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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 124-103
31-30 25-29 30-26 38-18
Position#28
Record19-60
FormLLLWL
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game119.0
vs
Position#2
Record52-26
FormWWLLW
Points / game116.1
Allowed / game112.4
USANBA· Toyota Center (Houston)
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU v DEN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
114-112
114
112
+2
107avg 101
H18/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
107-117
107
117
-10
94avg 101
H19/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
108-121
108
121
-13
87avg 101
H21/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
125-130
125
130
-5
120avg 101
A23/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
114-151
114
151
-37
105avg 101
A25/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
91-108
91
108
-17
80avg 101
A26/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
115-137
115
137
-22
106avg 101
A27/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
114-123
114
123
-9
101avg 101
A29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
121-115
121
115
+6
109avg 101
H01/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
109-134
109
134
-25
92avg 101
H02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
18-28
31-36
34-22
28-38
16-26
34-28
29-25
21-26
29-29
30-29
28-37
34-37
30-38
32-26
29-29
30-42
22-41
32-36
30-32
22-33
21-27
37-25
11-23
33-36
28-30
29-36
25-35
25-30
30-24
32-32
27-37
31-28
27-33
33-31
30-23
21-35
39-35
23-31
26-33
236.6Avg total
111.8Scored
124.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)110.5119.0229.6-8.524%
Season at home (40)110.4115.5225.9-5.032%
Season away (39)110.6122.7233.3-12.115%
Last 10 (10)111.8124.8236.6-13.020%
Last 5 (5)110.0123.4233.4-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)110.1123.4233.5-13.216%
vs Similar (5)123.2116.0239.2+7.280%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
110-125
110
125
-15
108avg 112
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
119-100
119
100
+19
116avg 112
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
110-116
110
116
-6
105avg 112
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
108-102
108
102
+6
110avg 112
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
118-104
118
104
+14
116avg 112
A22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
129-106
129
106
+23
126avg 112
H26/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
117avg 112
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
88-107
88
107
-19
75avg 112
H31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
93-100
93
100
-7
77avg 112
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
112-110
112
110
+2
99avg 112
H03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-49
26-23
36-26
18-27
29-28
29-36
28-22
33-14
28-36
39-26
24-29
19-25
33-21
30-27
28-23
17-31
31-29
24-28
39-16
24-31
37-38
26-28
34-19
32-21
25-18
36-39
30-20
25-34
17-21
23-29
30-32
18-25
20-32
20-28
34-24
19-16
26-36
32-25
31-26
23-23
218.4Avg total
110.3Scored
108.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)116.1112.4228.5+3.767%
Season at home (40)119.7110.0229.6+9.782%
Season away (38)112.3114.9227.2-2.650%
Last 10 (10)110.3108.1218.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)107.6106.8214.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)110.5111.6222.1-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)119.8112.6232.4+7.171%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H18/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H19/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H21/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A23/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
52-83
52
83
-31
A25/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A26/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A27/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H01/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H02/04
NBA
117.8Avg total
53.6Scored
64.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.762.5118.1-6.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.658.8114.4-3.138%-
Last 30 away (14)55.766.7122.4-11.021%-
Last 10 (10)53.664.2117.8-10.610%-
Last 5 (5)55.462.2117.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)54.162.1116.2-8.024%-
vs Similar (5)63.664.4128.0-0.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H26/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H03/04
NBA
115.8Avg total
56.1Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.359.0118.3+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.056.9117.9+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)57.860.9118.6-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)56.159.7115.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)52.458.8111.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)56.060.4116.4-4.431%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)63.057.4120.4+5.657%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.431.8
54.5%
54.5%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.5
31.4%
35.8%28.5
🏀 Free throws25.319.7
77.9%
78.1%19.7
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.932.2
56.6%
54.5%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.8
33.6%
35.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.916.5
75.3%
78.1%16.5
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LWLLLLLLLW
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWWLWL
#28
League position
#2
-13.2
Net rating
+2.3
113.6
Offensive rating
113.7
126.8
Defensive rating
111.4
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
60.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
13.3%
Turnover %
11.8%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.4%
3-point %
33.6%
50.1%
Assist %
65.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 113.7Defence126.8 · 111.4Shooting51.9% · 54.5%3-point %31.4% · 33.6%Ball care13.3% · 11.8%Off. rebounds31.8% · 24.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Houston Rockets wins
10
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23HLos Angeles Lakers109-134
01/04/23HDetroit Pistons121-115
29/03/23ABrooklyn Nets114-123
27/03/23ANew York Knicks115-137
26/03/23ACleveland Cavaliers91-108
25/03/23AMemphis Grizzlies114-151
23/03/23AMemphis Grizzlies125-130
21/03/23HGolden State Warriors108-121
19/03/23HNew Orleans Pelicans107-117
18/03/23HNew Orleans Pelicans114-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/23HGolden State Warriors112-110
01/04/23APhoenix Suns93-100
31/03/23HNew Orleans Pelicans88-107
28/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers116-111
26/03/23HMilwaukee Bucks129-106
22/03/23AWashington Wizards118-104
19/03/23ABrooklyn Nets108-102
18/03/23ANew York Knicks110-116
16/03/23ADetroit Pistons119-100
14/03/23AToronto Raptors110-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL24%
HomeWLLWL32%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games794039
Win %24%32%15%
Points / game110.5110.4110.6
Allowed / game119.0115.5122.7
Point differential-8.5-5.0-12.1
Avg total229.6225.9233.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%8%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)50% (10)40% (5)
Overtime %3%2%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeLWWLW82%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games784038
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game116.1119.7112.3
Allowed / game112.4110.0114.9
Point differential+3.7+9.7-2.6
Avg total228.5229.6227.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (23)67% (15)88% (8)
Overtime %4%5%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks79572272%117.3113.2+4.1
2 Boston Celtics78542469%118.4111.8+6.5
3 Denver Nuggets78522667%116.1112.4+3.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers78512765%115.1110.6+4.4
5 Memphis Grizzlies78492963%116.7112.7+4.0
6 Cleveland Cavaliers80503062%112.4107.0+5.3
7 Sacramento Kings78473160%121.4118.3+3.1
8 New York Knicks79463358%115.6112.5+3.1
9 Phoenix Suns78433555%113.6111.5+2.1
10 Brooklyn Nets79433654%113.5112.6+0.8
11 Miami Heat79423753%109.1109.8-0.8
12 Golden State Warriors79413852%118.2117.5+0.7
13 Los Angeles Clippers79413852%113.1112.9+0.2
14 New Orleans Pelicans78403851%114.3112.2+2.1
15 Los Angeles Lakers78403851%116.7116.4+0.3
16 Toronto Raptors79403951%113.1111.5+1.6
17 Atlanta Hawks78393950%118.1118.1-0.0
18 Minnesota Timberwolves80404050%115.4115.7-0.3
19 Chicago Bulls78384049%113.6112.2+1.4
20 Oklahoma City Thunder79384148%117.5116.6+0.9
21 Dallas Mavericks79374247%114.1113.8+0.3
22 Utah Jazz78364246%117.1117.8-0.7
23 Washington Wizards79344543%113.2114.2-1.0
24 Orlando Magic79344543%112.0114.0-2.0
25 Indiana Pacers79344543%115.8119.0-3.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers78334542%113.3116.5-3.2
27 Charlotte Hornets80265432%111.0117.5-6.5
28 San Antonio Spurs78205826%112.5122.8-10.3
29 Houston Rockets79196024%110.5119.0-8.5
30 Detroit Pistons79166320%110.6118.7-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets31253038124
Denver Nuggets30292618103
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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