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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 107-104
23-30 23-20 28-26 33-28
Position#19
Record5-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game106.0
vs
Position#3
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game106.0
USANBA· Toyota Center (Houston)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU110
DEN100
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
112-109
112
109
+3
102avg 103
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
114-109
114
109
+5
108avg 103
A09/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
86-116
86
116
-30
70avg 103
A25/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
122-126 OT
122
126
-4
111avg 103
A28/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
95-106
95
106
-11
82avg 103
H29/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
128-119
128
119
+9
129avg 103
H02/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
107-89
107
89
+18
106avg 103
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
122-97
122
97
+25
123avg 103
H07/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
128-94
128
94
+34
127avg 103
H09/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
104-101
104
101
+3
89avg 103
H11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
30-23
30-24
27-36
31-39
24-28
32-18
27-24
20-29
23-25
26-33
17-29
23-25
29-27
31-24
28-35
24-26
23-31
28-24
20-25
39-27
22-31
25-20
42-41
33-19
26-34
12-15
36-21
32-22
35-20
30-18
25-37
32-19
34-26
33-26
29-23
26-31
28-17
16-31
34-22
218.4Avg total
111.8Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)111.5106.0217.5+5.562%
Season at home (6)114.0101.0215.0+13.083%
Season away (2)104.0121.0225.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)111.8106.6218.4+5.270%
Last 5 (5)117.8100.0217.8+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)111.3121.2232.4-9.928%
vs Similar ◀ (10)113.9104.7218.6+9.280%
vs Weaker (2)125.0122.5247.5+2.550%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 111
H13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
119-107
119
107
+12
115avg 111
H24/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
108-104
108
104
+4
99avg 111
A27/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
128-95
128
95
+33
135avg 111
A29/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
110-102
110
102
+8
110avg 111
H31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
89-110
89
110
-21
73avg 111
A02/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
125-114
125
114
+11
126avg 111
H04/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
123-101
123
101
+22
126avg 111
H05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
134-116
134
116
+18
134avg 111
H07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
108-105
108
105
+3
96avg 111
H09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
22-27
26-20
24-18
34-20
29-34
24-26
32-27
25-18
36-38
28-23
19-25
34-23
35-28
28-24
31-20
31-21
27-24
22-24
30-33
21-28
23-35
28-26
17-21
40-24
30-31
32-32
23-27
23-22
28-31
35-21
37-27
25-27
34-44
40-21
35-24
26-21
27-26
23-31
32-27
218.1Avg total
113.8Scored
104.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)116.0106.0222.0+10.089%
Season at home (6)119.8107.5227.3+12.3100%
Season away (3)108.3103.0211.3+5.367%
Last 10 (10)113.8104.3218.1+9.590%
Last 5 (5)115.8109.2225.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)116.8108.1224.8+8.781%
vs Weaker (14)111.0101.6212.6+9.486%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A09/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A25/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A28/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H29/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H02/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
67-42
67
42
+25
H07/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
66-45
66
45
+21
H09/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H11/11
NBA
108.4Avg total
55.9Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.158.6114.7-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (19)56.656.1112.7+0.547%-
Last 30 away (11)55.362.9118.2-7.627%-
Last 10 (10)55.952.5108.4+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)61.449.2110.6+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)54.361.6115.9-7.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)59.254.0113.2+5.270%-
vs Weaker (2)56.555.0111.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H24/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A27/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A29/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A02/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H04/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H09/11
NBA
111.8Avg total
57.2Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.553.5111.0+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (18)56.751.4108.1+5.367%-
Last 30 away (12)58.856.8115.5+2.067%-
Last 10 (10)57.254.6111.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)55.457.8113.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.057.0116.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (14)55.849.6105.4+6.286%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.130.3
54.0%
54.4%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.5
36.7%
36.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws22.816.7
73.2%
78.2%16.7
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.533.4
59.1%
54.4%66.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.4
34.9%
36.3%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.712.8
68.4%
78.2%12.8
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWWWLLLWW
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWWWWW
#19
League position
#3
+5.2
Net rating
+9.6
111.1
Offensive rating
114.6
105.9
Defensive rating
105.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
56.6%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.6%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.7%
3-point %
34.9%
60.5%
Assist %
65.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 114.6Defence105.9 · 105.0Shooting54.4% · 56.6%3-point %36.7% · 34.9%Ball care13.3% · 12.6%Off. rebounds22.8% · 25.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Houston Rockets wins
9
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HNew Orleans Pelicans104-101
09/11/23HLos Angeles Lakers128-94
07/11/23HSacramento Kings122-97
05/11/23HSacramento Kings107-89
02/11/23HCharlotte Hornets128-119
29/10/23HGolden State Warriors95-106
28/10/23ASan Antonio Spurs122-126 OT
25/10/23AOrlando Magic86-116
09/04/23AWashington Wizards114-109
07/04/23ACharlotte Hornets112-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HGolden State Warriors108-105
07/11/23HNew Orleans Pelicans134-116
05/11/23HChicago Bulls123-101
04/11/23HDallas Mavericks125-114
02/11/23AMinnesota Timberwolves89-110
31/10/23HUtah Jazz110-102
29/10/23AOklahoma City Thunder128-95
27/10/23AMemphis Grizzlies108-104
24/10/23HLos Angeles Lakers119-107
13/06/23HMiami Heat94-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %62%83%0%
Points / game111.5114.0104.0
Allowed / game106.0101.0121.0
Point differential+5.5+13.0-17.0
Avg total217.5215.0225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%50%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game116.0119.8108.3
Allowed / game106.0107.5103.0
Point differential+10.0+12.3+5.3
Avg total222.0227.3211.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philadelphia 76ers98189%120.7109.4+11.2
2 Denver Nuggets98189%116.0106.0+10.0
3 Boston Celtics97278%120.2106.8+13.4
4 Dallas Mavericks97278%122.8116.9+5.9
5 Minnesota Timberwolves86275%112.4102.2+10.1
6 Houston Rockets85362%111.5106.0+5.5
7 Golden State Warriors106460%114.4110.9+3.5
8 Indiana Pacers106460%126.0123.1+2.9
9 New York Knicks95456%109.6103.2+6.3
10 Orlando Magic95456%110.1106.1+4.0
11 Atlanta Hawks95456%120.3117.0+3.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder95456%116.4115.8+0.7
13 Miami Heat95456%108.6110.0-1.4
14 Milwaukee Bucks95456%115.7119.3-3.7
15 Brooklyn Nets105550%113.2113.3-0.1
16 Sacramento Kings84450%111.1113.8-2.6
17 Phoenix Suns94544%113.2112.2+1.0
18 Toronto Raptors94544%107.9109.4-1.6
19 Cleveland Cavaliers94544%109.7111.9-2.2
20 Los Angeles Lakers94544%110.4116.6-6.1
21 New Orleans Pelicans94544%107.4114.0-6.6
22 Portland Trail Blazers83538%106.0111.1-5.1
23 Los Angeles Clippers93633%113.8111.8+2.0
24 Chicago Bulls93633%108.9113.9-5.0
25 Charlotte Hornets93633%116.1123.1-7.0
26 San Antonio Spurs93633%113.0124.9-11.9
27 Utah Jazz103730%113.9121.6-7.7
28 Washington Wizards92722%116.2123.8-7.6
29 Detroit Pistons102820%109.9113.7-3.8
30 Memphis Grizzlies102820%108.6114.1-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets23232833107
Denver Nuggets30202628104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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