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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 123-105
29-39 42-24 19-18 33-24
Position#24
Record11-24
FormLLWLL
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game119.4
vs
Position#6
Record28-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game107.0
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
05 Oct 2018
WAS121
MIA114
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
10 Jul 2017
WAS87
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
04 Oct 2016
WAS95
MIA106
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
17 Jul 2014
WAS78
MIA67
15 Jul 2014
WAS85
MIA83
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
15 Oct 2013
WAS100
MIA82
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
119-135
119
135
-16
H08/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
L
107-114
107
114
-7
A11/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
111-128
111
128
-17
A15/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
133-119
133
119
+14
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
109-110 OT
109
110
-1
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
118-122
118
122
-4
A21/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
108-125
108
125
-17
A22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
121-115
121
115
+6
A24/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
L
102-132
102
132
-30
A27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
L
100-107
100
107
-7
H29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
39-30
29-35
26-35
20-28
28-25
27-29
32-32
30-35
24-34
30-35
27-24
43-31
24-30
29-30
37-28
27-23
31-29
27-21
13-25
23-40
29-28
33-28
33-26
25-32
28-33
27-23
28-37
32-37
31-27
31-27
27-24
23-31
25-37
28-38
26-26
23-33
35-26
20-27
22-21
233.5Avg total
112.8Scored
120.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)115.5119.4234.9-3.931%
Season at home (14)116.1119.7235.8-3.629%
Season away (21)115.1119.1234.3-4.033%
Last 10 (10)112.8120.7233.5-7.920%
Last 5 (5)109.8120.2230.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)117.9125.8243.8-7.923%
vs Similar (16)117.2119.4236.6-2.138%
vs Weaker (1)100.0113.0213.0-13.00%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
H08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
135-121 OT
135
121
+14
H11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
110-113
110
113
-3
H14/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
A15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
111-118
111
118
-7
A17/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
108-104
108
104
+4
A19/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
129-114
129
114
+15
H21/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
107-104
107
104
+3
H24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
113-112
113
112
+1
H28/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
117-116 OT
117
116
+1
H29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
31-24
27-24
23-24
36-30
30-34
27-32
24-21
29-30
30-21
26-37
25-25
37-23
36-27
18-31
21-31
32-36
26-37
28-22
25-23
19-29
37-19
26-26
26-30
39-20
31-27
28-27
31-40
32-28
21-24
23-29
31-23
25-27
33-28
26-27
29-30
28-33
26-26
31-20
23-29
228.7Avg total
116.2Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)112.9107.0219.9+5.976%
Season at home (19)118.1105.9224.0+12.189%
Season away (18)107.6108.1215.7-0.661%
Last 10 (10)116.2112.5228.7+3.780%
Last 5 (5)114.8110.0224.8+4.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)107.7108.3216.1-0.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)115.8106.3222.1+9.587%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H08/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A11/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
54-69
54
69
-15
A15/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A21/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A24/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
L
48-68
48
68
-20
A27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H29/12
NBA
118.9Avg total
56.5Scored
62.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.164.6123.8-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.863.9124.7-3.233%-
Last 30 away (18)58.165.1123.2-7.128%-
Last 10 (10)56.562.4118.9-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)54.864.8119.6-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)60.266.1126.3-5.838%-
vs Similar (16)58.763.3122.0-4.625%-
vs Weaker (1)52.067.0119.0-15.00%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H14/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
73-50
73
50
+23
A15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A17/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A19/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H21/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H28/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H29/12
NBA
114.2Avg total
59.4Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.453.3111.7+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.752.5114.2+9.380%-
Last 30 away (15)55.154.2109.3+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)59.454.8114.2+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)58.252.2110.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)54.353.3107.6+1.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)62.553.4115.9+9.173%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.527.2
47.3%
52.3%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.9
35.6%
35.7%35.7
🏀 Free throws29.422.7
77.2%
77.2%22.7
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 116.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.927.5
51.0%
52.3%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.7
38.1%
35.7%38.1
🏀 Free throws28.823.1
80.2%
77.2%23.1
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLWLLLWLLL
Miami Heat
WWWWWLWLWW
#24
League position
#6
-7.5
Net rating
+3.6
107.5
Offensive rating
113.5
115.1
Defensive rating
109.9
49.6%
Effective FG%
53.4%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
11.9%
Turnover %
11.8%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.6%
3-point %
38.1%
59.3%
Assist %
64.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 113.5Defence115.1 · 109.9Shooting49.6% · 53.4%3-point %35.6% · 38.1%Ball care11.9% · 11.8%Off. rebounds24.2% · 21.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Washington Wizards wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/19HNew York Knicks100-107
27/12/19ADetroit Pistons102-132
24/12/19ANew York Knicks121-115
22/12/19APhiladelphia 76ers108-125
21/12/19AToronto Raptors118-122
19/12/19HChicago Bulls109-110 OT
17/12/19ADetroit Pistons133-119
15/12/19AMemphis Grizzlies111-128
11/12/19ACharlotte Hornets107-114
08/12/19HLos Angeles Clippers119-135
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/19HPhiladelphia 76ers117-116 OT
28/12/19HIndiana Pacers113-112
24/12/19HUtah Jazz107-104
21/12/19HNew York Knicks129-114
19/12/19APhiladelphia 76ers108-104
17/12/19AMemphis Grizzlies111-118
15/12/19ADallas Mavericks122-118 OT
14/12/19HLos Angeles Lakers110-113
11/12/19HAtlanta Hawks135-121 OT
08/12/19HChicago Bulls110-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351421
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game115.5116.1115.1
Allowed / game119.4119.7119.1
Point differential-3.9-3.6-4.0
Avg total234.9235.8234.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%7%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWLWLW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %76%89%61%
Points / game112.9118.1107.6
Allowed / game107.0105.9108.1
Point differential+5.9+12.1-0.6
Avg total219.9224.0215.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%58%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)80% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %16%16%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks3934587%119.9106.5+13.4
2 Boston Celtics3426876%111.4102.0+9.5
3 Miami Heat3728976%112.9107.0+5.9
4 Denver Nuggets3627975%108.3102.5+5.8
5 Los Angeles Lakers39291074%111.6105.0+6.6
6 Philadelphia 76ers39261367%109.5104.1+5.5
7 Houston Rockets38251366%119.6115.1+4.4
8 Toronto Raptors37241365%111.7107.1+4.6
9 Indiana Pacers37241365%110.0106.2+3.8
10 Dallas Mavericks37231462%115.6108.2+7.5
11 Los Angeles Clippers37231462%113.4108.7+4.6
12 Utah Jazz36201656%108.9109.1-0.2
13 Brooklyn Nets34181653%109.9110.4-0.5
14 Oklahoma City Thunder35181751%107.8107.8+0.0
15 Orlando Magic38172145%102.8104.1-1.3
16 San Antonio Spurs36152142%112.1114.6-2.5
17 New Orleans Pelicans39162341%114.0116.7-2.7
18 Portland Trail Blazers37152241%112.3114.1-1.8
19 Chicago Bulls38152339%106.3106.6-0.3
20 Detroit Pistons38152339%108.6111.1-2.5
21 Phoenix Suns36142239%113.4114.4-0.9
22 Sacramento Kings37142338%106.8109.3-2.5
23 Memphis Grizzlies37142338%110.5116.1-5.5
24 Charlotte Hornets40142635%104.0110.2-6.2
25 Minnesota Timberwolves35122334%111.8116.4-4.6
26 Washington Wizards35112431%115.5119.4-3.9
27 Cleveland Cavaliers35102529%103.4113.4-10.0
28 Golden State Warriors39112828%106.5113.6-7.2
29 New York Knicks37102727%103.3111.0-7.7
30 Atlanta Hawks3873118%105.7117.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards29421933123
Miami Heat39241824105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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