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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 119-101
31-31 34-21 32-22 22-27
Position#6
Record8-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game110.1
vs
Position#27
Record7-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game112.1
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
115-125
115
125
-10
113avg 106
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
103-106
103
106
-3
96avg 106
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
124-109
124
109
+15
120avg 106
A04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
123-116
123
116
+7
116avg 106
H06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
117-124 OT
117
124
-7
105avg 106
H08/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
115-103
115
103
+12
111avg 106
A09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
114-89
114
89
+25
110avg 106
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
116-122
116
122
-6
105avg 106
A13/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
114-104
114
104
+10
110avg 106
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
105-109
105
109
-4
93avg 106
H18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-32
28-42
38-22
15-29
32-34
17-26
29-27
25-19
29-28
26-20
28-36
41-25
34-22
28-43
31-31
30-20
28-22
24-21
26-33
31-33
28-26
30-25
35-21
22-31
28-21
31-17
23-26
32-25
35-27
35-27
20-36
26-32
37-24
28-30
25-22
24-28
31-32
27-21
21-28
26-28
225.3Avg total
114.6Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)116.2110.1226.3+6.250%
Season at home (10)117.1110.6227.7+6.550%
Season away (6)114.8109.2224.0+5.750%
Last 10 (10)114.6110.7225.3+3.950%
Last 5 (5)112.8105.4218.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)105.9107.5213.4-1.642%
vs Similar (13)111.6104.7216.3+6.954%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)121.6117.0238.6+4.660%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#28
L
107-118
107
118
-11
97avg 100
H30/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
80-113
80
113
-33
69avg 100
H01/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
108-99
108
99
+9
104avg 100
A03/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
90-118
90
118
-28
76avg 100
A05/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
111-110
111
110
+1
103avg 100
A07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
101-89
101
89
+12
95avg 100
A09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
129-116
129
116
+13
119avg 100
A10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
102-112
102
112
-10
94avg 100
H13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
99-128
99
128
-29
89avg 100
H14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
127-125 OT
127
125
+2
110avg 100
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-34
29-26
29-27
22-31
28-32
19-26
26-27
7-28
28-33
24-18
32-31
24-17
26-26
23-37
17-28
24-27
26-34
28-25
34-19
23-32
15-24
27-18
27-21
32-26
29-41
28-22
37-18
35-35
26-26
17-25
30-29
29-32
21-30
25-28
25-35
28-35
22-30
28-38
37-27
31-23
218.2Avg total
105.4Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)106.6112.1218.7-5.547%
Season at home (8)103.8116.9220.6-13.112%
Season away (7)109.9106.7216.6+3.186%
Last 10 (10)105.4112.8218.2-7.450%
Last 5 (5)111.6114.0225.6-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)106.1110.5216.7-4.447%
vs Similar (14)105.4112.1217.4-6.743%
vs Weaker (1)121.0103.0224.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H08/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A13/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H18/01
NBA
113.0Avg total
59.0Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.656.2113.8+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.354.7113.0+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)56.957.9114.7-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)59.054.0113.0+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)62.050.0112.0+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)53.859.1112.8-5.325%-
vs Similar (13)59.652.0111.6+7.677%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)61.860.0121.8+1.860%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#28
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H30/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H01/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A03/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A05/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H16/01
NBA
106.9Avg total
49.6Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.555.6110.0-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.155.5109.6-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)54.855.7110.5-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)49.657.3106.9-7.710%-
Last 5 (5)47.656.4104.0-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)51.954.5106.5-2.633%-
vs Similar (14)56.557.2113.7-0.729%-
vs Weaker (1)64.048.0112.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.629.2
54.5%
52.8%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.013.5
38.6%
36.6%40.5
🏀 Free throws20.815.7
75.5%
77.7%15.7
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 105.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.825.9
54.2%
52.8%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.212.9
32.9%
36.6%38.7
🏀 Free throws20.814.9
71.6%
77.7%14.9
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLWWLWWLL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLLWWWLWLL
#6
League position
#27
+3.9
Net rating
-7.2
114.6
Offensive rating
102.4
110.7
Defensive rating
109.6
55.8%
Effective FG%
52.0%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.1%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
14.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.6%
3-point %
32.9%
63.0%
Assist %
57.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 102.4Defence110.7 · 109.6Shooting55.8% · 52.0%3-point %38.6% · 32.9%Ball care13.6% · 13.1%Off. rebounds26.8% · 14.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/21HUtah Jazz105-109
15/01/21HGolden State Warriors114-104
13/01/21ABrooklyn Nets116-122
10/01/21ANew York Knicks114-89
09/01/21APhiladelphia 76ers115-103
08/01/21HDallas Mavericks117-124 OT
06/01/21HMinnesota Timberwolves123-116
04/01/21AMinnesota Timberwolves124-109
02/01/21HPhoenix Suns103-106
30/12/20ASacramento Kings115-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/21HChicago Bulls127-125 OT
14/01/21HLos Angeles Lakers99-128
13/01/21HSan Antonio Spurs102-112
10/01/21ABrooklyn Nets129-116
09/01/21ANew York Knicks101-89
07/01/21ANew Orleans Pelicans111-110
05/01/21AMiami Heat90-118
03/01/21AOrlando Magic108-99
01/01/21HNew Orleans Pelicans80-113
30/12/20HOrlando Magic107-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game116.2117.1114.8
Allowed / game110.1110.6109.2
Point differential+6.2+6.5+5.7
Avg total226.3227.7224.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW47%
HomeLLLLW12%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%12%86%
Points / game106.6103.8109.9
Allowed / game112.1116.9106.7
Point differential-5.5-13.1+3.1
Avg total218.7220.6216.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1915479%114.4104.4+9.9
2 Utah Jazz1612475%112.0104.5+7.5
3 Philadelphia 76ers1611569%113.2109.4+3.8
4 Brooklyn Nets1711665%118.9112.3+6.6
5 Los Angeles Clippers1710759%111.8109.6+2.1
6 Memphis Grizzlies1710759%109.4107.5+1.9
7 Boston Celtics148657%108.4109.6-1.3
8 Golden State Warriors169756%111.5113.8-2.3
9 Milwaukee Bucks179853%118.4112.6+5.8
10 New York Knicks1910953%100.5100.0+0.5
11 Denver Nuggets168850%116.2110.1+6.2
12 Dallas Mavericks168850%110.2108.2+2.0
13 New Orleans Pelicans147750%109.6107.9+1.7
14 Indiana Pacers168850%111.6110.2+1.4
15 Chicago Bulls189950%115.6116.8-1.2
16 Portland Trail Blazers189950%112.9116.7-3.8
17 Atlanta Hawks178947%111.5111.0+0.5
18 San Antonio Spurs178947%109.9111.6-1.8
19 Cleveland Cavaliers178947%99.5104.7-5.2
20 Oklahoma City Thunder157847%106.6112.1-5.5
21 Orlando Magic1881044%106.7112.1-5.4
22 Toronto Raptors167944%111.4110.3+1.1
23 Houston Rockets167944%111.1110.2+0.9
24 Phoenix Suns167944%108.5108.6-0.1
25 Miami Heat146843%109.4113.2-3.8
26 Charlotte Hornets1871139%108.7109.6-0.9
27 Sacramento Kings1871139%113.4121.6-8.2
28 Detroit Pistons1751229%105.4108.4-3.0
29 Washington Wizards1441029%116.0117.6-1.6
30 Minnesota Timberwolves1541127%108.7118.1-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31343222119
Oklahoma City Thunder31212227101
← all games of the day
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