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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 90-96
26-21 19-26 18-27 27-22
Position#16
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game108.5
vs
Position#4
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game96.0
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
27 Mar 2027
MIA v BOS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
MIA129
BOS147
15 Jan 2026
MIA114
BOS119
14 Mar 2025
MIA91
BOS103
10 Feb 2025
MIA85
BOS103
29 Apr 2024
MIA88
BOS102
27 Apr 2024
MIA84
BOS104
11 Feb 2024
MIA106
BOS110
25 Jan 2024
MIA110
BOS143
27 May 2023
MIA103
BOS104
23 May 2023
MIA99
BOS116
21 May 2023
MIA128
BOS102
24 Jan 2023
MIA98
BOS95
21 Oct 2022
MIA104
BOS111
29 May 2022
MIA96
BOS100
25 May 2022
MIA80
BOS93
19 May 2022
MIA102
BOS127
17 May 2022
MIA118
BOS107
04 Nov 2021
MIA78
BOS95
06 Jan 2021
MIA105
BOS107
27 Sep 2020
MIA125
BOS113
23 Sep 2020
MIA112
BOS109
19 Sep 2020
MIA106
BOS117
04 Aug 2020
MIA112
BOS106
11 Apr 2020
MIA v BOS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIA101
BOS109
03 Apr 2019
MIA102
BOS112
10 Jan 2019
MIA115
BOS99
22 Nov 2017
MIA104
BOS98
28 Oct 2017
MIA90
BOS96
18 Dec 2016
MIA95
BOS105
28 Nov 2016
MIA104
BOS112
30 Nov 2015
MIA95
BOS105
09 Mar 2015
MIA90
BOS100
21 Dec 2014
MIA100
BOS84
21 Jan 2014
MIA93
BOS86
09 Nov 2013
MIA110
BOS111
12 Apr 2013
MIA109
BOS101
30 Oct 2012
MIA120
BOS107
09 Jun 2012
MIA101
BOS88
05 Jun 2012
MIA90
BOS94
30 May 2012
MIA115
BOS111
28 May 2012
MIA93
BOS79
10 Apr 2012
MIA107
BOS115
27 Dec 2011
MIA115
BOS107
11 May 2011
MIA97
BOS87
03 May 2011
MIA102
BOS91
01 May 2011
MIA99
BOS90
10 Apr 2011
MIA100
BOS77
11 Nov 2010
MIA107
BOS112
25 Apr 2010
MIA101
BOS92
23 Apr 2010
MIA98
BOS100
06 Jan 2010
MIA106
BOS112
29 Nov 2009
MIA85
BOS92
11 Mar 2009
MIA107
BOS99
21 Jan 2009
MIA83
BOS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
113-116
113
116
-3
106avg 93
H02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
112-99
112
99
+13
105avg 93
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
94-96
94
96
-2
79avg 93
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
106-103
106
103
+3
94avg 93
A08/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
124-121 OT
124
121
+3
114avg 93
H10/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
110-102
110
102
+8
105avg 93
H13/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
109-116
109
116
-7
95avg 93
A18/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
112-108
112
108
+4
106avg 93
H22/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
104-93
104
93
+11
93avg 93
H23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
100-117
100
117
-17
88avg 93
H26/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-37
28-31
29-25
26-23
27-23
25-28
34-22
26-26
19-26
24-27
22-17
29-26
28-29
24-23
26-22
28-29
24-37
32-23
24-31
28-17
23-27
33-23
35-27
19-25
37-32
18-26
23-30
31-28
26-31
37-19
28-26
21-32
26-23
36-21
15-29
27-20
30-30
21-26
22-32
27-29
215.5Avg total
108.4Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)106.2108.5214.8-2.250%
Season at home (3)105.3106.0211.3-0.767%
Season away (1)109.0116.0225.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)108.4107.1215.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)107.0107.2214.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)117.0109.0226.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (22)107.0103.0210.0+4.064%
vs Weaker (7)106.9100.0206.9+6.957%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
104-117
104
117
-13
99avg 100
H18/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
86-130
86
130
-44
74avg 100
H20/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
111-108
111
108
+3
102avg 100
A22/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
99-112
99
112
-13
90avg 100
A24/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
102-135
102
135
-33
88avg 100
H26/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
99-102
99
102
-3
89avg 100
A18/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
100-108
100
108
-8
86avg 100
H18/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
102-92
102
92
+10
92avg 100
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
110-89
110
89
+21
109avg 100
H24/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
96-89
96
89
+7
91avg 100
A27/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
20-31
36-31
29-25
18-32
13-40
26-31
29-27
24-35
26-31
32-21
29-21
29-19
28-28
23-40
19-25
27-43
30-32
17-34
28-26
19-29
19-25
33-18
28-30
26-24
27-34
27-18
20-32
24-21
22-29
23-22
33-20
30-17
24-16
23-27
33-29
28-23
15-21
29-25
24-20
209.1Avg total
100.9Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)101.496.0197.4+5.460%
Season at home (2)105.098.5203.5+6.550%
Season away (3)99.094.3193.3+4.767%
Last 10 (10)100.9108.2209.1-7.340%
Last 5 (5)101.496.0197.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (26)105.0107.0212.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (4)112.8101.0213.8+11.8100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
Miami HeatBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A08/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H10/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H13/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A18/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H22/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H26/10
NBA
109.0Avg total
54.8Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.051.8107.8+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.251.5108.7+5.859%-
Last 30 away (13)54.452.2106.6+2.254%-
Last 10 (10)54.854.2109.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)57.451.6109.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.045.0103.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)55.752.6108.3+3.155%-
vs Weaker (7)56.750.3107.0+6.457%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
39-61
39
61
-22
H18/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
31-72
31
72
-41
H20/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A22/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A24/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
57-75
57
75
-18
H26/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A18/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H18/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H24/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A27/10
NBA
102.8Avg total
46.8Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.353.9105.3-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.256.6108.8-4.431%-
Last 30 away (14)50.450.9101.3-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)46.856.0102.8-9.220%-
Last 5 (5)46.847.894.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (26)50.455.2105.6-4.735%-
vs Weaker (4)57.246.0103.2+11.275%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 108.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.829.3
50.7%
51.0%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.4
39.0%
36.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.115.6
73.9%
76.5%15.6
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 100.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.225.4
47.7%
51.0%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.3
36.0%
36.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.516.2
75.3%
76.5%16.2
They take 84.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWLWWWLWL
Boston Celtics
WWWLLLLWLL
#16
League position
#4
+1.3
Net rating
-7.5
108.3
Offensive rating
103.3
107.0
Defensive rating
110.8
53.3%
Effective FG%
50.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
13.2%
Turnover %
14.3%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.0%
3-point %
36.0%
55.5%
Assist %
65.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 103.3Defence107.0 · 110.8Shooting53.3% · 50.1%3-point %39.0% · 36.0%Ball care13.2% · 14.3%Off. rebounds21.0% · 22.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Miami Heat wins
8
Boston Celtics wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/17HSan Antonio Spurs100-117
23/10/17HAtlanta Hawks104-93
22/10/17HIndiana Pacers112-108
18/10/17AOrlando Magic109-116
13/04/17HWashington Wizards110-102
10/04/17HCleveland Cavaliers124-121 OT
08/04/17AWashington Wizards106-103
07/04/17AToronto Raptors94-96
05/04/17ACharlotte Hornets112-99
02/04/17HDenver Nuggets113-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/17AMilwaukee Bucks96-89
24/10/17HNew York Knicks110-89
20/10/17APhiladelphia 76ers102-92
18/10/17HMilwaukee Bucks100-108
18/10/17ACleveland Cavaliers99-102
26/05/17HCleveland Cavaliers102-135
24/05/17ACleveland Cavaliers99-112
22/05/17ACleveland Cavaliers111-108
20/05/17HCleveland Cavaliers86-130
18/05/17HCleveland Cavaliers104-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game106.2105.3109.0
Allowed / game108.5106.0116.0
Point differential-2.2-0.7-7.0
Avg total214.8211.3225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game101.4105.099.0
Allowed / game96.098.594.3
Point differential+5.4+6.5+4.7
Avg total197.4203.5193.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Clippers440100%111.091.8+19.2
2 Houston Rockets65183%106.3101.2+5.2
3 Orlando Magic54180%118.0107.2+10.8
4 Memphis Grizzlies54180%100.495.2+5.2
5 San Antonio Spurs54180%99.897.4+2.4
6 Golden State Warriors64267%120.0114.2+5.8
7 Portland Trail Blazers53260%110.896.4+14.4
8 Toronto Raptors53260%111.0100.8+10.2
9 Boston Celtics53260%101.496.0+5.4
10 Detroit Pistons53260%106.4102.0+4.4
11 Washington Wizards53260%112.0110.4+1.6
12 Milwaukee Bucks53260%102.0103.2-1.2
13 New Orleans Pelicans63350%110.0108.8+1.2
14 Brooklyn Nets63350%115.3117.3-2.0
15 Miami Heat42250%106.2108.5-2.2
16 Cleveland Cavaliers63350%106.3109.5-3.2
17 Minnesota Timberwolves63350%106.8114.2-7.3
18 Oklahoma City Thunder52340%107.0102.0+5.0
19 Charlotte Hornets52340%99.299.6-0.4
20 Indiana Pacers52340%114.0115.6-1.6
21 Denver Nuggets52340%98.8100.8-2.0
22 Utah Jazz52340%94.296.4-2.2
23 Los Angeles Lakers52340%106.0111.4-5.4
24 Phoenix Suns52340%101.6117.8-16.2
25 New York Knicks41325%96.8103.0-6.2
26 Chicago Bulls41325%95.0102.2-7.2
27 Sacramento Kings51420%98.6104.0-5.4
28 Philadelphia 76ers51420%100.4108.2-7.8
29 Atlanta Hawks61517%98.5106.0-7.5
30 Dallas Mavericks61517%97.8106.7-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2619182790
Boston Celtics2126272296
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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