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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Mar 2010
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 125-123
38-29 30-28 25-38 32-28
Position#15
Record33-31
FormLWLWW
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game101.2
vs
Position#6
Record45-21
FormWWWWW
Points / game107.8
Allowed / game102.6
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU v DEN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
94-102
94
102
-8
A22/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
L
92-110
92
110
-18
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
109-104
109
104
+5
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
L
110-133
110
133
-23
A28/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
116-92
116
92
+24
H02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H04/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
112-98
112
98
+14
A07/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
96-88
96
88
+8
A10/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
116-108
116
108
+8
H14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
23-26
23-24
32-28
18-23
22-37
34-25
18-25
31-14
28-27
26-28
24-35
35-39
24-31
35-37
16-26
37-28
31-19
29-18
19-27
17-22
20-21
28-26
16-15
33-22
27-28
29-23
23-25
20-29
35-28
31-25
16-20
21-22
27-18
23-20
25-28
31-31
23-24
28-23
34-30
206.2Avg total
103.3Scored
102.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)101.4101.2202.7+0.252%
Season at home (32)103.2101.7204.8+1.556%
Season away (32)99.7100.8200.5-1.147%
Last 10 (10)103.3102.9206.2+0.450%
Last 5 (5)102.497.6200.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)101.6108.7210.2-7.122%
vs Similar (16)101.0100.0201.0+1.044%
vs Weaker (5)110.2103.6213.8+6.680%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
127-112
127
112
+15
A26/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
107-102
107
102
+5
H27/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
L
89-95
89
95
-6
A28/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A02/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
119-90
119
90
+29
H04/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
122-114
122
114
+8
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
118-106
118
106
+12
H08/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
110-102
110
102
+8
A11/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
125-108
125
108
+17
A14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
36-35
33-31
29-25
22-29
31-20
24-26
30-27
29-21
23-22
18-24
19-28
33-24
11-33
23-27
18-17
32-25
29-27
31-12
27-26
38-28
26-28
33-26
25-32
34-21
32-28
23-26
29-31
20-23
28-30
31-19
31-30
29-29
22-23
22-23
29-20
24-33
33-30
28-22
40-23
212.9Avg total
110.4Scored
102.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)107.8102.6210.4+5.368%
Season at home (33)112.4102.7215.1+9.785%
Season away (33)103.3102.5205.7+0.852%
Last 10 (10)110.4102.5212.9+7.980%
Last 5 (5)115.4105.0220.4+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)107.2102.8210.1+4.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)110.6103.6214.1+7.086%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A22/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A28/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H04/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A07/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A10/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H14/03
NBA
103.2Avg total
51.9Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.051.8103.8+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)52.951.9104.9+1.056%-
Last 30 away (12)50.651.6102.2-1.050%-
Last 10 (10)51.951.3103.2+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)50.849.099.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)51.153.3104.4-2.244%-
vs Similar (16)51.951.8103.6+0.156%-
vs Weaker (5)54.049.2103.2+4.860%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A26/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H27/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A28/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A02/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H04/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H08/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A11/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A14/03
NBA
109.1Avg total
56.1Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.052.3106.3+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.452.0107.4+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)52.752.6105.3+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)56.153.0109.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)57.254.6111.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)53.651.6105.2+2.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)54.553.1107.6+1.443%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Houston Rockets wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/10HBrooklyn Nets116-108
10/03/10AWashington Wizards96-88
07/03/10ADetroit Pistons107-110 OT
07/03/10AMinnesota Timberwolves112-98
04/03/10HSacramento Kings81-84
02/03/10HToronto Raptors116-92
28/02/10AUtah Jazz110-133
27/02/10HSan Antonio Spurs109-104
25/02/10HOrlando Magic92-110
22/02/10ANew Orleans Pelicans94-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/10AMemphis Grizzlies125-108
13/03/10ANew Orleans Pelicans102-95
11/03/10AMinnesota Timberwolves110-102
08/03/10HPortland Trail Blazers118-106
06/03/10HIndiana Pacers122-114
04/03/10HOklahoma City Thunder119-90
02/03/10APhoenix Suns85-101
28/02/10ALos Angeles Lakers89-95
27/02/10HDetroit Pistons107-102
26/02/10AGolden State Warriors127-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW52%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayLLWLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643232
Win %52%56%47%
Points / game101.4103.299.7
Allowed / game101.2101.7100.8
Point differential+0.2+1.5-1.1
Avg total202.7204.8200.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%19%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)60% (10)50% (8)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLLWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663333
Win %68%85%52%
Points / game107.8112.4103.3
Allowed / game102.6102.7102.5
Point differential+5.3+9.7+0.8
Avg total210.4215.1205.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%48%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)83% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers67521578%102.295.1+7.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers66481873%102.696.6+6.0
3 Orlando Magic68472169%101.895.1+6.7
4 Denver Nuggets66452168%107.8102.6+5.3
5 Dallas Mavericks67452267%101.699.5+2.1
6 Atlanta Hawks65422365%102.397.6+4.7
7 Utah Jazz66422464%103.298.1+5.1
8 Boston Celtics66422464%98.794.2+4.5
9 Oklahoma City Thunder65412463%100.196.6+3.5
10 Phoenix Suns67412661%109.4106.0+3.4
11 San Antonio Spurs64392561%101.096.0+5.0
12 Portland Trail Blazers69412859%98.495.2+3.2
13 Milwaukee Bucks65362955%97.996.1+1.8
14 Charlotte Hornets65343152%94.993.8+1.1
15 Miami Heat67353252%96.595.2+1.3
16 Memphis Grizzlies67353252%102.5103.1-0.6
17 Houston Rockets64333152%101.4101.2+0.2
18 Toronto Raptors65323349%104.0105.9-1.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans67323548%99.9102.1-2.2
20 Chicago Bulls65313448%97.299.8-2.6
21 Los Angeles Clippers67254237%95.5101.4-5.9
22 New York Knicks67244336%101.7104.5-2.9
23 Philadelphia 76ers67234434%97.2100.9-3.7
24 Sacramento Kings67234434%100.8104.7-3.9
25 Detroit Pistons67234434%93.498.3-4.9
26 Washington Wizards64214333%97.0101.3-4.4
27 Indiana Pacers66214532%99.5104.7-5.2
28 Golden State Warriors65184728%107.4111.2-3.8
29 Minnesota Timberwolves67145321%97.8106.8-9.0
30 Brooklyn Nets6675911%91.1101.2-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets38302532125
Denver Nuggets29283828123
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