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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 128-98
32-21 31-22 31-28 34-27
Position#17
Record28-27
FormWWLWL
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game115.2
vs
Position#2
Record37-16
FormLLWWW
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game112.7
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
118-122
118
122
-4
112avg 109
A19/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
128-126
128
126
+2
123avg 109
H20/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
113-104
113
104
+9
98avg 109
H22/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
114-119
114
119
-5
98avg 109
A24/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
111-102
111
102
+9
100avg 109
A26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
111-100
111
100
+11
111avg 109
H28/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
117-110
117
110
+7
115avg 109
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
111-118 OT
111
118
-7
102avg 109
H31/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
119-114 OT
119
114
+5
104avg 109
H02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
120-127
120
127
-7
109avg 109
H04/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
33-25
35-33
23-34
31-37
35-39
35-33
27-17
26-26
24-26
37-32
26-20
26-31
30-25
25-34
33-29
26-34
20-18
39-21
26-29
38-31
24-22
25-24
24-23
29-21
28-38
33-22
27-29
17-24
36-27
28-27
22-25
32-34
30-37
20-22
28-17
34-27
23-37
18-26
45-37
230.4Avg total
116.2Scored
114.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)115.2115.2230.5+0.051%
Season at home (31)117.2115.4232.5+1.861%
Season away (24)112.7115.0227.8-2.338%
Last 10 (10)116.2114.2230.4+2.060%
Last 5 (5)115.6113.8229.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)115.2114.0229.2+1.250%
vs Similar (21)116.2115.1231.3+1.152%
vs Weaker (5)110.6114.0224.6-3.440%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
122-113
122
113
+9
119avg 114
H18/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
122-118
122
118
+4
113avg 114
H19/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
134-111
134
111
+23
139avg 114
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
99-101
99
101
-2
86avg 114
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
99-98
99
98
+1
93avg 114
A25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
99-107
99
107
-8
85avg 114
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
119-126
119
126
-7
116avg 114
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
122-113
122
113
+9
122avg 114
H01/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
134-117
134
117
+17
133avg 114
H03/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
128-108
128
108
+20
126avg 114
H05/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-31
39-36
28-22
21-24
30-27
25-33
33-35
34-23
37-28
24-25
38-29
35-29
18-27
29-25
27-29
25-20
28-24
35-23
20-27
16-24
27-26
26-32
20-23
26-26
38-29
35-29
26-38
20-30
31-35
26-25
36-24
29-29
34-35
36-34
35-22
29-26
35-30
35-22
27-34
31-22
229.0Avg total
117.8Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)117.2112.7229.9+4.570%
Season at home (29)120.6109.3229.9+11.286%
Season away (24)113.1116.8229.9-3.750%
Last 10 (10)117.8111.2229.0+6.670%
Last 5 (5)120.4114.2234.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)116.3110.8227.1+5.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)121.9113.3235.1+8.687%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A19/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H20/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H22/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A24/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H28/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H31/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H04/02
NBA
115.8Avg total
56.9Scored
58.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.455.9114.3+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.455.9115.3+3.465%-
Last 30 away (13)57.255.8112.9+1.454%-
Last 10 (10)56.958.9115.8-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)58.259.6117.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)56.054.0110.0+2.075%-
vs Similar (21)58.956.0114.8+2.967%-
vs Weaker (5)58.457.0115.4+1.420%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H18/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H19/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H01/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H03/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H05/02
NBA
119.8Avg total
62.2Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.456.4117.8+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (21)61.655.5117.1+6.171%-
Last 30 away (9)61.058.4119.4+2.644%-
Last 10 (10)62.257.6119.8+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)64.659.4124.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)60.855.8116.6+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)62.157.0119.1+5.160%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.827.6
56.6%
54.5%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.914.5
37.3%
35.8%43.5
🏀 Free throws23.817.5
73.5%
78.1%17.5
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.931.3
57.0%
54.5%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.912.6
39.5%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
78.1%17.4
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLWWWLWWL
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLWLWWW
#17
League position
#2
+1.9
Net rating
+6.6
110.4
Offensive rating
117.3
108.5
Defensive rating
110.7
56.3%
Effective FG%
57.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.5%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.3%
3-point %
39.5%
58.9%
Assist %
67.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 117.3Defence108.5 · 110.7Shooting56.3% · 57.8%3-point %37.3% · 39.5%Ball care15.0% · 13.5%Off. rebounds20.3% · 24.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HOrlando Magic120-127
02/02/23HGolden State Warriors119-114 OT
31/01/23HSacramento Kings111-118 OT
29/01/23HSacramento Kings117-110
28/01/23HMemphis Grizzlies111-100
26/01/23ANew Orleans Pelicans111-102
24/01/23AHouston Rockets114-119
22/01/23HHouston Rockets113-104
20/01/23HToronto Raptors128-126
19/01/23ADenver Nuggets118-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/23HAtlanta Hawks128-108
03/02/23HGolden State Warriors134-117
01/02/23HNew Orleans Pelicans122-113
28/01/23APhiladelphia 76ers119-126
26/01/23AMilwaukee Bucks99-107
25/01/23ANew Orleans Pelicans99-98
23/01/23HOklahoma City Thunder99-101
21/01/23HIndiana Pacers134-111
19/01/23HMinnesota Timberwolves122-118
18/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers122-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL51%
HomeWWLWL61%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games553124
Win %51%61%38%
Points / game115.2117.2112.7
Allowed / game115.2115.4115.0
Point differential+0.0+1.8-2.3
Avg total230.5232.5227.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%23%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)67% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532924
Win %70%86%50%
Points / game117.2120.6113.1
Allowed / game112.7109.3116.8
Point differential+4.5+11.2-3.7
Avg total229.9229.9229.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won72% (18)64% (11)86% (7)
Overtime %4%3%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics53371670%117.7111.9+5.8
2 Denver Nuggets53371670%117.2112.7+4.5
3 Milwaukee Bucks53361768%114.3111.8+2.4
4 Philadelphia 76ers52341865%114.6110.9+3.7
5 Brooklyn Nets52322062%114.4112.3+2.1
6 Memphis Grizzlies53322160%116.2112.6+3.6
7 Cleveland Cavaliers55332260%111.7106.8+4.9
8 Sacramento Kings51292257%119.2116.2+3.0
9 Miami Heat54292554%108.5108.4+0.1
10 Los Angeles Clippers56302654%111.0110.8+0.2
11 New York Knicks55292653%114.4112.7+1.7
12 Phoenix Suns55292653%112.6111.3+1.3
13 Dallas Mavericks54282652%112.3112.0+0.4
14 Golden State Warriors53272651%118.0118.2-0.2
15 Minnesota Timberwolves55282751%115.2115.2+0.0
16 New Orleans Pelicans54272750%115.1113.8+1.3
17 Utah Jazz54272750%117.6116.5+1.1
18 Atlanta Hawks54272750%116.3116.5-0.2
19 Portland Trail Blazers53262749%114.6114.0+0.5
20 Oklahoma City Thunder52252748%117.3115.9+1.4
21 Chicago Bulls52252748%114.6114.2+0.3
22 Los Angeles Lakers54252946%117.1118.4-1.3
23 Washington Wizards52242846%113.2113.5-0.2
24 Toronto Raptors55253045%113.0112.4+0.6
25 Indiana Pacers55253045%114.7116.9-2.3
26 Orlando Magic54223241%111.4114.4-3.1
27 Charlotte Hornets55154027%112.0118.6-6.6
28 San Antonio Spurs53143926%112.8122.5-9.8
29 Detroit Pistons54144026%112.5119.8-7.3
30 Houston Rockets53134025%109.9117.5-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves32313134128
Denver Nuggets2122282798
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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