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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 109-111
35-26 25-33 27-34 22-18
Position#16
Record29-24
FormWWLLL
Points / game100.3
Allowed / game101.1
vs
Position#26
Record15-36
FormLLLWL
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game110.4
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
106-101
106
101
+5
104avg 94
A18/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
95-101
95
101
-6
84avg 94
A20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
106-105
106
105
+1
103avg 94
A21/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
90-99
90
99
-9
80avg 94
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
88-89
88
89
-1
78avg 94
H26/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
95-91
95
91
+4
91avg 94
H28/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
95-88
95
88
+7
91avg 94
A30/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
79avg 94
A01/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
97-103
97
103
-6
85avg 94
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
107-111
107
111
-4
98avg 94
A04/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
22-32
26-22
28-22
24-21
29-22
16-24
26-34
31-27
26-21
16-35
33-22
33-25
17-21
18-25
22-28
17-19
30-28
25-24
16-18
22-26
32-22
17-30
24-13
22-26
29-20
24-15
20-27
21-27
29-21
22-24
17-19
23-24
18-27
19-35
37-17
26-27
24-27
27-22
30-35
194.7Avg total
96.8Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)100.3101.1201.4-0.855%
Season at home (23)100.2101.7201.8-1.557%
Season away (30)100.4100.7201.0-0.353%
Last 10 (10)96.897.9194.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)96.696.8193.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.397.0189.3-4.733%
vs Similar (21)100.299.2199.4+1.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)105.7100.0205.7+5.750%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
103-110
103
110
-7
90avg 95
A11/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
119-125
119
125
-6
119avg 95
A13/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
108-102
108
102
+6
102avg 95
H17/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
103-104
103
104
-1
94avg 95
A19/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
103-95
103
95
+8
90avg 95
A21/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
99-105
99
105
-6
90avg 95
H24/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
112-114
112
114
-2
105avg 95
A28/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
107-114
107
114
-7
100avg 95
A31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
127-105
127
105
+22
122avg 95
H01/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
98-115
98
115
-17
86avg 95
H04/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-30
17-23
23-36
34-21
33-34
30-31
35-33
21-27
25-25
22-23
26-27
35-27
20-36
27-31
33-17
23-20
28-29
30-30
32-12
13-24
27-28
26-24
29-25
17-28
32-22
38-31
22-31
20-30
30-27
25-27
33-36
19-24
29-25
29-26
43-30
26-24
25-31
22-25
22-31
29-28
216.8Avg total
107.9Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)105.5110.4215.9-4.929%
Season at home (23)104.4108.6213.0-4.139%
Season away (28)106.4111.9218.4-5.521%
Last 10 (10)107.9108.9216.8-1.030%
Last 5 (5)108.6110.6219.2-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)104.0111.0215.1-7.018%
vs Similar (8)104.9107.1212.0-2.238%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A18/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A21/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H26/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H28/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A30/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A01/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A04/02
NBA
99.3Avg total
50.5Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.149.799.8+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (12)49.349.198.4+0.250%-
Last 30 away (18)50.650.2100.7+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)50.548.899.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)49.249.498.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.346.093.3+1.367%-
vs Similar (21)51.049.4100.3+1.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.352.8101.2-4.517%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A11/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A13/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H17/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A19/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A21/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H24/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
70-53
70
53
+17
A28/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H01/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H04/02
NBA
110.2Avg total
54.4Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.655.2106.9-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.554.7106.2-3.127%-
Last 30 away (15)51.755.8107.5-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)54.455.8110.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.2109.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)51.956.6108.5-4.723%-
vs Similar (8)50.951.5102.4-0.662%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 96.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.227.4
50.6%
51.0%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.8
33.1%
36.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.612.6
67.7%
76.5%12.6
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.829.8
53.4%
51.0%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.4
36.7%
36.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.717.1
78.8%
76.5%17.1
They take 84.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLLWWLLWLW
Orlando Magic
LWLLLWLWLL
#16
League position
#26
-1.1
Net rating
-1.0
101.0
Offensive rating
110.9
102.1
Defensive rating
111.9
50.2%
Effective FG%
54.0%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.1%
3-point %
36.7%
61.8%
Assist %
60.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 110.9Defence102.1 · 111.9Shooting50.2% · 54.0%3-point %33.1% · 36.7%Ball care14.4% · 14.2%Off. rebounds22.6% · 25.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/18ADetroit Pistons107-111
03/02/18APhiladelphia 76ers97-103
01/02/18ACleveland Cavaliers89-91
30/01/18ADallas Mavericks95-88
28/01/18HCharlotte Hornets95-91
26/01/18HSacramento Kings88-89
23/01/18AHouston Rockets90-99
21/01/18ACharlotte Hornets106-105
20/01/18ABrooklyn Nets95-101
18/01/18AMilwaukee Bucks106-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/18HWashington Wizards98-115
01/02/18HLos Angeles Lakers127-105
31/01/18AHouston Rockets107-114
28/01/18AIndiana Pacers112-114
24/01/18HSacramento Kings99-105
21/01/18ABoston Celtics103-95
19/01/18ACleveland Cavaliers103-104
17/01/18HMinnesota Timberwolves108-102
13/01/18AWashington Wizards119-125
11/01/18AMilwaukee Bucks103-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLWLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532330
Win %55%57%53%
Points / game100.3100.2100.4
Allowed / game101.1101.7100.7
Point differential-0.8-1.5-0.3
Avg total201.4201.8201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (17)75% (8)67% (9)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLWLWL39%
AwayLLWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512328
Win %29%39%21%
Points / game105.5104.4106.4
Allowed / game110.4108.6111.9
Point differential-4.9-4.1-5.5
Avg total215.9213.0218.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)67% (3)25% (8)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors53411277%115.6107.7+7.8
2 Houston Rockets51381375%114.0105.7+8.2
3 Boston Celtics54391572%103.298.4+4.8
4 Toronto Raptors52361669%111.4103.8+7.5
5 San Antonio Spurs55342162%100.998.0+2.9
6 Minnesota Timberwolves56342261%109.0105.7+3.3
7 Cleveland Cavaliers51302159%109.2109.5-0.4
8 Washington Wizards53312258%107.5105.4+2.1
9 Milwaukee Bucks52292356%104.7104.9-0.2
10 Oklahoma City Thunder54302456%106.3102.8+3.5
11 Miami Heat53292455%100.3101.1-0.8
12 Indiana Pacers55302555%106.7105.6+1.0
13 New Orleans Pelicans52282454%110.8110.7+0.1
14 Portland Trail Blazers54292554%104.5103.6+0.9
15 Denver Nuggets53282553%106.7106.0+0.8
16 Los Angeles Clippers51262551%107.7107.2+0.5
17 Philadelphia 76ers50252550%107.5106.5+0.9
18 Detroit Pistons52262650%103.1102.9+0.2
19 Utah Jazz52242846%102.8102.2+0.7
20 Charlotte Hornets52232944%106.4106.1+0.3
21 New York Knicks54233143%104.1105.5-1.4
22 Los Angeles Lakers52213140%106.6110.0-3.4
23 Brooklyn Nets54193535%104.9108.7-3.8
24 Memphis Grizzlies52183435%99.6102.5-2.9
25 Chicago Bulls52183435%103.6109.3-5.8
26 Phoenix Suns54183633%104.9112.2-7.3
27 Dallas Mavericks53173632%101.5103.6-2.1
28 Sacramento Kings52163631%98.3106.7-8.4
29 Atlanta Hawks53163730%103.7108.3-4.6
30 Orlando Magic51153629%105.5110.4-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat35252722109
Orlando Magic26333418111
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