-44
38-17
31-29
19-28
34-29
28-21
24-14
39-26
19-17
26-15
18-28
208.9Avg total
110.1Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)113.395.9209.1+17.4100%
Season at home (3)111.794.3206.0+17.3100%
Season away (4)114.597.0211.5+17.5100%
Last 10 (10)110.198.8208.9+11.380%
Last 5 (5)115.497.8213.2+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)107.6102.4210.0+5.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)113.6104.3218.0+9.365%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H20/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A02/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H05/11
NBA
110.3Avg total
53.8Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.554.5109.0+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (18)52.953.6106.4-0.744%-
Last 30 away (12)56.955.9112.8+1.042%-
Last 10 (10)53.856.5110.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)60.463.6124.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)51.058.0109.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (14)50.251.9102.1-1.643%-
vs Weaker (15)58.756.7115.5+2.047%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A14/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H16/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A19/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A25/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A27/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
D
68-68
68
68
+0
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A03/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H05/11
NBA
107.9Avg total
56.3Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.651.7109.3+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.450.9110.4+8.564%-
Last 30 away (16)56.052.4108.4+3.662%-
Last 10 (10)56.351.6107.9+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)59.054.0113.0+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)54.349.6103.9+4.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)58.652.3111.0+6.361%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.929.3
49.7%
54.3%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.4
34.2%
35.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws25.320.2
79.8%
77.8%20.2
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 110.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.728.7
53.4%
54.3%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.412.8
33.3%
35.9%38.4
🏀 Free throws17.714.3
80.8%
77.8%14.3
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLLLLW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWWLLW
#9
League position
#1
-2.6
Net rating
+11.1
109.4
Offensive rating
108.4
112.0
Defensive rating
97.3
50.3%
Effective FG%
52.0%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
12.6%
Turnover %
10.1%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
19.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.19
34.2%
3-point %
33.3%
67.3%
Assist %
57.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 108.4Defence112.0 · 97.3Shooting50.3% · 52.0%3-point %34.2% · 33.3%Ball care12.6% · 10.1%Off. rebounds27.7% · 19.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24HToronto Raptors121-119
03/11/24HUtah Jazz129-103
02/11/24AMinnesota Timberwolves116-119
29/10/24ABrooklyn Nets144-139 OT
28/10/24AToronto Raptors127-125 OT
26/10/24HLos Angeles Clippers104-109
25/10/24HOklahoma City Thunder87-102
20/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves90-98
17/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves70-115
15/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves112-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24HOrlando Magic102-86
03/11/24ALos Angeles Clippers105-92
02/11/24APortland Trail Blazers137-114
31/10/24HSan Antonio Spurs105-93
27/10/24HAtlanta Hawks128-104
27/10/24AChicago Bulls114-95
25/10/24ADenver Nuggets102-87
19/05/24ADallas Mavericks116-117
16/05/24HDallas Mavericks92-104
14/05/24ADallas Mavericks100-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game118.3110.2129.0
Allowed / game116.6108.2127.7
Point differential+1.7+2.0+1.3
Avg total234.9218.5256.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %29%0%67%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game113.3111.7114.5
Allowed / game95.994.397.0
Point differential+17.4+17.3+17.5
Avg total209.1206.0211.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder770100%113.395.9+17.4
2 Cleveland Cavaliers990100%123.2110.6+12.7
3 Golden State Warriors87188%121.1105.2+15.9
4 Phoenix Suns76186%114.4110.7+3.7
5 Boston Celtics97278%122.3110.6+11.8
6 Houston Rockets85362%113.8106.8+7.0
7 Dallas Mavericks85362%113.5108.1+5.4
8 Sacramento Kings74357%118.3114.0+4.3
9 Minnesota Timberwolves74357%111.7109.7+2.0
10 Denver Nuggets74357%118.3116.6+1.7
11 Memphis Grizzlies95456%118.7114.9+3.8
12 Miami Heat63350%108.7107.5+1.2
13 Brooklyn Nets84450%113.5113.8-0.2
14 Indiana Pacers84450%118.4120.5-2.1
15 Los Angeles Lakers84450%115.9120.0-4.1
16 Atlanta Hawks94544%115.9121.2-5.3
17 New York Knicks73443%113.3110.7+2.6
18 Los Angeles Clippers73443%109.0109.1-0.1
19 San Antonio Spurs83538%104.4108.5-4.1
20 Portland Trail Blazers83538%108.1113.0-4.9
21 Charlotte Hornets83538%110.9116.9-6.0
22 Chicago Bulls83538%113.0119.4-6.4
23 Detroit Pistons93633%106.3109.3-3.0
24 Orlando Magic93633%105.8109.7-3.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans93633%109.3117.8-8.4
26 Washington Wizards62433%113.7123.2-9.5
27 Toronto Raptors82625%119.4125.0-5.6
28 Philadelphia 76ers61517%108.7116.7-8.0
29 Milwaukee Bucks71614%111.7118.3-6.6
30 Utah Jazz71614%104.9119.6-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30254029124
Oklahoma City Thunder32342927122
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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