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Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 90-89
19-18 27-19 18-27 26-25
Position-
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA - Las Vegas Summer League· Cox Pavilion
Other2025
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets
12 Jan 2027
MIL v DEN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
MIL100
DEN102
10 Jul 2025
MIL90
DEN89
27 Feb 2025
MIL121
DEN112
12 Feb 2024
MIL112
DEN95
25 Jan 2023
MIL107
DEN99
30 Jan 2022
MIL100
DEN136
02 Mar 2021
MIL97
DEN128
31 Jan 2020
MIL115
DEN127
19 Nov 2018
MIL104
DEN98
15 Feb 2018
MIL123
DEN134
01 Mar 2017
MIL98
DEN110
30 Nov 2015
MIL92
DEN74
20 Feb 2015
MIL89
DEN81
20 Feb 2014
MIL90
DEN101
15 Apr 2013
MIL111
DEN112
17 Jan 2012
MIL95
DEN105
16 Feb 2011
MIL87
DEN94
11 Nov 2009
MIL108
DEN102
22 Feb 2009
MIL120
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
111-107
111
107
+4
106avg 108
A07/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
110-103
110
103
+7
105avg 108
H09/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
136-111
136
111
+25
129avg 108
H11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
125-119
125
119
+6
117avg 108
A11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
140-133 OT
140
133
+7
138avg 108
H13/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
98-117
98
117
-19
81avg 108
A19/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
115-123
115
123
-8
109avg 108
A22/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
117-101
117
101
+16
114avg 108
H26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
103-129
103
129
-26
88avg 108
H28/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
118-119 OT
118
119
-1
112avg 108
A29/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-31
30-22
23-25
30-29
23-28
22-28
25-34
40-13
21-26
41-28
38-31
36-26
35-36
33-29
30-32
27-22
43-25
28-30
27-37
25-31
25-33
18-34
33-26
22-24
30-40
30-28
27-31
28-24
26-26
21-31
39-18
31-26
24-30
28-33
32-38
19-28
30-13
17-28
28-34
28-28
233.5Avg total
117.3Scored
116.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)117.3116.2233.5+1.160%
Last 5 (5)110.2117.8228.0-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)102.5116.5219.0-14.00%
vs Similar (23)117.9115.5233.4+2.457%
vs Weaker (5)122.4112.4234.8+10.080%
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
131-115
131
115
+16
127avg 114
H30/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
105-111
105
111
-6
99avg 114
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
120-101
120
101
+19
113avg 114
H03/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
121-119
121
119
+2
113avg 114
A06/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
106-149
106
149
-43
87avg 114
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
113-104 OT
113
104
+9
109avg 114
H10/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
73avg 114
H11/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-112
105
112
-7
91avg 114
A14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
119-107
119
107
+12
118avg 114
H16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
93-125
93
125
-32
83avg 114
A18/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-23
32-36
32-24
32-32
28-25
29-33
22-32
26-21
21-26
37-21
35-19
27-35
26-27
24-33
35-30
36-29
21-45
35-42
20-37
30-25
22-28
29-28
29-27
22-19
8-17
28-25
33-21
18-29
28-27
28-27
30-24
19-34
31-28
27-33
32-21
29-25
26-21
20-39
26-37
21-28
223.5Avg total
110.0Scored
113.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)110.0113.5223.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)103.4108.0211.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar (18)115.6114.2229.8+1.361%
vs Weaker (5)117.2117.8235.0-0.620%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
Milwaukee BucksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A07/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H09/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H13/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
43-67
43
67
-24
A19/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A22/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H28/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A29/04
NBA
113.2Avg total
55.3Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.459.1116.5-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.559.5117.0-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)57.258.8116.0-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)55.357.9113.2-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)49.859.2109.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.557.5104.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (23)57.860.1117.9-2.335%-
vs Weaker (5)59.855.4115.2+4.4100%-
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H30/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A06/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H10/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H11/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A18/05
NBA
111.9Avg total
53.5Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.358.6115.9-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.157.3115.4+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)56.460.1116.6-3.743%-
Last 10 (10)53.558.4111.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)49.454.6104.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar (18)58.858.0116.8+0.856%-
vs Weaker (5)61.459.0120.4+2.460%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 117.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.927.1
54.3%
50.3%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.615.3
39.6%
31.5%45.9
🏀 Free throws23.817.2
72.3%
72.4%17.2
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.826.5
52.2%
50.3%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.612.6
34.4%
31.5%37.8
🏀 Free throws24.519.2
78.4%
72.4%19.2
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLLWWWWW
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWLWWLW
+1.3
Net rating
-3.5
115.5
Offensive rating
109.2
114.2
Defensive rating
112.7
56.6%
Effective FG%
51.9%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
11.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.6%
3-point %
34.4%
61.8%
Assist %
56.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 109.2Defence114.2 · 112.7Shooting56.6% · 51.9%3-point %39.6% · 34.4%Ball care11.6% · 14.8%Off. rebounds21.4% · 27.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/25AIndiana Pacers118-119 OT
28/04/25HIndiana Pacers103-129
26/04/25HIndiana Pacers117-101
22/04/25AIndiana Pacers115-123
19/04/25AIndiana Pacers98-117
13/04/25HDetroit Pistons140-133 OT
11/04/25ADetroit Pistons125-119
11/04/25HNew Orleans Pelicans136-111
09/04/25HMinnesota Timberwolves110-103
07/04/25ANew Orleans Pelicans111-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder93-125
16/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder119-107
14/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder105-112
11/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder87-92
10/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder113-104 OT
08/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder106-149
06/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder121-119
03/05/25HLos Angeles Clippers120-101
02/05/25ALos Angeles Clippers105-111
30/04/25HLos Angeles Clippers131-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks1927182690
Denver Nuggets1819272589
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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