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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 100-99
26-29 25-28 28-32 21-10
Position#4
Record47-23
FormLLWLW
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game107.1
vs
Position#24
Record28-42
FormLLLLL
Points / game108.2
Allowed / game110.0
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
21 Oct 2016
DEN101
DAL75
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
120-118
120
118
+2
H14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
114-104
114
104
+10
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
123-96
123
96
+27
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
121-112
121
112
+9
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
104-111
104
111
-7
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
112-120
112
120
-8
H03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
103-104
103
104
-1
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
115-99
115
99
+16
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
105-122
105
122
-17
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
133-107
133
107
+26
H13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-41
28-28
35-22
27-27
25-30
27-21
39-23
23-30
34-27
30-29
33-21
26-19
29-26
35-25
27-27
30-34
22-19
15-33
33-29
34-30
39-27
32-40
22-29
19-24
17-36
31-22
21-27
34-19
43-25
23-24
19-28
30-22
20-30
30-37
25-23
30-32
31-20
27-28
36-30
39-29
224.3Avg total
115.0Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)112.2107.1219.3+5.067%
Season at home (34)116.5105.1221.6+11.482%
Season away (36)108.1109.1217.1-1.053%
Last 10 (10)115.0109.3224.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)113.6110.4224.0+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)113.5111.6225.1+1.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)116.1108.2224.3+7.973%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
104-114
104
114
-10
H23/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
109-125
109
125
-16
A24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
L
112-121
112
121
-9
A26/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
110-101
110
101
+9
H28/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
81-111
81
111
-30
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
88-127
88
127
-39
A05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
123-132
123
132
-9
A07/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
106-111
106
111
-5
A09/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
93-94
93
94
-1
H10/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
105-112
105
112
-7
H13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
21-27
23-39
30-23
25-31
33-30
20-25
31-39
22-29
35-34
31-28
24-30
28-27
25-26
26-25
31-23
21-33
28-29
18-28
14-21
21-31
26-34
26-34
15-28
43-33
22-36
31-30
27-33
19-29
28-33
26-30
33-19
26-25
28-33
18-23
21-13
24-34
29-26
21-24
31-28
217.9Avg total
103.1Scored
114.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)108.2110.0218.2-1.840%
Season at home (35)108.9106.8215.7+2.160%
Season away (35)107.5113.3220.7-5.820%
Last 10 (10)103.1114.8217.9-11.710%
Last 5 (5)103.0115.2218.2-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)104.7112.8217.5-8.115%
vs Similar (14)102.4109.9212.2-7.529%
vs Weaker (3)109.794.0203.7+15.7100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H13/03
NBA
113.6Avg total
56.8Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.859.2118.0-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)63.058.0121.0+5.075%-
Last 30 away (14)54.060.6114.6-6.614%-
Last 10 (10)56.856.8113.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)58.657.8116.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)58.960.5119.4-1.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)58.757.9116.6+0.953%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H23/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A26/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H28/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
47-65
47
65
-18
A05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A07/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A09/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H10/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H13/03
NBA
113.9Avg total
53.4Scored
60.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.057.1111.1-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.356.2110.6-1.938%-
Last 30 away (14)53.658.1111.6-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)53.460.5113.9-7.10%-
Last 5 (5)53.262.8116.0-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)52.259.5111.7-7.28%-
vs Similar (14)55.856.3112.1-0.557%-
vs Weaker (3)53.050.7103.7+2.367%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.929.7
49.6%
51.7%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.212.3
37.0%
35.4%36.9
🏀 Free throws24.418.5
75.8%
76.6%18.5
They take 93.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 102.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.824.4
52.1%
51.7%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.112.0
31.5%
35.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws25.318.1
71.5%
76.6%18.1
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWLLLWWWW
Dallas Mavericks
LLLLLLWLLL
#4
League position
#24
+5.4
Net rating
-12.0
109.5
Offensive rating
103.6
104.1
Defensive rating
115.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
49.9%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
13.7%
Turnover %
12.5%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.0%
3-point %
31.5%
68.3%
Assist %
63.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 103.6Defence104.1 · 115.5Shooting51.7% · 49.9%3-point %37.0% · 31.5%Ball care13.7% · 12.5%Off. rebounds28.2% · 20.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/19HMinnesota Timberwolves133-107
09/03/19AGolden State Warriors105-122
07/03/19ALos Angeles Lakers115-99
05/03/19ASan Antonio Spurs103-104
03/03/19HNew Orleans Pelicans112-120
01/03/19HUtah Jazz104-111
27/02/19HOklahoma City Thunder121-112
24/02/19HLos Angeles Clippers123-96
23/02/19ADallas Mavericks114-104
14/02/19HSacramento Kings120-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/19HSan Antonio Spurs105-112
10/03/19HHouston Rockets93-94
09/03/19AOrlando Magic106-111
07/03/19AWashington Wizards123-132
05/03/19ABrooklyn Nets88-127
03/03/19HMemphis Grizzlies81-111
28/02/19HIndiana Pacers110-101
26/02/19ALos Angeles Clippers112-121
24/02/19AUtah Jazz109-125
23/02/19HDenver Nuggets104-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW67%
HomeWWLLW82%
AwayLWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703436
Win %67%82%53%
Points / game112.2116.5108.1
Allowed / game107.1105.1109.1
Point differential+5.0+11.4-1.0
Avg total219.3221.6217.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (20)83% (6)79% (14)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeLWLLL60%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703535
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game108.2108.9107.5
Allowed / game110.0106.8113.3
Point differential-1.8+2.1-5.8
Avg total218.2215.7220.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (24)62% (13)27% (11)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks72541875%118.0108.4+9.7
2 Toronto Raptors73522171%114.1108.6+5.5
3 Denver Nuggets70472367%112.2107.1+5.0
4 Golden State Warriors72472565%117.6112.3+5.3
5 Philadelphia 76ers71452663%114.9111.6+3.3
6 Indiana Pacers73462763%107.9103.9+4.0
7 Houston Rockets72452762%113.0109.9+3.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder73452862%114.6110.4+4.3
9 Portland Trail Blazers72442861%114.0110.3+3.7
10 Utah Jazz71422959%110.5106.2+4.3
11 Boston Celtics73433059%112.0107.3+4.7
12 Los Angeles Clippers72423058%114.4112.9+1.5
13 San Antonio Spurs73423158%111.8110.3+1.4
14 Brooklyn Nets74383651%111.2111.6-0.4
15 Detroit Pistons72363650%107.0107.7-0.6
16 Miami Heat73353848%106.6106.6-0.0
17 Charlotte Hornets72343847%111.0111.6-0.6
18 Sacramento Kings72343847%113.2115.4-2.1
19 Los Angeles Lakers74344046%112.0113.9-1.8
20 Orlando Magic74334145%105.3106.1-0.8
21 Minnesota Timberwolves74334145%112.5114.2-1.7
22 Washington Wizards72324044%114.3116.3-1.9
23 Memphis Grizzlies74304441%102.1104.8-2.7
24 New Orleans Pelicans75304540%115.4116.2-0.8
25 Dallas Mavericks70284240%108.2110.0-1.8
26 Atlanta Hawks74264835%112.6118.5-5.8
27 Chicago Bulls74215328%104.8112.4-7.6
28 Cleveland Cavaliers73195426%104.0113.1-9.1
29 Phoenix Suns73175623%106.4115.6-9.3
30 New York Knicks73165722%105.5113.4-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets26252821100
Dallas Mavericks2928321099
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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