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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 114-104
37-24 28-30 25-22 24-28
Position#6
Record7-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game110.6
vs
Position#13
Record8-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game113.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
108-121
108
121
-13
96avg 107
H26/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
124-111
124
111
+13
124avg 107
H29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
115-125
115
125
-10
113avg 107
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
103-106
103
106
-3
96avg 107
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
124-109
124
109
+15
120avg 107
A04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
123-116
123
116
+7
116avg 107
H06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
117-124 OT
117
124
-7
105avg 107
H08/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
115-103
115
103
+12
111avg 107
A09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
114-89
114
89
+25
110avg 107
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
116-122
116
122
-6
105avg 107
A13/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
29-40
24-26
29-23
36-26
34-34
36-23
18-28
34-32
28-42
38-22
15-29
32-34
17-26
29-27
25-19
29-28
26-20
28-36
41-25
34-22
28-43
31-31
30-20
28-22
24-21
26-33
31-33
28-26
30-25
35-21
22-31
28-21
31-17
23-26
32-25
35-27
35-27
20-36
26-32
228.5Avg total
115.9Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)117.2110.6227.8+6.650%
Season at home (8)119.0111.6230.6+7.450%
Season away (6)114.8109.2224.0+5.750%
Last 10 (10)115.9112.6228.5+3.350%
Last 5 (5)117.0110.8227.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)105.9107.5213.4-1.642%
vs Similar ◀ (13)113.5106.5220.0+7.154%
vs Weaker (5)121.6117.0238.6+4.660%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
99-138
99
138
-39
73avg 102
A25/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
129-128
129
128
+1
110avg 102
A28/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
116-106
116
106
+10
109avg 102
A30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
98-123
98
123
-25
89avg 102
H02/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
137-122
137
122
+15
134avg 102
H04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
137-106
137
106
+31
141avg 102
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
101-108
101
108
-7
90avg 102
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
115-105
115
105
+10
109avg 102
H09/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
106-105
106
105
+1
102avg 102
H11/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 102
H13/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
31-33
20-34
23-38
24-27
36-29
33-41
36-31
24-29
24-22
29-25
39-30
21-36
34-31
25-31
18-25
36-33
30-21
31-29
40-39
37-20
31-28
32-27
37-31
15-21
36-31
26-31
24-25
22-30
29-35
30-22
34-18
31-24
30-27
26-21
19-33
28-19
29-31
18-23
20-31
227.8Avg total
113.3Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)111.8113.9225.6-2.157%
Season at home (8)112.0109.8221.8+2.262%
Season away (6)111.5119.3230.8-7.850%
Last 10 (10)113.3114.5227.8-1.260%
Last 5 (5)110.8105.6216.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)105.3117.1222.4-11.825%
vs Similar ◀ (10)113.7116.5230.2-2.860%
vs Weaker (4)119.8107.8227.5+12.075%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-72
55
72
-17
H26/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H08/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A13/01
NBA
115.7Avg total
59.2Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.556.8114.3+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.655.4113.0+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)57.458.3115.7-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)59.256.5115.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)60.250.2110.4+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)53.859.1112.8-5.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)59.353.5112.8+5.869%-
vs Weaker (5)61.860.0121.8+1.860%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A25/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A28/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H02/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
68-48
68
48
+20
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H09/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H11/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H13/01
NBA
113.3Avg total
57.3Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.059.4114.3-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.958.3113.2-3.433%-
Last 30 away (12)55.160.9116.0-5.833%-
Last 10 (10)57.356.0113.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)57.653.2110.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)51.661.4113.0-9.86%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)59.557.6117.1+1.970%-
vs Weaker (4)57.055.8112.8+1.250%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.129.4
56.4%
52.8%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.313.5
39.4%
36.6%40.5
🏀 Free throws22.916.6
72.5%
77.7%16.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 113.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.125.7
51.3%
52.8%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.213.9
35.5%
36.6%41.7
🏀 Free throws25.020.2
80.8%
77.7%20.2
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWWLLWL
Golden State Warriors
LWWLWWLWWL
#6
League position
#13
+3.3
Net rating
-1.1
115.7
Offensive rating
106.7
112.4
Defensive rating
107.8
57.5%
Effective FG%
52.1%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.3%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
17.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.4%
3-point %
35.5%
63.2%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 106.7Defence112.4 · 107.8Shooting57.5% · 52.1%3-point %39.4% · 35.5%Ball care14.0% · 13.3%Off. rebounds24.9% · 17.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/21ABrooklyn Nets116-122
10/01/21ANew York Knicks114-89
09/01/21APhiladelphia 76ers115-103
08/01/21HDallas Mavericks117-124 OT
06/01/21HMinnesota Timberwolves123-116
04/01/21AMinnesota Timberwolves124-109
02/01/21HPhoenix Suns103-106
30/12/20ASacramento Kings115-125
29/12/20HHouston Rockets124-111
26/12/20HLos Angeles Clippers108-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/21HIndiana Pacers95-104
11/01/21HToronto Raptors106-105
09/01/21HLos Angeles Clippers115-105
07/01/21HLos Angeles Clippers101-108
05/01/21HSacramento Kings137-106
04/01/21HPortland Trail Blazers137-122
02/01/21HPortland Trail Blazers98-123
30/12/20ADetroit Pistons116-106
28/12/20AChicago Bulls129-128
25/12/20AMilwaukee Bucks99-138

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game117.2119.0114.8
Allowed / game110.6111.6109.2
Point differential+6.6+7.4+5.7
Avg total227.8230.6224.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%62%50%
Points / game111.8112.0111.5
Allowed / game113.9109.8119.3
Point differential-2.1+2.2-7.8
Avg total225.6221.8230.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1714382%114.6104.4+10.2
2 Philadelphia 76ers1511473%113.8109.7+4.1
3 Utah Jazz1410471%111.9105.4+6.6
4 Dallas Mavericks138562%112.4106.7+5.7
5 Brooklyn Nets159660%118.3111.4+6.9
6 Boston Celtics127558%109.8111.1-1.2
7 Golden State Warriors148657%111.8113.9-2.1
8 Milwaukee Bucks158753%118.5112.1+6.5
9 Memphis Grizzlies158753%109.7107.9+1.8
10 Portland Trail Blazers158753%115.3117.2-1.9
11 Los Angeles Clippers158753%108.9111.2-2.3
12 Orlando Magic158753%108.3112.1-3.7
13 Denver Nuggets147750%117.2110.6+6.6
14 New Orleans Pelicans126650%109.2106.2+3.0
15 Houston Rockets147750%111.9109.7+2.2
16 Indiana Pacers147750%112.7110.5+2.2
17 Atlanta Hawks147750%113.6111.6+2.0
18 New York Knicks168850%100.6102.2-1.6
19 Phoenix Suns157847%108.8108.7+0.1
20 Chicago Bulls157847%114.3116.9-2.7
21 Cleveland Cavaliers167944%99.1104.8-5.7
22 Sacramento Kings167944%113.7120.2-6.5
23 Oklahoma City Thunder146843%105.1111.2-6.1
24 Miami Heat125742%109.9113.2-3.2
25 Charlotte Hornets1771041%108.4109.2-0.8
26 San Antonio Spurs156940%109.3113.5-4.2
27 Toronto Raptors145936%110.7111.4-0.6
28 Washington Wizards1441029%116.0117.6-1.6
29 Minnesota Timberwolves1441029%109.5118.8-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons1541127%104.3108.7-4.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets37282524114
Golden State Warriors24302228104
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