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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 106-117
18-37 31-21 30-28 27-31
Position#26
Record14-52
FormLLWLL
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game119.9
vs
Position#3
Record46-20
FormLWWWW
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game110.3
USANBA· AT&T Center (San Antonio)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
118-123
118
123
-5
113avg 106
A24/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
109-128
109
128
-19
106avg 106
A26/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
105-114
105
114
-9
102avg 106
A28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
132-118
132
118
+14
136avg 106
H01/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
117-105
117
105
+12
120avg 106
H04/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
101-114
101
114
-13
96avg 106
A06/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
129-131
129
131
-2
130avg 106
A08/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
126-113
126
113
+13
129avg 106
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
102-112
102
112
-10
94avg 106
H12/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
101-103
101
103
-2
100avg 106
H13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
33-36
31-31
28-26
18-32
21-31
35-30
35-35
21-29
22-29
24-27
38-29
37-37
32-27
29-32
34-22
26-16
26-32
34-29
31-28
21-26
32-21
24-33
24-34
31-30
28-41
36-29
34-31
32-27
30-16
34-36
30-34
37-29
23-29
18-32
24-22
30-24
17-20
25-32
29-27
230.1Avg total
114.0Scored
116.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)112.3119.9232.2-7.621%
Season at home (30)114.3119.5233.8-5.223%
Season away (36)110.6120.2230.8-9.519%
Last 10 (10)114.0116.1230.1-2.130%
Last 5 (5)111.8114.6226.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)110.7117.8228.5-7.018%
vs Similar (8)118.6114.8233.4+3.950%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
127-112
127
112
+15
133avg 109
A24/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
119-103
119
103
+16
116avg 109
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
117-96
117
96
+21
121avg 109
H29/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
103-97
103
97
+6
94avg 109
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
124-114
124
114
+10
128avg 109
A03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
107-117 OT
107
117
-10
98avg 109
H06/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
115-109
115
109
+6
111avg 109
H08/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
142-121
142
121
+21
149avg 109
H10/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
125-119
125
119
+6
123avg 109
H12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
100-88
100
88
+12
94avg 109
A13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
38-28
32-29
32-35
30-36
31-25
30-26
28-16
28-35
37-20
35-17
17-24
36-20
20-31
27-19
20-27
27-33
31-33
31-23
35-25
32-28
18-37
31-25
21-12
30-28
32-26
28-26
25-29
38-22
40-22
24-44
40-33
32-34
19-34
42-30
32-21
26-19
24-25
22-27
28-17
225.5Avg total
117.9Scored
107.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)114.8110.3225.1+4.570%
Season at home (33)118.9109.6228.5+9.382%
Season away (33)110.6111.0221.7-0.458%
Last 10 (10)117.9107.6225.5+10.390%
Last 5 (5)117.8110.8228.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)108.5104.5213.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (17)108.8109.9218.7-1.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)122.6112.3234.9+10.491%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A24/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A26/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H01/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H04/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A06/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A08/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H12/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H13/03
NBA
110.5Avg total
54.3Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.558.9113.4-4.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.557.1113.5-0.662%-
Last 30 away (17)52.960.4113.3-7.424%-
Last 10 (10)54.356.2110.5-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)56.252.6108.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)52.959.4112.3-6.532%-
vs Similar (8)58.857.6116.4+1.162%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A24/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H29/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H06/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H08/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
78-44
78
44
+34
H10/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
51-68
51
68
-17
H12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A13/03
NBA
115.0Avg total
59.4Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.057.0116.0+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.555.1116.6+6.475%-
Last 30 away (14)56.159.1115.3-3.036%-
Last 10 (10)59.455.6115.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)58.255.0113.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.557.5116.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (17)57.257.2114.5+0.053%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)61.856.5118.4+5.364%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.428.0
52.4%
54.4%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.014.3
40.9%
36.3%42.9
🏀 Free throws19.015.1
79.5%
78.2%15.1
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.634.1
60.2%
54.4%68.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.512.1
38.4%
36.3%36.3
🏀 Free throws17.013.4
78.8%
78.2%13.4
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
LLWLLWWLLL
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWWWWW
#26
League position
#3
-2.1
Net rating
+10.4
112.1
Offensive rating
119.5
114.1
Defensive rating
109.1
55.9%
Effective FG%
59.3%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
11.6%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.19
40.9%
3-point %
38.4%
75.9%
Assist %
67.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 119.5Defence114.1 · 109.1Shooting55.9% · 59.3%3-point %40.9% · 38.4%Ball care15.0% · 11.6%Off. rebounds25.5% · 22.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24HHouston Rockets101-103
12/03/24HGolden State Warriors102-112
10/03/24AGolden State Warriors126-113
08/03/24ASacramento Kings129-131
06/03/24AHouston Rockets101-114
04/03/24HIndiana Pacers117-105
01/03/24HOklahoma City Thunder132-118
28/02/24AMinnesota Timberwolves105-114
26/02/24AUtah Jazz109-128
24/02/24ALos Angeles Lakers118-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24AMiami Heat100-88
12/03/24HToronto Raptors125-119
10/03/24HUtah Jazz142-121
08/03/24HBoston Celtics115-109
06/03/24HPhoenix Suns107-117 OT
03/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers124-114
01/03/24HMiami Heat103-97
29/02/24HSacramento Kings117-96
26/02/24AGolden State Warriors119-103
24/02/24APortland Trail Blazers127-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL21%
HomeLWWLL23%
AwayLLLLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663036
Win %21%23%19%
Points / game112.3114.3110.6
Allowed / game119.9119.5120.2
Point differential-7.6-5.2-9.5
Avg total232.2233.8230.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (16)22% (9)29% (7)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663333
Win %70%82%58%
Points / game114.8118.9110.6
Allowed / game110.3109.6111.0
Point differential+4.5+9.3-0.4
Avg total225.1228.5221.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%48%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)40% (5)55% (11)
Overtime %2%3%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics65521380%121.0109.5+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder66462070%120.8113.1+7.7
3 Denver Nuggets66462070%114.8110.3+4.5
4 Minnesota Timberwolves66452168%113.2106.7+6.5
5 Milwaukee Bucks65422365%120.0116.9+3.2
6 Cleveland Cavaliers66422464%113.8109.4+4.3
7 Los Angeles Clippers66422464%116.8112.7+4.2
8 New Orleans Pelicans64392561%116.2110.6+5.6
9 New York Knicks65392660%112.0107.5+4.5
10 Sacramento Kings64382659%118.4117.2+1.2
11 Phoenix Suns66392759%117.0114.3+2.7
12 Orlando Magic67392858%110.7109.2+1.5
13 Dallas Mavericks67382957%119.0117.7+1.3
14 Philadelphia 76ers66363055%115.2112.9+2.3
15 Miami Heat66363055%110.1109.6+0.6
16 Indiana Pacers65353054%123.1121.6+1.5
17 Golden State Warriors65343152%118.2116.7+1.6
18 Los Angeles Lakers65343152%117.1118.3-1.2
19 Chicago Bulls67323548%111.8113.9-2.0
20 Houston Rockets66313547%113.2112.6+0.6
21 Atlanta Hawks65293645%119.4121.2-1.9
22 Utah Jazz65283743%117.6120.7-3.2
23 Brooklyn Nets66264039%111.8113.9-2.0
24 Toronto Raptors67234434%113.9118.1-4.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies67234434%105.7112.2-6.5
26 Portland Trail Blazers66194729%107.7115.7-8.0
27 Charlotte Hornets67175025%106.9116.8-9.9
28 San Antonio Spurs66145221%112.3119.9-7.6
29 Detroit Pistons66125418%112.1120.3-8.2
30 Washington Wizards66115517%114.2123.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs18313027106
Denver Nuggets37212831117
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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