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Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 110-107
28-38 28-21 29-26 25-22
Position#10
Record8-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game109.6
vs
Position#23
Record10-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game108.4
Allowed / game109.6
USANBA· Miami-Dade Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
03 Dec 2026
MIA v WAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
MIA152
WAS136
10 Mar 2026
MIA150
WAS129
13 Apr 2025
MIA118
WAS119
03 Mar 2025
MIA106
WAS90
10 Mar 2024
MIA108
WAS110
03 Nov 2023
MIA121
WAS114
25 Nov 2022
MIA110
WAS107
23 Nov 2022
MIA113
WAS105
28 Dec 2021
MIA119
WAS112
18 Nov 2021
MIA112
WAS97
05 Feb 2021
MIA122
WAS95
03 Feb 2021
MIA100
WAS103
22 Jan 2020
MIA134
WAS129
06 Dec 2019
MIA112
WAS103
04 Jan 2019
MIA115
WAS109
10 Nov 2018
MIA110
WAS116
10 Mar 2018
MIA129
WAS102
15 Nov 2017
MIA93
WAS102
12 Apr 2017
MIA110
WAS102
12 Dec 2016
MIA112
WAS101
20 Feb 2016
MIA114
WAS94
07 Dec 2015
MIA103
WAS114
19 Dec 2014
MIA103
WAS105
29 Oct 2014
MIA107
WAS95
10 Mar 2014
MIA99
WAS90
03 Nov 2013
MIA103
WAS93
06 Jan 2013
MIA99
WAS71
15 Dec 2012
MIA102
WAS72
21 Apr 2012
MIA84
WAS86
25 Feb 2011
MIA121
WAS113
29 Nov 2010
MIA105
WAS94
27 Nov 2009
MIA84
WAS94
10 Nov 2009
MIA90
WAS76
28 Jan 2009
MIA93
WAS71
14 Nov 2008
MIA97
WAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
99-101
99
101
-2
88avg 101
A04/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
107-110
107
110
-3
99avg 101
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
117-112 OT
117
112
+5
100avg 101
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
132-115
132
115
+17
131avg 101
H13/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
113-112
113
112
+1
106avg 101
H15/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
104-112
104
112
-8
96avg 101
A17/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
91avg 101
A19/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
87-113
87
113
-26
69avg 101
A21/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
101-105
101
105
-4
89avg 101
A22/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
113-105
113
105
+8
103avg 101
H24/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
21-34
27-18
22-21
28-28
32-25
21-20
26-37
32-27
26-23
27-23
19-31
34-33
23-26
45-25
30-31
35-31
23-26
26-34
29-21
31-27
29-27
19-30
25-28
31-33
38-24
19-24
16-23
27-28
15-31
22-36
23-18
33-30
27-17
19-37
22-21
28-26
32-17
23-37
30-25
217.1Avg total
107.9Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)108.5109.6218.1-1.142%
Season at home (11)111.1109.5220.5+1.664%
Season away (8)104.9109.8214.6-4.912%
Last 10 (10)107.9109.2217.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)102.2108.4210.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.2101.2181.5-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)104.4107.0211.4-2.743%
vs Weaker (5)113.8101.0214.8+12.880%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
86-128
86
128
-42
70avg 102
H04/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
97-103
97
103
-6
87avg 102
A06/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
108-100
108
100
+8
103avg 102
A08/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
113-105
113
105
+8
114avg 102
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
121-112
121
112
+9
118avg 102
H12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
102-92
102
92
+10
94avg 102
H13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
120-121
120
121
-1
120avg 102
H17/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
105avg 102
H19/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
106-102
106
102
+4
93avg 102
H20/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
105-113
105
113
-8
97avg 102
A24/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-38
29-31
13-27
16-32
25-24
18-33
31-24
23-22
26-18
20-30
30-24
32-28
28-34
30-27
29-22
26-22
28-30
33-25
31-29
29-28
23-19
32-32
27-23
20-18
37-29
30-25
20-35
33-32
33-31
24-38
24-19
23-16
35-27
24-28
18-24
29-23
26-28
17-32
37-23
25-30
214.7Avg total
106.5Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)108.4109.6218.0-1.256%
Season at home (11)109.5110.0219.5-0.564%
Season away (7)106.6109.0215.6-2.443%
Last 10 (10)106.5108.2214.7-1.760%
Last 5 (5)108.0106.8214.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)110.8113.4224.2-2.742%
vs Similar ◀ (12)106.6113.7220.2-7.142%
vs Weaker (6)109.7103.8213.5+5.883%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
Miami HeatWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A04/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H13/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H15/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A17/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A19/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A21/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A22/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H24/11
NBA
111.5Avg total
57.4Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.453.3105.7-0.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.752.8105.5-0.153%-
Last 30 away (13)52.153.8105.9-1.862%-
Last 10 (10)57.454.1111.5+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)58.252.0110.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.850.589.2-11.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)53.954.3108.1-0.457%-
vs Weaker (5)57.451.2108.6+6.280%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H04/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A06/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A08/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H17/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H19/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H20/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A24/11
NBA
112.5Avg total
54.6Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.856.9112.7-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.456.9114.2+0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)54.156.9111.0-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)54.657.9112.5-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)56.257.8114.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)55.357.8113.1-2.442%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)55.859.2115.0-3.533%-
vs Weaker (6)57.050.5107.5+6.583%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.225.0
51.9%
54.5%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.612.3
32.7%
35.8%36.9
🏀 Free throws25.121.0
83.7%
78.1%21.0
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 106.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.927.8
52.6%
54.5%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.212.3
34.9%
35.8%36.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
78.1%14.0
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLLLLWWWLL
Washington Wizards
LWWLWWWWLL
#10
League position
#23
-1.3
Net rating
-1.7
106.6
Offensive rating
104.8
107.9
Defensive rating
106.5
50.6%
Effective FG%
52.5%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.1%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.7%
3-point %
34.9%
60.6%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 104.8Defence107.9 · 106.5Shooting50.6% · 52.5%3-point %32.7% · 34.9%Ball care13.9% · 14.1%Off. rebounds22.0% · 20.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Washington Wizards wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/22HWashington Wizards113-105
22/11/22AMinnesota Timberwolves101-105
21/11/22ACleveland Cavaliers87-113
19/11/22AWashington Wizards106-107 OT
17/11/22AToronto Raptors104-112
15/11/22HPhoenix Suns113-112
13/11/22HCharlotte Hornets132-115
11/11/22HCharlotte Hornets117-112 OT
08/11/22HPortland Trail Blazers107-110
04/11/22AIndiana Pacers99-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/22AMiami Heat105-113
20/11/22HCharlotte Hornets106-102
19/11/22HMiami Heat107-106 OT
17/11/22HOklahoma City Thunder120-121
13/11/22HMemphis Grizzlies102-92
12/11/22HUtah Jazz121-112
11/11/22HDallas Mavericks113-105
08/11/22ACharlotte Hornets108-100
06/11/22AMemphis Grizzlies97-103
04/11/22HBrooklyn Nets86-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %42%64%12%
Points / game108.5111.1104.9
Allowed / game109.6109.5109.8
Point differential-1.1+1.6-4.9
Avg total218.1220.5214.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%9%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)80% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %11%9%12%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %56%64%43%
Points / game108.4109.5106.6
Allowed / game109.6110.0109.0
Point differential-1.2-0.5-2.4
Avg total218.0219.5215.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %11%9%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1814478%119.7113.4+6.3
2 Milwaukee Bucks1712571%111.5107.5+4.0
3 Cleveland Cavaliers1812667%115.5107.6+7.9
4 Phoenix Suns1711665%115.1107.8+7.3
5 New Orleans Pelicans1811761%117.6110.6+7.0
6 Atlanta Hawks1811761%114.4113.9+0.5
7 Denver Nuggets1811761%114.5114.3+0.2
8 Utah Jazz2012860%117.3115.0+2.3
9 Sacramento Kings1710759%120.0116.8+3.2
10 Indiana Pacers1710759%115.9114.1+1.8
11 Portland Trail Blazers1911858%110.4110.3+0.1
12 Los Angeles Clippers1911858%106.2106.8-0.6
13 Memphis Grizzlies1810856%114.1113.9+0.2
14 Washington Wizards1810856%108.4109.6-1.2
15 Dallas Mavericks179853%109.2106.5+2.8
16 Philadelphia 76ers1910953%108.5106.2+2.3
17 Minnesota Timberwolves1910953%114.0113.5+0.5
18 Toronto Raptors189950%111.7110.1+1.6
19 Brooklyn Nets1991047%111.4111.1+0.3
20 Golden State Warriors1991047%116.2117.4-1.3
21 New York Knicks1991047%114.2116.4-2.2
22 Chicago Bulls1881044%111.5111.4+0.1
23 Miami Heat1981142%108.5109.6-1.1
24 Oklahoma City Thunder1871139%116.9118.3-1.4
25 San Antonio Spurs1961332%110.1120.7-10.7
26 Los Angeles Lakers1651131%110.7114.2-3.6
27 Charlotte Hornets2061430%109.4114.2-4.8
28 Orlando Magic1951426%108.9113.2-4.2
29 Detroit Pistons2051525%110.2117.9-7.7
30 Houston Rockets1731418%108.6116.0-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat28282925110
Washington Wizards38212622107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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