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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 109-124
28-29 20-26 36-28 25-41
Position#25
Record3-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game108.2
Allowed / game118.8
vs
Position#6
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game116.5
Allowed / game110.6
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
107-120
107
120
-13
89avg 103
H08/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
111-117
111
117
-6
102avg 103
A11/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
105-107
105
107
-2
93avg 103
H13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
104-123
104
123
-19
91avg 103
H15/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
129-127 OT
129
127
+2
123avg 103
A18/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
111-101
111
101
+10
104avg 103
H24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
116-111
116
111
+5
96avg 103
A27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
91-127
91
127
-36
73avg 103
A28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
101-124
101
124
-23
87avg 103
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
109-130
109
130
-21
94avg 103
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-36
34-35
21-27
23-22
35-26
21-26
24-31
31-34
27-34
27-26
23-29
28-18
22-36
28-28
22-32
32-27
37-33
24-35
22-30
31-16
25-34
31-23
24-28
31-16
31-27
37-26
20-26
28-32
23-40
22-27
22-36
24-24
29-33
21-37
26-35
25-19
25-37
32-23
14-40
38-30
227.1Avg total
108.4Scored
118.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)108.2118.8227.0-10.538%
Season at home (4)107.2115.2222.5-8.025%
Season away (4)109.2122.2231.5-13.050%
Last 10 (10)108.4118.7227.1-10.330%
Last 5 (5)105.6118.6224.2-13.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)113.1121.6234.6-8.522%
vs Similar (12)116.7122.2238.8-5.525%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
108-114
108
114
-6
no box
H25/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
107-117
107
117
-10
92avg 106
A27/09
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
105-107
105
107
-2
91avg 106
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
126-95
126
95
+31
136avg 106
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
129-96
129
96
+33
126avg 106
H19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
122-124 OT
122
124
-2
113avg 106
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
108-121
108
121
-13
96avg 106
H26/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
124-111
124
111
+13
124avg 106
H29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
115-125
115
125
-10
113avg 106
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
103-106
103
106
-3
96avg 106
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-37
25-23
29-27
24-27
30-33
21-28
33-26
23-30
23-31
27-30
27-23
28-23
41-24
28-26
21-20
36-25
41-23
38-25
28-27
22-21
31-25
29-28
24-36
28-23
26-32
29-40
24-26
29-23
36-26
34-34
36-23
18-28
34-32
28-42
38-22
15-29
32-34
17-26
29-27
25-19
226.3Avg total
114.7Scored
111.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)116.5110.6227.1+5.938%
Season at home (6)118.7108.8227.5+9.850%
Season away (2)110.0116.0226.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)114.7111.6226.3+3.130%
Last 5 (5)114.4117.4231.8-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)107.5110.3217.8-2.933%
vs Similar (12)111.8109.9221.7+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)120.3120.0240.3+0.333%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -9.6-9.6Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -9.6-9.6Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H08/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A11/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
50-64
50
64
-14
H15/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A18/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
50-70
50
70
-20
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H02/01
NBA
118.2Avg total
56.0Scored
62.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.562.4121.0-3.923%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.559.5117.0-2.019%-
Last 30 away (14)59.765.8125.5-6.129%-
Last 10 (10)56.062.2118.2-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)55.261.4116.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)57.863.2121.0-5.322%-
vs Similar (12)59.661.3120.9-1.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H25/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A27/09
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
79-48
79
48
+31
H19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-72
55
72
-17
H26/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H02/01
NBA
119.9Avg total
60.0Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.258.3114.5-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.255.4112.6+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)55.061.7116.7-6.721%-
Last 10 (10)60.059.9119.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)59.263.8123.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)54.158.7112.9-4.627%-
vs Similar (12)56.856.8113.6-0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)64.062.3126.3+1.767%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 108.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.927.6
49.4%
52.8%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.811.6
32.4%
36.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws24.518.4
75.1%
77.7%18.4
They take 91.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.730.2
55.2%
52.8%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.8
36.2%
36.6%35.4
🏀 Free throws24.718.9
76.5%
77.7%18.9
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWWWLLLL
Denver Nuggets
LLWLLWWLLL
#25
League position
#6
-9.5
Net rating
+3.2
99.7
Offensive rating
112.0
109.2
Defensive rating
108.8
49.1%
Effective FG%
54.9%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.2%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.4%
3-point %
36.2%
54.6%
Assist %
65.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 112.0Defence109.2 · 108.8Shooting49.1% · 54.9%3-point %32.4% · 36.2%Ball care15.5% · 14.2%Off. rebounds22.2% · 24.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/21HWashington Wizards109-130
30/12/20ALos Angeles Clippers101-124
28/12/20ALos Angeles Lakers91-127
27/12/20AUtah Jazz116-111
24/12/20HDetroit Pistons111-101
18/12/20ADallas Mavericks129-127 OT
15/12/20HMemphis Grizzlies104-123
13/12/20HMemphis Grizzlies105-107
11/03/20AHouston Rockets111-117
08/03/20HNew Orleans Pelicans107-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/21HPhoenix Suns103-106
30/12/20ASacramento Kings115-125
29/12/20HHouston Rockets124-111
26/12/20HLos Angeles Clippers108-121
24/12/20HSacramento Kings122-124 OT
19/12/20HPortland Trail Blazers129-96
17/12/20HPortland Trail Blazers126-95
13/12/20AGolden State Warriors105-107
27/09/20ALos Angeles Lakers107-117
25/09/20HLos Angeles Lakers108-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game108.2107.2109.2
Allowed / game118.8115.2122.2
Point differential-10.5-8.0-13.0
Avg total227.0222.5231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %38%50%0%
Points / game116.5118.7110.0
Allowed / game110.6108.8116.0
Point differential+5.9+9.8-6.0
Avg total227.1227.5226.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philadelphia 76ers87188%110.0102.1+7.9
2 Los Angeles Lakers119282%114.8104.4+10.5
3 Utah Jazz86275%112.1104.1+8.0
4 New Orleans Pelicans86275%108.6102.1+6.5
5 Houston Rockets85362%114.6109.6+5.0
6 Atlanta Hawks106460%117.1114.0+3.1
7 New York Knicks106460%101.098.7+2.3
8 Orlando Magic106460%113.0113.9-0.9
9 Cleveland Cavaliers106460%104.7106.1-1.4
10 Brooklyn Nets95456%117.6110.8+6.8
11 Dallas Mavericks84450%112.5107.6+4.9
12 Phoenix Suns105550%106.5104.8+1.7
13 Memphis Grizzlies105550%113.0112.3+0.7
14 Sacramento Kings105550%111.0113.9-2.9
15 Chicago Bulls105550%111.9116.3-4.4
16 Golden State Warriors84450%109.2118.0-8.8
17 Indiana Pacers94544%111.4108.6+2.9
18 Boston Celtics94544%107.7111.9-4.2
19 Los Angeles Clippers94544%106.0110.7-4.7
20 Portland Trail Blazers94544%110.6117.4-6.9
21 Miami Heat73443%103.7110.7-7.0
22 Denver Nuggets83538%116.5110.6+5.9
23 Toronto Raptors83538%106.2107.6-1.4
24 Oklahoma City Thunder83538%105.0110.5-5.5
25 Minnesota Timberwolves83538%108.2118.8-10.5
26 Milwaukee Bucks93633%119.3114.4+4.9
27 Washington Wizards103730%112.9115.4-2.5
28 Detroit Pistons103730%103.8106.4-2.6
29 Charlotte Hornets103730%109.9112.6-2.7
30 San Antonio Spurs82625%108.4115.2-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves28203625109
Denver Nuggets29262841124
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