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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 93-83
22-24 20-15 30-21 21-23
Position#4
Record20-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game107.5
Allowed / game103.7
vs
Position#29
Record7-26
FormLLWWL
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· FTX Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
102-124
102
124
-22
94avg 101
A05/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
90-105
90
105
-15
86avg 101
H07/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
113-104
113
104
+9
89avg 101
H09/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
118-92
118
92
+26
121avg 101
H12/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
94-105
94
105
-11
86avg 101
A14/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
101-96
101
96
+5
98avg 101
A16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
115-105
115
105
+10
112avg 101
A18/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 101
A19/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
125-96
125
96
+29
124avg 101
H22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
115-112
115
112
+3
107avg 101
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-34
29-35
24-36
26-19
25-34
24-26
18-22
23-23
24-26
20-25
39-26
30-27
39-25
26-27
21-18
32-22
25-23
19-32
29-23
21-27
29-18
29-31
23-21
20-26
31-22
35-35
27-26
22-22
23-20
25-26
19-33
23-21
33-21
35-24
30-24
27-27
29-29
26-32
33-26
27-25
210.2Avg total
106.3Scored
103.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)107.5103.7211.2+3.761%
Season at home (14)109.7102.1211.8+7.671%
Season away (19)105.8104.9210.7+0.853%
Last 10 (10)106.3103.9210.2+2.460%
Last 5 (5)109.2101.8211.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)104.0107.5211.5-3.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)110.1101.6211.7+8.573%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
L
116-118
116
118
-2
111avg 92
A04/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
95-126
95
126
-31
85avg 92
A07/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
130-142
130
142
-12
121avg 92
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
104-106
104
106
-2
98avg 92
A11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
94-106
94
106
-12
79avg 92
A13/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
99-111
99
111
-12
90avg 92
H16/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
105-115
105
115
-10
93avg 92
H18/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
100-93
100
93
+7
88avg 92
A19/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
104-98
104
98
+6
96avg 92
A23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
104-110
104
110
-6
92avg 92
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
32-23
27-30
33-34
26-31
18-34
35-33
16-28
36-38
31-32
25-34
38-38
30-23
14-26
31-29
29-28
25-18
27-31
10-36
32-21
25-27
25-37
23-29
26-18
22-31
35-35
26-27
22-22
26-17
24-27
24-22
26-27
22-20
25-17
23-24
34-37
17-32
26-23
35-28
26-27
217.6Avg total
105.1Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)101.5110.8212.4-9.321%
Season at home (13)97.5110.0207.5-12.515%
Season away (20)104.2111.4215.6-7.225%
Last 10 (10)105.1112.5217.6-7.420%
Last 5 (5)102.4105.4207.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)99.9108.9208.8-9.022%
vs Similar (3)116.3123.3239.7-7.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A05/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H07/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H09/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H12/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A14/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A18/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A19/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H24/12
NBA
109.4Avg total
54.9Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.153.1106.2+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (12)51.152.8103.9-1.842%-
Last 30 away (18)54.553.2107.7+1.367%-
Last 10 (10)54.954.5109.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)59.051.6110.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)51.756.3108.0-4.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)54.549.9104.4+4.773%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A04/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
44-65
44
65
-21
A07/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A13/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
50-64
50
64
-14
H16/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H18/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A19/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H24/12
NBA
106.3Avg total
51.0Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.255.8105.0-6.623%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.956.6104.5-8.78%-
Last 30 away (18)50.155.2105.3-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)51.055.3106.3-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)49.453.2102.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)48.455.6104.0-7.222%-
vs Similar (3)56.757.3114.0-0.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.3 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.6
52.1%
53.1%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.816.1
40.5%
35.3%48.3
🏀 Free throws17.012.8
75.3%
77.4%12.8
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 105.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.626.8
51.0%
53.1%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.711.6
33.4%
35.3%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.716.7
84.8%
77.4%16.7
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLWWLWWLL
Orlando Magic
LWWLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#29
+2.5
Net rating
-7.5
109.7
Offensive rating
106.1
107.2
Defensive rating
113.6
56.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.23
40.5%
3-point %
33.4%
71.3%
Assist %
58.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 106.1Defence107.2 · 113.6Shooting56.2% · 50.6%3-point %40.5% · 33.4%Ball care15.4% · 14.3%Off. rebounds22.9% · 24.1%Free throws0.20 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/21HDetroit Pistons115-112
22/12/21HIndiana Pacers125-96
19/12/21ADetroit Pistons90-100
18/12/21AOrlando Magic115-105
16/12/21APhiladelphia 76ers101-96
14/12/21ACleveland Cavaliers94-105
12/12/21HChicago Bulls118-92
09/12/21HMilwaukee Bucks113-104
07/12/21HMemphis Grizzlies90-105
05/12/21AMilwaukee Bucks102-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/21HNew Orleans Pelicans104-110
23/12/21AAtlanta Hawks104-98
19/12/21ABrooklyn Nets100-93
18/12/21HMiami Heat105-115
16/12/21HAtlanta Hawks99-111
13/12/21ALos Angeles Lakers94-106
11/12/21ALos Angeles Clippers104-106
09/12/21ASacramento Kings130-142
07/12/21AGolden State Warriors95-126
04/12/21AHouston Rockets116-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331419
Win %61%71%53%
Points / game107.5109.7105.8
Allowed / game103.7102.1104.9
Point differential+3.7+7.6+0.8
Avg total211.2211.8210.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL21%
HomeLWLLL15%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331320
Win %21%15%25%
Points / game101.597.5104.2
Allowed / game110.8110.0111.4
Point differential-9.3-12.5-7.2
Avg total212.4207.5215.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)100% (1)0% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3327682%111.6101.2+10.4
2 Phoenix Suns3226681%111.7104.4+7.3
3 Utah Jazz3223972%116.0105.7+10.3
4 Brooklyn Nets3122971%110.1106.6+3.5
5 Chicago Bulls29191066%109.3106.3+3.1
6 Milwaukee Bucks35221363%110.5107.1+3.4
7 Miami Heat33201361%107.5103.7+3.7
8 Cleveland Cavaliers32191359%106.8101.4+5.4
9 Memphis Grizzlies33191458%110.5108.7+1.9
10 Los Angeles Clippers32171553%105.5104.8+0.8
11 Washington Wizards32171553%106.2108.4-2.2
12 Philadelphia 76ers32161650%105.4106.3-0.9
13 Charlotte Hornets34171750%114.9116.8-1.9
14 Boston Celtics33161748%108.5107.4+1.1
15 Denver Nuggets31151648%106.4106.8-0.5
16 Toronto Raptors29141548%106.4105.2+1.2
17 Los Angeles Lakers34161847%110.0112.3-2.3
18 Atlanta Hawks32151747%109.9109.1+0.8
19 Dallas Mavericks32151747%104.8105.1-0.3
20 Minnesota Timberwolves32151747%108.8109.3-0.6
21 New York Knicks33151845%106.0106.8-0.8
22 Indiana Pacers33141942%107.9107.0+0.9
23 San Antonio Spurs31131842%110.7109.8+0.9
24 Portland Trail Blazers32131941%108.1111.0-2.9
25 Sacramento Kings33132039%110.2114.0-3.8
26 New Orleans Pelicans33122136%104.8109.4-4.6
27 Oklahoma City Thunder31112035%99.6107.5-8.0
28 Houston Rockets33102330%106.8114.0-7.3
29 Orlando Magic3372621%101.5110.8-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons3152616%100.5109.5-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2220302193
Orlando Magic2415212383
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