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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 146-112
49-19 30-29 31-27 36-37
Position#2
Record37-17
FormLWWWL
Points / game116.8
Allowed / game113.0
vs
Position#17
Record29-27
FormWLWLW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game114.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
122-118
122
118
+4
113avg 114
H19/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
134-111
134
111
+23
139avg 114
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
99-101
99
101
-2
86avg 114
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
99-98
99
98
+1
93avg 114
A25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
99-107
99
107
-8
85avg 114
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
119-126
119
126
-7
116avg 114
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
122-113
122
113
+9
122avg 114
H01/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
134-117
134
117
+17
133avg 114
H03/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
128-108
128
108
+20
126avg 114
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
98-128
98
128
-30
91avg 114
A06/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
25-33
33-35
34-23
37-28
24-25
38-29
35-29
18-27
29-25
27-29
25-20
28-24
35-23
20-27
16-24
27-26
26-32
20-23
26-26
38-29
35-29
26-38
20-30
31-35
26-25
36-24
29-29
34-35
36-34
35-22
29-26
35-30
35-22
27-34
31-22
21-32
22-31
28-31
27-34
228.1Avg total
115.4Scored
112.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)116.8113.0229.8+3.869%
Season at home (29)120.6109.3229.9+11.286%
Season away (25)112.5117.2229.8-4.748%
Last 10 (10)115.4112.7228.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)120.2118.4238.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)116.3110.8227.1+5.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)120.7114.1234.8+6.787%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
128-126
128
126
+2
123avg 109
H20/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
113-104
113
104
+9
98avg 109
H22/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
114-119
114
119
-5
98avg 109
A24/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
111-102
111
102
+9
100avg 109
A26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
111-100
111
100
+11
111avg 109
H28/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
117-110
117
110
+7
115avg 109
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
111-118 OT
111
118
-7
102avg 109
H31/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
119-114 OT
119
114
+5
104avg 109
H02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
120-127
120
127
-7
109avg 109
H04/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
128-98
128
98
+30
123avg 109
H06/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-37
35-39
35-33
27-17
26-26
24-26
37-32
26-20
26-31
30-25
25-34
33-29
26-34
20-18
39-21
26-29
38-31
24-22
25-24
24-23
29-21
28-38
33-22
27-29
17-24
36-27
28-27
22-25
32-34
30-37
20-22
28-17
34-27
23-37
18-26
45-37
32-21
31-22
31-28
34-27
229.0Avg total
117.2Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)115.5114.9230.4+0.652%
Season at home (32)117.5114.8232.3+2.762%
Season away (24)112.7115.0227.8-2.338%
Last 10 (10)117.2111.8229.0+5.470%
Last 5 (5)119.0113.4232.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)117.8110.8228.6+7.060%
vs Similar (20)116.2114.7230.8+1.555%
vs Weaker (5)110.6114.0224.6-3.440%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H19/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H01/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H03/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A06/02
NBA
116.4Avg total
59.2Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.956.4117.3+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (20)61.855.1116.9+6.775%-
Last 30 away (10)59.258.9118.1+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)59.257.2116.4+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)62.660.4123.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)60.855.8116.6+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)61.156.9118.0+4.160%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H20/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H22/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A24/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H28/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H31/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H04/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H06/02
NBA
114.9Avg total
57.2Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.355.1113.4+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)59.655.2114.8+4.367%-
Last 30 away (12)56.455.0111.4+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)57.257.7114.9-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)58.457.6116.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)57.451.8109.2+5.680%-
vs Similar (20)58.555.5114.0+3.065%-
vs Weaker (5)58.457.0115.4+1.420%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.930.8
57.1%
54.5%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.1
38.8%
35.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws23.617.5
74.2%
78.1%17.5
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.928.4
56.9%
54.5%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.414.3
37.2%
35.8%42.9
🏀 Free throws24.017.5
72.9%
78.1%17.5
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWWLLWLWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWLWWWLWW
#2
League position
#17
+2.7
Net rating
+5.1
114.5
Offensive rating
111.1
111.8
Defensive rating
105.9
57.5%
Effective FG%
56.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
14.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
18.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.8%
3-point %
37.2%
65.7%
Assist %
59.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 111.1Defence111.8 · 105.9Shooting57.5% · 56.5%3-point %38.8% · 37.2%Ball care14.4% · 14.3%Off. rebounds22.9% · 18.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/23AMinnesota Timberwolves98-128
05/02/23HAtlanta Hawks128-108
03/02/23HGolden State Warriors134-117
01/02/23HNew Orleans Pelicans122-113
28/01/23APhiladelphia 76ers119-126
26/01/23AMilwaukee Bucks99-107
25/01/23ANew Orleans Pelicans99-98
23/01/23HOklahoma City Thunder99-101
21/01/23HIndiana Pacers134-111
19/01/23HMinnesota Timberwolves122-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/23HDenver Nuggets128-98
04/02/23HOrlando Magic120-127
02/02/23HGolden State Warriors119-114 OT
31/01/23HSacramento Kings111-118 OT
29/01/23HSacramento Kings117-110
28/01/23HMemphis Grizzlies111-100
26/01/23ANew Orleans Pelicans111-102
24/01/23AHouston Rockets114-119
22/01/23HHouston Rockets113-104
20/01/23HToronto Raptors128-126

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL69%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWLLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542925
Win %69%86%48%
Points / game116.8120.6112.5
Allowed / game113.0109.3117.2
Point differential+3.8+11.2-4.7
Avg total229.8229.9229.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%55%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won72% (18)64% (11)86% (7)
Overtime %4%3%4%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW52%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games563224
Win %52%62%38%
Points / game115.5117.5112.7
Allowed / game114.9114.8115.0
Point differential+0.6+2.7-2.3
Avg total230.4232.3227.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)67% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics54381670%117.6111.6+6.0
2 Denver Nuggets54371769%116.8113.0+3.8
3 Milwaukee Bucks54371769%114.5111.8+2.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers52341865%114.6110.9+3.7
5 Memphis Grizzlies54332161%116.0112.2+3.8
6 Cleveland Cavaliers56342261%111.8106.5+5.2
7 Brooklyn Nets54322259%114.4112.6+1.8
8 Sacramento Kings53302357%119.3116.6+2.7
9 Los Angeles Clippers57312654%111.2110.9+0.3
10 Miami Heat54292554%108.5108.4+0.1
11 New York Knicks56302654%114.2112.4+1.8
12 Phoenix Suns56302654%112.7111.3+1.4
13 Dallas Mavericks55292653%112.5112.0+0.6
14 Golden State Warriors54282652%118.4118.2+0.3
15 New Orleans Pelicans56292752%115.5113.5+1.9
16 Minnesota Timberwolves56292752%115.5114.9+0.6
17 Utah Jazz55272849%117.5116.6+0.8
18 Atlanta Hawks55272849%116.1116.5-0.4
19 Chicago Bulls54262848%114.3113.8+0.5
20 Portland Trail Blazers54262848%114.5114.3+0.2
21 Oklahoma City Thunder53252847%117.3116.4+0.9
22 Los Angeles Lakers54252946%117.1118.4-1.3
23 Toronto Raptors55253045%113.0112.4+0.6
24 Indiana Pacers55253045%114.7116.9-2.3
25 Washington Wizards53242945%112.8113.5-0.7
26 Orlando Magic55223340%111.1114.2-3.1
27 Charlotte Hornets55154027%112.0118.6-6.6
28 San Antonio Spurs54144026%112.6122.6-10.0
29 Detroit Pistons55144125%112.3119.7-7.4
30 Houston Rockets54134124%110.1118.0-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets49303136146
Minnesota Timberwolves19292737112
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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