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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 113-117
31-38 27-32 36-22 19-25
Position#9
Record10-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game110.2
vs
Position#6
Record11-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game117.3
Allowed / game110.5
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
113-100
113
100
+13
113avg 106
A05/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
124-117 OT
124
117
+7
118avg 106
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
112-98
112
98
+14
110avg 106
H10/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
104-93
104
93
+11
92avg 106
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
109-112
109
112
-3
97avg 106
A16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
101-117
101
117
-16
85avg 106
H17/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
93-116
93
116
-23
80avg 106
A19/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
124-112
124
112
+12
122avg 106
A21/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
122-117
122
117
+5
111avg 106
A23/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
108-133
108
133
-25
89avg 106
H24/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
28-28
23-28
29-23
22-28
21-24
33-26
33-31
36-27
20-23
29-25
27-23
32-16
28-27
27-29
17-21
23-30
24-25
34-29
28-28
23-27
29-40
23-22
26-28
18-22
29-25
25-34
21-35
37-28
28-35
28-29
31-20
37-34
31-24
27-27
27-32
27-38
32-32
24-34
25-29
222.5Avg total
111.0Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)111.5110.2221.7+1.353%
Season at home (6)106.7113.0219.7-6.333%
Season away (13)113.7108.9222.6+4.862%
Last 10 (10)111.0111.5222.5-0.560%
Last 5 (5)109.6119.0228.6-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)136.0132.0268.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (21)112.9115.9228.8-3.043%
vs Weaker (8)114.5115.2229.8-0.850%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
123-116
123
116
+7
116avg 107
H06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
117-124 OT
117
124
-7
105avg 107
H08/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
115-103
115
103
+12
111avg 107
A09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
114-89
114
89
+25
110avg 107
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
116-122
116
122
-6
105avg 107
A13/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
114-104
114
104
+10
110avg 107
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
105-109
105
109
-4
93avg 107
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
119-101
119
101
+18
113avg 107
H20/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
123avg 107
A23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
120-112 OT
120
112
+8
113avg 107
A24/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-22
28-43
31-31
30-20
28-22
24-21
26-33
31-33
28-26
30-25
35-21
22-31
28-21
31-17
23-26
32-25
35-27
35-27
20-36
26-32
37-24
28-30
25-22
24-28
31-32
27-21
21-28
26-28
31-31
34-21
32-22
22-27
25-34
29-34
37-27
23-19
28-30
30-31
15-16
25-21
227.9Avg total
117.3Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)117.3110.5227.8+6.858%
Season at home (11)117.3109.7227.0+7.555%
Season away (8)117.4111.6229.0+5.862%
Last 10 (10)117.3110.6227.9+6.770%
Last 5 (5)117.6110.4228.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)106.7106.4213.1+0.445%
vs Similar ◀ (13)115.5108.8224.3+6.854%
vs Weaker (6)121.2114.3235.5+6.867%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A05/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H10/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
52-67
52
67
-15
H17/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A19/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A21/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A23/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H24/01
NBA
111.2Avg total
55.8Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.159.4116.5-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.661.2117.8-4.625%-
Last 30 away (18)57.558.2115.7-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)55.855.4111.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)58.261.0119.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.071.0133.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)55.559.3114.8-3.829%-
vs Weaker (8)60.958.1119.0+2.862%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H08/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A13/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H20/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A24/01
NBA
114.0Avg total
60.1Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.156.8115.0+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.255.7114.9+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)56.958.1115.0-1.336%-
Last 10 (10)60.153.9114.0+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)60.057.6117.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)54.058.2112.2-4.227%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)59.754.8114.5+4.862%-
vs Weaker (6)62.358.7121.0+3.767%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.028.6
54.0%
52.8%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.912.4
34.5%
36.6%37.2
🏀 Free throws22.116.6
75.1%
77.7%16.6
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.131.0
53.4%
52.8%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.212.8
36.4%
36.6%38.4
🏀 Free throws21.616.9
78.2%
77.7%16.9
They take 93.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWWLLLWWWW
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWLWWLW
#9
League position
#6
-0.5
Net rating
+6.5
109.2
Offensive rating
113.6
109.7
Defensive rating
107.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
11.8%
Turnover %
12.6%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.5%
3-point %
36.4%
55.9%
Assist %
60.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 113.6Defence109.7 · 107.1Shooting53.1% · 53.8%3-point %34.5% · 36.4%Ball care11.8% · 12.6%Off. rebounds20.3% · 27.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dallas Mavericks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21HHouston Rockets108-133
23/01/21ASan Antonio Spurs122-117
21/01/21AIndiana Pacers124-112
19/01/21AToronto Raptors93-116
17/01/21HChicago Bulls101-117
16/01/21AMilwaukee Bucks109-112
14/01/21ACharlotte Hornets104-93
10/01/21HOrlando Magic112-98
08/01/21ADenver Nuggets124-117 OT
05/01/21AHouston Rockets113-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21APhoenix Suns120-112 OT
23/01/21APhoenix Suns130-126 OT
20/01/21HOklahoma City Thunder119-101
18/01/21HUtah Jazz105-109
15/01/21HGolden State Warriors114-104
13/01/21ABrooklyn Nets116-122
10/01/21ANew York Knicks114-89
09/01/21APhiladelphia 76ers115-103
08/01/21HDallas Mavericks117-124 OT
06/01/21HMinnesota Timberwolves123-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL53%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19613
Win %53%33%62%
Points / game111.5106.7113.7
Allowed / game110.2113.0108.9
Point differential+1.3-6.3+4.8
Avg total221.7219.7222.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %11%17%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %58%55%62%
Points / game117.3117.3117.4
Allowed / game110.5109.7111.6
Point differential+6.8+7.5+5.8
Avg total227.8227.0229.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%45%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %21%18%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers2218482%113.7104.0+9.7
2 Utah Jazz1915479%114.0105.3+8.7
3 Philadelphia 76ers2014670%113.4110.0+3.5
4 Los Angeles Clippers2013765%112.2108.3+3.9
5 Brooklyn Nets2113862%118.8113.8+5.0
6 Memphis Grizzlies1710759%109.4107.5+1.9
7 Denver Nuggets1911858%117.3110.5+6.8
8 Boston Celtics179853%110.4110.4+0.0
9 Milwaukee Bucks1910953%118.3112.8+5.5
10 Dallas Mavericks1910953%111.5110.2+1.3
11 Golden State Warriors1910953%111.4114.0-2.6
12 Portland Trail Blazers1910953%113.1116.5-3.4
13 Indiana Pacers20101050%112.4111.3+1.1
14 Atlanta Hawks20101050%112.5111.5+1.1
15 New York Knicks22111150%101.6101.0+0.5
16 Chicago Bulls20101050%114.7115.7-0.9
17 Cleveland Cavaliers21101148%103.6108.8-5.2
18 Houston Rockets1991047%111.4109.6+1.8
19 Orlando Magic22101245%107.1111.3-4.2
20 Toronto Raptors2091145%110.3109.4+0.9
21 San Antonio Spurs2091145%110.2112.1-1.9
22 Phoenix Suns1981142%109.6110.1-0.4
23 New Orleans Pelicans1771041%109.6110.4-0.8
24 Sacramento Kings2081240%112.0119.9-7.8
25 Miami Heat1871139%107.4111.9-4.5
26 Oklahoma City Thunder1871139%105.9112.7-6.8
27 Charlotte Hornets2181338%108.6110.3-1.7
28 Detroit Pistons2161529%106.6108.9-2.3
29 Minnesota Timberwolves1851328%108.0116.3-8.3
30 Washington Wizards1541127%115.0117.8-2.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks31273619113
Denver Nuggets38322225117
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