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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 87-102
24-31 27-27 17-27 19-17
Position#9
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#1
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
112-105
112
105
+7
110avg 108
A26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
108-119
108
119
-11
102avg 108
A28/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
108-106
108
106
+2
104avg 108
H30/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
99-106
99
106
-7
93avg 108
H04/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
80-106
80
106
-26
68avg 108
H07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
117-90
117
90
+27
115avg 108
A11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-107
115
107
+8
112avg 108
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
112-97
112
97
+15
112avg 108
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
70-115
70
115
-45
53avg 108
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
79avg 108
H20/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
26-20
34-22
29-30
23-28
25-33
32-30
28-28
28-24
22-29
31-26
27-27
25-23
19-17
27-33
28-33
20-28
15-33
25-21
20-24
28-20
28-21
37-25
24-24
29-24
35-25
26-30
25-28
28-26
22-18
38-30
24-23
14-31
26-28
21-27
9-29
24-19
29-19
14-28
23-32
206.0Avg total
101.1Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)101.1104.9206.0-3.850%
Last 5 (5)100.8101.4202.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (16)103.6103.2206.8+0.450%
vs Weaker (14)116.9108.1224.9+8.886%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
94-92
94
92
+2
85avg 110
H22/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
124-92
124
92
+32
123avg 110
H25/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
106-85
106
85
+21
105avg 110
A27/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
97-89
97
89
+8
85avg 110
A30/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
117-95
117
95
+22
114avg 110
H08/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
110-119
110
119
-9
102avg 110
H10/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
101-105
101
105
-4
94avg 110
A11/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
100-96
100
96
+4
84avg 110
A14/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
92-104
92
104
-12
76avg 110
H16/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
116-117
116
117
-1
101avg 110
A19/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
26-26
31-25
20-24
35-22
28-28
29-24
32-18
23-19
37-27
25-23
21-16
21-21
23-22
26-28
27-18
23-23
39-30
27-26
28-16
32-36
30-32
27-31
21-20
23-26
29-25
26-31
23-23
20-30
23-24
22-15
35-27
22-24
22-30
23-25
25-25
30-23
34-25
26-35
26-34
205.1Avg total
105.7Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)105.799.4205.1+6.360%
Last 5 (5)103.8108.2212.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)107.6102.4210.0+5.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)115.1108.0223.1+7.161%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A28/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H30/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H04/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
35-61
35
61
-26
H07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H20/05
NBA
98.8Avg total
48.9Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.952.9107.9+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.953.9106.8-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)57.251.9109.1+5.471%-
Last 10 (10)48.949.998.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)52.646.298.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (16)52.651.7104.3+0.962%-
vs Weaker (14)57.654.4111.9+3.257%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H22/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H25/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A27/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H08/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H10/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A11/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A14/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H16/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A19/05
NBA
104.7Avg total
53.7Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.052.5109.5+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.352.7111.0+5.656%-
Last 30 away (14)55.552.4107.9+3.171%-
Last 10 (10)53.751.0104.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)53.055.0108.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)54.349.6103.9+4.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)57.853.4111.3+4.461%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 101.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.927.8
52.6%
54.3%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.3
34.0%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.714.6
82.5%
77.8%14.6
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 105.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.827.3
52.7%
54.3%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.012.1
35.6%
35.9%36.3
🏀 Free throws18.514.8
80.0%
77.8%14.8
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWLLWLW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWLLWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
-4.1
Net rating
+6.6
108.0
Offensive rating
110.0
112.0
Defensive rating
103.5
52.0%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
13.1%
Turnover %
10.9%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.0%
3-point %
35.6%
64.6%
Assist %
58.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 110.0Defence112.0 · 103.5Shooting52.0% · 53.0%3-point %34.0% · 35.6%Ball care13.1% · 10.9%Off. rebounds22.1% · 20.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves90-98
17/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves70-115
15/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves112-97
13/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves115-107
11/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves117-90
07/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves80-106
04/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves99-106
30/04/24HLos Angeles Lakers108-106
28/04/24ALos Angeles Lakers108-119
26/04/24ALos Angeles Lakers112-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24ADallas Mavericks116-117
16/05/24HDallas Mavericks92-104
14/05/24ADallas Mavericks100-96
11/05/24ADallas Mavericks101-105
10/05/24HDallas Mavericks110-119
08/05/24HDallas Mavericks117-95
30/04/24ANew Orleans Pelicans97-89
27/04/24ANew Orleans Pelicans106-85
25/04/24HNew Orleans Pelicans124-92
22/04/24HNew Orleans Pelicans94-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors110100%140.0104.0+36.0
2 Cleveland Cavaliers110100%136.0106.0+30.0
3 Boston Celtics220100%127.0105.5+21.5
4 Orlando Magic110100%116.097.0+19.0
5 Milwaukee Bucks110100%124.0109.0+15.0
6 New Orleans Pelicans110100%123.0111.0+12.0
7 Dallas Mavericks110100%120.0109.0+11.0
8 Los Angeles Lakers110100%110.0103.0+7.0
9 Indiana Pacers110100%115.0109.0+6.0
10 Charlotte Hornets110100%110.0105.0+5.0
11 Atlanta Hawks110100%120.0116.0+4.0
12 Phoenix Suns110100%116.0113.0+3.0
13 Memphis Grizzlies110100%126.0124.0+2.0
14 Utah Jazz1010%124.0126.0-2.0
15 Los Angeles Clippers1010%113.0116.0-3.0
16 Brooklyn Nets1010%116.0120.0-4.0
17 Houston Rockets1010%105.0110.0-5.0
18 Detroit Pistons1010%109.0115.0-6.0
19 Minnesota Timberwolves1010%103.0110.0-7.0
20 San Antonio Spurs1010%109.0120.0-11.0
21 Chicago Bulls1010%111.0123.0-12.0
22 Philadelphia 76ers1010%109.0124.0-15.0
23 Miami Heat1010%97.0116.0-19.0
24 Washington Wizards1010%102.0122.0-20.0
25 New York Knicks1010%109.0132.0-23.0
26 Toronto Raptors1010%106.0136.0-30.0
27 Portland Trail Blazers1010%104.0140.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 27 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2427171987
Oklahoma City Thunder31272717102
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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