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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 111-124
31-30 24-47 19-22 37-25
Position#30
Record10-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game114.9
Houston Rockets
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
Position#11
Record17-16
FormWLLWW
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game106.0
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU v DEN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
132-126
132
126
+6
122avg 98
A14/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
89-124
89
124
-35
76avg 98
A16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
103-116
103
116
-13
101avg 98
H17/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
116-107
116
107
+9
109avg 98
A18/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
118-133
118
133
-15
115avg 98
A21/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
106-126
106
126
-20
98avg 98
A23/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
106-118
106
118
-12
87avg 98
A24/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
99-123
99
123
-24
86avg 98
A28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
123-132
123
132
-9
112avg 98
H29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
110-120
110
120
-10
98avg 98
H01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-38
30-31
30-32
44-25
16-35
22-34
25-31
26-24
30-39
21-18
31-27
21-32
38-30
24-19
26-26
28-32
26-35
28-38
29-32
35-28
24-25
26-38
26-34
30-29
28-36
30-27
36-28
12-27
29-33
21-31
20-32
29-27
35-34
24-33
33-30
31-35
30-41
30-33
27-26
23-20
232.7Avg total
110.2Scored
122.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)107.1114.9222.0-7.928%
Season at home (16)110.2113.4223.6-3.244%
Season away (20)104.6116.2220.8-11.615%
Last 10 (10)110.2122.5232.7-12.320%
Last 5 (5)108.8123.8232.6-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)109.2119.3228.5-10.122%
vs Similar (7)105.0105.6210.6-0.657%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
120-114 OT
120
114
+6
110avg 105
A09/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
111-123
111
123
-12
98avg 105
A10/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
127-112
127
112
+15
124avg 105
A12/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
113-107
113
107
+6
114avg 105
H14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
107-124
107
124
-17
105avg 105
H16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
133-115
133
115
+18
136avg 105
A18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
94-108
94
108
-14
78avg 105
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
107-115
107
115
-8
97avg 105
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
103-100
103
100
+3
96avg 105
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
89-86
89
86
+3
80avg 105
A29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-33
29-24
16-20
25-28
29-37
36-37
25-26
21-23
28-29
44-27
31-18
24-38
29-22
30-19
32-29
22-37
32-40
29-35
27-33
19-16
29-26
43-28
34-33
27-28
18-28
34-32
14-28
28-20
26-27
39-25
29-25
13-38
32-30
32-25
15-28
24-17
31-16
29-20
14-25
15-25
220.8Avg total
110.4Scored
110.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)105.8106.0211.8-0.252%
Season at home (14)104.7102.3207.0+2.457%
Season away (19)106.5108.7215.3-2.247%
Last 10 (10)110.4110.4220.8+0.060%
Last 5 (5)105.2104.8210.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)97.0126.0223.0-29.00%
vs Similar (22)107.5106.8214.3+0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)104.3104.1208.4+0.157%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -5.2-5.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -5.2-5.2
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A14/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
38-69
38
69
-31
A16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H17/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A18/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
54-73
54
73
-19
A21/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A23/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A24/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H01/01
NBA
118.8Avg total
54.0Scored
64.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.259.1113.3-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.856.9112.8-1.146%-
Last 30 away (17)52.960.8113.8-7.924%-
Last 10 (10)54.064.8118.8-10.810%-
Last 5 (5)55.466.2121.6-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)55.461.5117.0-6.130%-
vs Similar (7)50.151.3101.4-1.143%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A09/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A10/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A12/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
60-36
60
36
+24
A29/12
NBA
119.4Avg total
63.4Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.853.8111.6+4.053%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.051.7106.7+3.350%-
Last 30 away (18)59.755.2114.9+4.456%-
Last 10 (10)63.456.0119.4+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)62.651.4114.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.073.0133.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (22)58.753.8112.5+4.959%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)54.751.1105.9+3.643%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.925.8
56.2%
53.1%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.313.4
35.0%
35.3%40.2
🏀 Free throws25.018.4
73.6%
77.4%18.4
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.127.0
53.9%
53.1%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.113.5
35.4%
35.3%40.5
🏀 Free throws20.215.9
78.7%
77.4%15.9
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LLLLLLWLLW
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWLWWLW
#30
League position
#11
-12.3
Net rating
+0.0
109.8
Offensive rating
108.2
122.1
Defensive rating
108.2
54.5%
Effective FG%
53.6%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.6%
Turnover %
12.6%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
17.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.0%
3-point %
35.4%
59.7%
Assist %
69.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 108.2Defence122.1 · 108.2Shooting54.5% · 53.6%3-point %35.0% · 35.4%Ball care15.6% · 12.6%Off. rebounds24.5% · 17.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Houston Rockets wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
06/11/21Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets95-94
25/04/21Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets129-116
17/04/21Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets99-128
29/12/20Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets124-111
26/01/20Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets117-110
23/01/20Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets121-105
01/01/20Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets130-104
21/11/19Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets105-95
29/03/19Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets112-85
02/02/19Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets136-122
Houston Rocketslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/22HMiami Heat110-120
29/12/21HLos Angeles Lakers123-132
28/12/21ACharlotte Hornets99-123
24/12/21AIndiana Pacers106-118
23/12/21AMilwaukee Bucks106-126
21/12/21AChicago Bulls118-133
18/12/21ADetroit Pistons116-107
17/12/21HNew York Knicks103-116
16/12/21ACleveland Cavaliers89-124
14/12/21AAtlanta Hawks132-126
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/21AGolden State Warriors89-86
27/12/21ALos Angeles Clippers103-100
24/12/21HCharlotte Hornets107-115
23/12/21AOklahoma City Thunder94-108
18/12/21AAtlanta Hawks133-115
16/12/21HMinnesota Timberwolves107-124
14/12/21HWashington Wizards113-107
12/12/21ASan Antonio Spurs127-112
10/12/21ASan Antonio Spurs111-123
09/12/21ANew Orleans Pelicans120-114 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeWLLLL44%
AwayWLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361620
Win %28%44%15%
Points / game107.1110.2104.6
Allowed / game114.9113.4116.2
Point differential-7.9-3.2-11.6
Avg total222.0223.6220.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW52%
HomeLLWLL57%
AwayWWLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331419
Win %52%57%47%
Points / game105.8104.7106.5
Allowed / game106.0102.3108.7
Point differential-0.2+2.4-2.2
Avg total211.8207.0215.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3427779%110.9100.9+10.0
2 Phoenix Suns3527877%111.7105.0+6.7
3 Utah Jazz3526974%116.0105.7+10.3
4 Chicago Bulls34241071%111.0107.3+3.7
5 Brooklyn Nets34231168%110.4107.1+3.3
6 Milwaukee Bucks38251366%112.2107.6+4.7
7 Miami Heat36231364%107.7103.6+4.2
8 Memphis Grizzlies37231462%111.1108.2+2.9
9 Cleveland Cavaliers36201656%107.7102.3+5.4
10 Philadelphia 76ers35191654%106.1105.9+0.1
11 Charlotte Hornets36191753%115.2116.1-0.9
12 Denver Nuggets33171652%105.8106.0-0.2
13 Los Angeles Clippers37191851%105.5105.2+0.3
14 Washington Wizards36181850%106.5108.8-2.3
15 Los Angeles Lakers37181949%111.1112.2-1.1
16 Dallas Mavericks35171849%105.5104.9+0.6
17 Boston Celtics36171947%108.0107.0+1.0
18 New York Knicks36171947%104.7105.3-0.6
19 Toronto Raptors32151747%106.5106.8-0.2
20 Atlanta Hawks35161946%110.6110.5+0.1
21 Minnesota Timberwolves35161946%108.1109.1-0.9
22 Sacramento Kings37152241%109.4113.7-4.4
23 San Antonio Spurs35142140%111.5110.3+1.2
24 Indiana Pacers36142239%107.8107.4+0.3
25 Portland Trail Blazers35132237%108.2112.7-4.5
26 Oklahoma City Thunder35132237%100.2107.4-7.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans36132336%105.3110.2-4.9
28 Houston Rockets36102628%107.1114.9-7.9
29 Orlando Magic3672919%101.7111.5-9.8
30 Detroit Pistons3462818%100.7110.2-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets31241937111
Denver Nuggets30472225124
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