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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 123-116
34-22 28-43 31-31 30-20
Position#6
Record4-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game117.3
Allowed / game110.4
vs
Position#25
Record3-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game108.3
Allowed / game119.3
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
107-117
107
117
-10
92avg 106
A27/09
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
105-107
105
107
-2
91avg 106
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
126-95
126
95
+31
136avg 106
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
129-96
129
96
+33
126avg 106
H19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
122-124 OT
122
124
-2
113avg 106
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
108-121
108
121
-13
96avg 106
H26/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
124-111
124
111
+13
124avg 106
H29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
115-125
115
125
-10
113avg 106
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
103-106
103
106
-3
96avg 106
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
124-109
124
109
+15
120avg 106
A04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-33
21-28
33-26
23-30
23-31
27-30
27-23
28-23
41-24
28-26
21-20
36-25
41-23
38-25
28-27
22-21
31-25
29-28
24-36
28-23
26-32
29-40
24-26
29-23
36-26
34-34
36-23
18-28
34-32
28-42
38-22
15-29
32-34
17-26
29-27
25-19
29-28
26-20
28-36
41-25
227.4Avg total
116.3Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)117.3110.4227.8+6.944%
Season at home (6)118.7108.8227.5+9.850%
Season away (3)114.7113.7228.3+1.033%
Last 10 (10)116.3111.1227.4+5.240%
Last 5 (5)114.8114.4229.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)106.5109.4215.9-2.936%
vs Similar (12)111.8109.9221.7+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)121.2117.2238.5+4.050%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
L
111-117
111
117
-6
102avg 102
A11/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
105-107
105
107
-2
93avg 102
H13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
104-123
104
123
-19
91avg 102
H15/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
129-127 OT
129
127
+2
123avg 102
A18/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
111-101
111
101
+10
104avg 102
H24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
116-111
116
111
+5
96avg 102
A27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
91-127
91
127
-36
73avg 102
A28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
101-124
101
124
-23
87avg 102
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
109-130
109
130
-21
94avg 102
H02/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
109-124
109
124
-15
104avg 102
H04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-26
21-26
24-31
31-34
27-34
27-26
23-29
28-18
22-36
28-28
22-32
32-27
37-33
24-35
22-30
31-16
25-34
31-23
24-28
31-16
31-27
37-26
20-26
28-32
23-40
22-27
22-36
24-24
29-33
21-37
26-35
25-19
25-37
32-23
14-40
38-30
28-29
20-26
36-28
25-41
227.7Avg total
108.6Scored
119.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)108.3119.3227.7-11.033%
Season at home (5)107.6117.0224.6-9.420%
Season away (4)109.2122.2231.5-13.050%
Last 10 (10)108.6119.1227.7-10.530%
Last 5 (5)105.2123.2228.4-18.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)113.6122.5236.1-8.922%
vs Similar (12)116.7122.2238.8-5.525%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -8.2-8.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.6+3.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -8.2-8.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.6+3.6
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A27/09
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
79-48
79
48
+31
H19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-72
55
72
-17
H26/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A04/01
NBA
118.7Avg total
60.0Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.057.8113.8-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.255.4112.6+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)54.760.6115.3-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)60.058.7118.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)58.262.8121.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)53.858.4112.1-4.629%-
vs Similar (12)56.856.8113.6-0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)61.858.8120.5+3.075%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A11/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
50-64
50
64
-14
H15/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A18/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
50-70
50
70
-20
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H02/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H04/01
NBA
115.1Avg total
54.5Scored
60.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.362.4120.8-4.123%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.159.5116.6-2.419%-
Last 30 away (14)59.765.8125.5-6.129%-
Last 10 (10)54.560.6115.1-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)53.661.0114.6-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)57.563.2120.7-5.722%-
vs Similar (12)59.661.3120.9-1.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.529.9
54.9%
52.8%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.312.7
37.0%
36.6%38.1
🏀 Free throws24.518.4
75.1%
77.7%18.4
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 108.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.228.1
50.9%
52.8%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.611.8
33.1%
36.6%35.4
🏀 Free throws23.017.0
73.9%
77.7%17.0
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLWLLWWLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLLWWWLLL
#6
League position
#25
+5.0
Net rating
-9.8
112.8
Offensive rating
101.5
107.8
Defensive rating
111.3
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.4%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.0%
3-point %
33.1%
66.9%
Assist %
56.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 101.5Defence107.8 · 111.3Shooting55.1% · 50.4%3-point %37.0% · 33.1%Ball care14.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds26.2% · 22.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/21AMinnesota Timberwolves124-109
02/01/21HPhoenix Suns103-106
30/12/20ASacramento Kings115-125
29/12/20HHouston Rockets124-111
26/12/20HLos Angeles Clippers108-121
24/12/20HSacramento Kings122-124 OT
19/12/20HPortland Trail Blazers129-96
17/12/20HPortland Trail Blazers126-95
13/12/20AGolden State Warriors105-107
27/09/20ALos Angeles Lakers107-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/21HDenver Nuggets109-124
02/01/21HWashington Wizards109-130
30/12/20ALos Angeles Clippers101-124
28/12/20ALos Angeles Lakers91-127
27/12/20AUtah Jazz116-111
24/12/20HDetroit Pistons111-101
18/12/20ADallas Mavericks129-127 OT
15/12/20HMemphis Grizzlies104-123
13/12/20HMemphis Grizzlies105-107
11/03/20AHouston Rockets111-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %44%50%33%
Points / game117.3118.7114.7
Allowed / game110.4108.8113.7
Point differential+6.9+9.8+1.0
Avg total227.8227.5228.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%17%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%20%50%
Points / game108.3107.6109.2
Allowed / game119.3117.0122.2
Point differential-11.0-9.4-13.0
Avg total227.7224.6231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philadelphia 76ers98189%110.9102.0+8.9
2 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%113.1103.3+9.8
3 Utah Jazz107370%112.3107.2+5.1
4 New Orleans Pelicans96367%109.4103.9+5.6
5 New York Knicks117464%102.199.5+2.5
6 Orlando Magic117464%112.1111.1+1.0
7 Brooklyn Nets106460%118.8109.3+9.5
8 Golden State Warriors106460%114.8117.2-2.4
9 Houston Rockets95456%113.0110.0+3.0
10 Atlanta Hawks116555%116.3113.9+2.4
11 Chicago Bulls116555%112.5115.5-3.1
12 Cleveland Cavaliers116555%102.7105.8-3.1
13 Dallas Mavericks105550%112.1107.9+4.2
14 Indiana Pacers105550%112.1109.3+2.8
15 Boston Celtics105550%109.5112.1-2.6
16 Miami Heat84450%105.5108.1-2.6
17 Los Angeles Clippers105550%106.6110.3-3.7
18 Phoenix Suns115645%106.5105.5+1.1
19 Memphis Grizzlies115645%111.1110.6+0.5
20 Sacramento Kings115645%110.5116.0-5.5
21 Denver Nuggets94544%117.3110.4+6.9
22 Milwaukee Bucks104640%119.9114.5+5.4
23 Portland Trail Blazers104640%111.7119.4-7.7
24 Toronto Raptors93633%107.1109.7-2.6
25 Oklahoma City Thunder93633%103.3111.3-8.0
26 Minnesota Timberwolves93633%108.3119.3-11.0
27 Washington Wizards103730%112.9115.4-2.5
28 Detroit Pistons113827%104.8108.1-3.3
29 Charlotte Hornets113827%109.1113.1-4.0
30 San Antonio Spurs92722%108.4116.9-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets34283130123
Minnesota Timberwolves22433120116
← all games of the day
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