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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 111-101
35-32 14-26 30-25 32-18
Position#7
Record8-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game106.1
vs
Position#11
Record9-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game103.8
Allowed / game98.0
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
116-106
116
106
+10
108avg 102
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
104-99
104
99
+5
90avg 102
H29/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
75-106
75
106
-31
55avg 102
A30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
105-99
105
99
+6
94avg 102
H31/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
110-125
110
125
-15
95avg 102
H02/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
109-108
109
108
+1
99avg 102
A04/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
107-104
107
104
+3
101avg 102
H07/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
108-92
108
92
+16
106avg 102
H09/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
107-117
107
117
-10
100avg 102
A11/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
123-109
123
109
+14
114avg 102
A13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
30-29
34-28
25-18
15-25
32-24
29-27
28-23
21-29
23-25
12-33
19-19
31-22
22-25
29-25
23-27
30-24
32-46
26-29
22-26
28-28
31-30
22-25
28-25
29-15
28-25
22-32
28-32
22-27
29-20
27-22
30-23
33-32
21-29
26-34
27-22
31-22
37-35
34-20
21-32
212.9Avg total
106.4Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)104.5106.1210.6-1.667%
Season at home (6)108.3104.2212.5+4.283%
Season away (6)100.7108.0208.7-7.350%
Last 10 (10)106.4106.5212.9-0.170%
Last 5 (5)110.8106.0216.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)107.2109.6216.8-2.462%
vs Weaker (9)113.6109.4223.0+4.167%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
110-122
110
122
-12
96avg 107
A27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
106-75
106
75
+31
109avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
93-91
93
91
+2
85avg 107
A31/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
97-106
97
106
-9
88avg 107
A02/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
106-108
106
108
-2
98avg 107
A04/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
95-94
95
94
+1
82avg 107
H06/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
113-96
113
96
+17
108avg 107
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
101-98
101
98
+3
88avg 107
H11/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
105-96
105
96
+9
99avg 107
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
124-95
124
95
+29
123avg 107
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-35
33-31
26-25
20-31
29-21
25-23
33-12
19-19
23-32
20-15
26-26
24-18
26-31
32-29
15-22
24-24
19-37
36-19
28-22
23-30
26-27
20-20
26-24
23-23
30-25
34-24
27-21
22-26
23-20
21-24
25-21
32-33
32-25
17-21
30-23
26-27
33-18
34-35
24-26
33-16
203.1Avg total
105.0Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)103.898.0201.8+5.869%
Season at home (8)104.193.6197.8+10.588%
Season away (5)103.2105.0208.2-1.840%
Last 10 (10)105.098.1203.1+6.970%
Last 5 (5)107.695.8203.4+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.098.0208.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (23)110.2111.9222.1-1.743%
vs Weaker (6)109.298.8208.0+10.3100%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H29/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H31/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H02/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A04/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H07/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A11/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A13/11
NBA
109.5Avg total
55.2Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.956.7114.6+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.054.7112.7+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)57.858.7116.5-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)55.254.3109.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)57.852.6110.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)57.356.5113.8+0.848%-
vs Weaker (9)59.357.1116.4+2.256%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H30/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A31/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A02/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A04/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H06/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H15/11
NBA
105.6Avg total
54.4Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.455.7113.1+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.852.3110.1+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)56.959.1116.0-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)54.451.2105.6+3.240%-
Last 5 (5)54.047.8101.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.058.0109.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)57.856.7114.5+1.152%-
vs Weaker (6)56.751.5108.2+5.267%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.326.3
54.5%
53.1%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.012.9
33.1%
35.3%38.7
🏀 Free throws21.515.1
70.2%
77.4%15.1
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 105.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.529.5
56.2%
53.1%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.210.9
31.0%
35.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.413.3
76.4%
77.4%13.3
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLWWWLWLWW
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWLLWWL
#7
League position
#11
-0.1
Net rating
+7.1
107.1
Offensive rating
108.4
107.2
Defensive rating
101.3
52.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
12.3%
Turnover %
12.2%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.20
33.1%
3-point %
31.0%
55.6%
Assist %
60.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 108.4Defence107.2 · 101.3Shooting52.3% · 52.3%3-point %33.1% · 31.0%Ball care12.3% · 12.2%Off. rebounds21.3% · 22.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dallas Mavericks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/21ASan Antonio Spurs123-109
11/11/21AChicago Bulls107-117
09/11/21HNew Orleans Pelicans108-92
07/11/21HBoston Celtics107-104
04/11/21ASan Antonio Spurs109-108
02/11/21HMiami Heat110-125
31/10/21HSacramento Kings105-99
30/10/21ADenver Nuggets75-106
29/10/21HSan Antonio Spurs104-99
27/10/21HHouston Rockets116-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/21HPortland Trail Blazers124-95
13/11/21HAtlanta Hawks105-96
11/11/21HIndiana Pacers101-98
09/11/21HMiami Heat113-96
06/11/21HHouston Rockets95-94
04/11/21AMemphis Grizzlies106-108
02/11/21AMemphis Grizzlies97-106
31/10/21AMinnesota Timberwolves93-91
30/10/21HDallas Mavericks106-75
27/10/21AUtah Jazz110-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game104.5108.3100.7
Allowed / game106.1104.2108.0
Point differential-1.6+4.2-7.3
Avg total210.6212.5208.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %69%88%40%
Points / game103.8104.1103.2
Allowed / game98.093.6105.0
Point differential+5.8+10.5-1.8
Avg total201.8197.8208.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors1311285%115.1101.8+13.2
2 Washington Wizards1310377%108.4103.5+4.9
3 Phoenix Suns129375%112.0106.2+5.8
4 Brooklyn Nets1410471%108.5103.5+5.0
5 Denver Nuggets139469%103.898.0+5.8
6 Chicago Bulls139469%107.6102.7+4.9
7 Dallas Mavericks128467%104.5106.1-1.6
8 Miami Heat138562%110.6104.0+6.6
9 Utah Jazz138562%110.2103.5+6.6
10 Los Angeles Clippers138562%108.5103.3+5.2
11 Cleveland Cavaliers159660%102.7101.1+1.7
12 Philadelphia 76ers148657%109.9105.7+4.1
13 New York Knicks148657%108.4107.4+1.0
14 Los Angeles Lakers148657%110.3111.9-1.6
15 Charlotte Hornets158753%113.3115.1-1.8
16 Toronto Raptors147750%105.4104.3+1.1
17 Boston Celtics147750%107.2106.1+1.1
18 Memphis Grizzlies136746%107.8114.4-6.5
19 Sacramento Kings146843%111.6110.7+0.9
20 Portland Trail Blazers146843%108.6109.0-0.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks146843%107.9109.8-1.9
22 Oklahoma City Thunder125742%99.3107.5-8.2
23 Indiana Pacers156940%107.5107.4+0.1
24 Atlanta Hawks156940%108.9110.2-1.3
25 Minnesota Timberwolves124833%104.6109.0-4.4
26 San Antonio Spurs134931%109.6109.5+0.1
27 Detroit Pistons1331023%98.3109.0-10.7
28 Orlando Magic1431121%99.9110.1-10.2
29 New Orleans Pelicans1521313%102.0111.3-9.3
30 Houston Rockets131128%101.8111.0-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks35143032111
Denver Nuggets32262518101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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