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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-92
8-17 28-25 33-21 18-29
Position#9
Record56-36
FormLWWLW
Points / game119.5
Allowed / game116.4
vs
Position#1
Record71-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game120.7
Allowed / game107.7
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
112-110 OT
112
110
+2
100avg 114
H19/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
102-105
102
105
-3
99avg 114
H22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
83-117
83
117
-34
72avg 114
A25/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
101-99
101
99
+2
97avg 114
A26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
131-115
131
115
+16
127avg 114
H30/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
105-111
105
111
-6
99avg 114
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
120-101
120
101
+19
113avg 114
H03/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
121-119
121
119
+2
113avg 114
A06/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
106-149
106
149
-43
87avg 114
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
113-104 OT
113
104
+9
109avg 114
H10/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-35
22-18
23-22
26-23
31-25
21-30
24-23
26-27
28-35
19-30
23-25
13-27
27-22
23-26
35-17
16-34
35-23
32-36
32-24
32-32
28-25
29-33
22-32
26-21
21-26
37-21
35-19
27-35
26-27
24-33
35-30
36-29
21-45
35-42
20-37
30-25
22-28
29-28
29-27
22-19
222.4Avg total
109.4Scored
113.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (92)119.5116.4236.0+3.161%
Season at home (46)122.0116.0237.9+6.065%
Season away (46)117.1116.9234.0+0.157%
Last 10 (10)109.4113.0222.4-3.660%
Last 5 (5)113.0116.8229.8-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)116.6125.2241.8-8.660%
vs Similar (19)114.5114.3228.7+0.258%
vs Weaker (6)122.5121.7244.2+0.833%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
125-112
125
112
+13
120avg 111
A10/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
145-111
145
111
+34
148avg 111
A12/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
115-100
115
100
+15
100avg 111
A13/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
131-80
131
80
+51
134avg 111
H20/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
118-99
118
99
+19
104avg 111
H22/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
114-108
114
108
+6
104avg 111
A25/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
117-115
117
115
+2
97avg 111
A26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
119-121
119
121
-2
103avg 111
H06/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
149-106
149
106
+43
149avg 111
H08/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
104-113 OT
104
113
-9
88avg 111
A10/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-39
33-28
43-26
20-19
46-34
27-24
34-28
38-25
38-19
26-30
26-23
25-28
32-20
36-16
44-27
19-17
32-17
38-35
20-27
28-20
29-40
22-37
36-18
27-13
34-31
26-28
28-26
29-30
27-26
33-24
30-35
29-36
45-21
42-35
37-20
25-30
28-22
28-29
27-29
19-22
230.2Avg total
123.7Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (87)120.7107.7228.4+13.182%
Season at home (44)123.5107.2230.7+16.484%
Season away (43)117.9108.2226.1+9.779%
Last 10 (10)123.7106.5230.2+17.280%
Last 5 (5)120.6112.6233.2+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)118.0112.0230.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)124.1110.0234.1+14.183%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H19/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
47-65
47
65
-18
A25/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H30/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A06/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H10/05
NBA
112.5Avg total
53.7Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.959.6118.5-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.457.9117.4+1.556%-
Last 30 away (14)58.261.6119.8-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)53.758.8112.5-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)54.461.6116.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)56.867.4124.2-10.60%-
vs Similar (19)58.357.9116.2+0.353%-
vs Weaker (6)62.558.5121.0+4.067%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A10/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A12/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A13/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
68-36
68
36
+32
H20/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H22/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A25/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H06/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
87-56
87
56
+31
H08/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A10/05
NBA
120.6Avg total
65.1Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)64.156.7120.8+7.583%-
Last 30 at home (16)67.555.6123.1+11.994%-
Last 30 away (14)60.357.9118.1+2.471%-
Last 10 (10)65.155.5120.6+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)62.858.6121.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)63.060.0123.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)64.256.6120.7+7.683%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.228.2
51.1%
54.3%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.0
38.5%
35.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws22.717.0
74.9%
77.8%17.0
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 123.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.3%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.013.7
33.4%
35.9%41.1
🏀 Free throws25.220.2
80.2%
77.8%20.2
They take 96.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWWLLW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWLWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
-3.6
Net rating
+16.4
110.8
Offensive rating
118.0
114.5
Defensive rating
101.6
53.5%
Effective FG%
53.9%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
14.5%
Turnover %
9.5%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.5%
3-point %
33.4%
58.0%
Assist %
59.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 118.0Defence114.5 · 101.6Shooting53.5% · 53.9%3-point %38.5% · 33.4%Ball care14.5% · 9.5%Off. rebounds27.7% · 25.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder113-104 OT
08/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder106-149
06/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder121-119
03/05/25HLos Angeles Clippers120-101
02/05/25ALos Angeles Clippers105-111
30/04/25HLos Angeles Clippers131-115
26/04/25ALos Angeles Clippers101-99
25/04/25ALos Angeles Clippers83-117
22/04/25HLos Angeles Clippers102-105
19/04/25HLos Angeles Clippers112-110 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25ADenver Nuggets104-113 OT
08/05/25HDenver Nuggets149-106
06/05/25HDenver Nuggets119-121
26/04/25AMemphis Grizzlies117-115
25/04/25AMemphis Grizzlies114-108
22/04/25HMemphis Grizzlies118-99
20/04/25HMemphis Grizzlies131-80
13/04/25ANew Orleans Pelicans115-100
12/04/25AUtah Jazz145-111
10/04/25APhoenix Suns125-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW61%
HomeWLWWW65%
AwayLWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games924646
Win %61%65%57%
Points / game119.5122.0117.1
Allowed / game116.4116.0116.9
Point differential+3.1+6.0+0.1
Avg total236.0237.9234.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%41%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (25)46% (13)75% (12)
Overtime %9%9%9%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWWLW84%
AwayWWWWL79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games874443
Win %82%84%79%
Points / game120.7123.5117.9
Allowed / game107.7107.2108.2
Point differential+13.1+16.4+9.7
Avg total228.4230.7226.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%75%51%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %2%2%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder87711682%120.7107.7+13.1
2 Cleveland Cavaliers89692078%122.0111.7+10.3
3 Boston Celtics90662473%115.3106.1+9.2
4 New York Knicks90573363%114.8111.1+3.7
5 Indiana Pacers90563462%117.3115.0+2.3
6 Houston Rockets87543362%113.9109.5+4.4
7 Minnesota Timberwolves90553561%113.5108.4+5.1
8 Denver Nuggets92563661%119.5116.4+3.1
9 Los Angeles Clippers89533660%112.5108.2+4.3
10 Golden State Warriors92543859%112.8110.0+2.8
11 Los Angeles Lakers87513659%112.6111.9+0.7
12 Memphis Grizzlies88493956%120.7116.9+3.7
13 Milwaukee Bucks85473855%115.3113.5+1.8
14 Detroit Pistons88464252%114.9113.2+1.7
15 Orlando Magic87434449%104.9105.4-0.5
16 Sacramento Kings83404348%115.6115.3+0.3
17 Dallas Mavericks83404348%114.3115.3-1.0
18 Atlanta Hawks82394348%118.2119.7-1.5
19 Chicago Bulls83394447%117.5119.2-1.8
20 Miami Heat88394944%110.0110.6-0.5
21 Portland Trail Blazers82364644%110.9113.9-3.0
22 Phoenix Suns82364644%113.6116.6-3.0
23 San Antonio Spurs82344841%113.9116.7-2.8
24 Toronto Raptors82305237%110.9115.2-4.3
25 Brooklyn Nets82265632%105.1112.2-7.1
26 Philadelphia 76ers82245829%109.6115.8-6.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans82216126%109.8119.3-9.4
28 Charlotte Hornets82196323%105.1114.2-9.1
29 Washington Wizards82186422%108.0120.4-12.4
30 Utah Jazz82176521%111.9121.2-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets828331887
Oklahoma City Thunder1725212992
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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