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Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 119-112
38-24 27-27 26-22 28-39
Position#4
Record21-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game103.1
vs
Position#21
Record17-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game108.7
USANBA· FTX Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
03 Dec 2026
MIA v WAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
MIA152
WAS136
10 Mar 2026
MIA150
WAS129
13 Apr 2025
MIA118
WAS119
03 Mar 2025
MIA106
WAS90
10 Mar 2024
MIA108
WAS110
03 Nov 2023
MIA121
WAS114
25 Nov 2022
MIA110
WAS107
23 Nov 2022
MIA113
WAS105
28 Dec 2021
MIA119
WAS112
18 Nov 2021
MIA112
WAS97
05 Feb 2021
MIA122
WAS95
03 Feb 2021
MIA100
WAS103
22 Jan 2020
MIA134
WAS129
06 Dec 2019
MIA112
WAS103
04 Jan 2019
MIA115
WAS109
10 Nov 2018
MIA110
WAS116
10 Mar 2018
MIA129
WAS102
15 Nov 2017
MIA93
WAS102
12 Apr 2017
MIA110
WAS102
12 Dec 2016
MIA112
WAS101
20 Feb 2016
MIA114
WAS94
07 Dec 2015
MIA103
WAS114
19 Dec 2014
MIA103
WAS105
29 Oct 2014
MIA107
WAS95
10 Mar 2014
MIA99
WAS90
03 Nov 2013
MIA103
WAS93
06 Jan 2013
MIA99
WAS71
15 Dec 2012
MIA102
WAS72
21 Apr 2012
MIA84
WAS86
25 Feb 2011
MIA121
WAS113
29 Nov 2010
MIA105
WAS94
27 Nov 2009
MIA84
WAS94
10 Nov 2009
MIA90
WAS76
28 Jan 2009
MIA93
WAS71
14 Nov 2008
MIA97
WAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
90-105
90
105
-15
86avg 101
H07/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
113-104
113
104
+9
89avg 101
H09/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
118-92
118
92
+26
121avg 101
H12/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
94-105
94
105
-11
86avg 101
A14/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
101-96
101
96
+5
98avg 101
A16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
115-105
115
105
+10
112avg 101
A18/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 101
A19/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
125-96
125
96
+29
124avg 101
H22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
115-112
115
112
+3
107avg 101
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
93-83
93
83
+10
87avg 101
H26/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-34
24-26
18-22
23-23
24-26
20-25
39-26
30-27
39-25
26-27
21-18
32-22
25-23
19-32
29-23
21-27
29-18
29-31
23-21
20-26
31-22
35-35
27-26
22-22
23-20
25-26
19-33
23-21
33-21
35-24
30-24
27-27
29-29
26-32
33-26
27-25
22-24
20-15
30-21
21-23
205.2Avg total
105.4Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)107.0103.1210.1+3.962%
Season at home (15)108.6100.8209.4+7.873%
Season away (19)105.8104.9210.7+0.853%
Last 10 (10)105.499.8205.2+5.670%
Last 5 (5)107.699.2206.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)103.9108.5212.4-4.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)109.0100.4209.4+8.675%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
90-102
90
102
-12
84avg 105
A05/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
110-116
110
116
-6
101avg 105
A07/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
119-116 OT
119
116
+3
114avg 105
A09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
98-123
98
123
-25
81avg 105
H12/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
107-113
107
113
-6
95avg 105
A14/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
105-119
105
119
-14
91avg 105
A16/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
98-118
98
118
-20
85avg 105
A17/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
109-103
109
103
+6
101avg 105
A19/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
124-117
124
117
+7
125avg 105
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
96-117
96
117
-21
80avg 105
H26/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
30-40
26-21
22-18
18-28
29-30
31-30
32-28
27-29
25-31
37-26
17-20
24-28
27-22
18-31
29-42
22-29
19-30
29-32
37-22
32-27
25-29
32-28
16-35
23-31
27-31
21-27
27-29
27-33
29-20
28-27
25-23
31-27
26-37
33-22
34-31
31-25
24-38
17-29
24-25
220.0Avg total
105.6Scored
114.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)105.8108.7214.5-2.852%
Season at home (13)108.4109.2217.5-0.862%
Season away (20)104.2108.3212.6-4.145%
Last 10 (10)105.6114.4220.0-8.830%
Last 5 (5)106.4114.8221.2-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)105.8108.3214.1-2.453%
vs Similar (8)104.4112.6217.0-8.225%
vs Weaker (3)108.0102.3210.3+5.7100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
Miami HeatWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H07/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H09/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H12/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A14/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A18/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A19/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H26/12
NBA
105.4Avg total
53.9Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.952.7105.6+0.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.451.8102.2-1.446%-
Last 30 away (17)54.853.4108.2+1.571%-
Last 10 (10)53.951.5105.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)55.849.6105.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)51.956.6108.6-4.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)53.849.2102.9+4.675%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A05/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A07/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H12/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A14/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A16/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A17/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A19/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H26/12
NBA
109.6Avg total
50.8Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.355.4106.7-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (12)50.954.6105.5-3.733%-
Last 30 away (18)51.556.0107.5-4.539%-
Last 10 (10)50.858.8109.6-8.030%-
Last 5 (5)55.059.6114.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)51.455.5106.9-4.232%-
vs Similar (8)50.557.1107.6-6.638%-
vs Weaker (3)52.750.3103.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 105.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.5
52.5%
53.1%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.915.4
39.6%
35.3%46.2
🏀 Free throws16.412.2
74.4%
77.4%12.2
They take 83.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 105.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.430.7
53.5%
53.1%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.1
32.9%
35.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.316.9
72.5%
77.4%16.9
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWLWWLWWL
Washington Wizards
LWWLLLLWLL
#4
League position
#21
+5.8
Net rating
-9.0
110.0
Offensive rating
107.4
104.1
Defensive rating
116.4
55.7%
Effective FG%
52.1%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
11.7%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
19.5%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.6%
3-point %
32.9%
70.7%
Assist %
59.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 107.4Defence104.1 · 116.4Shooting55.7% · 52.1%3-point %39.6% · 32.9%Ball care15.4% · 11.7%Off. rebounds25.1% · 19.5%Free throws0.20 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Washington Wizards wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/21HOrlando Magic93-83
24/12/21HDetroit Pistons115-112
22/12/21HIndiana Pacers125-96
19/12/21ADetroit Pistons90-100
18/12/21AOrlando Magic115-105
16/12/21APhiladelphia 76ers101-96
14/12/21ACleveland Cavaliers94-105
12/12/21HChicago Bulls118-92
09/12/21HMilwaukee Bucks113-104
07/12/21HMemphis Grizzlies90-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/21HPhiladelphia 76ers96-117
24/12/21ANew York Knicks124-117
19/12/21AUtah Jazz109-103
17/12/21APhoenix Suns98-118
16/12/21ASacramento Kings105-119
14/12/21ADenver Nuggets107-113
12/12/21HUtah Jazz98-123
09/12/21ADetroit Pistons119-116 OT
07/12/21AIndiana Pacers110-116
05/12/21AToronto Raptors90-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341519
Win %62%73%53%
Points / game107.0108.6105.8
Allowed / game103.1100.8104.9
Point differential+3.9+7.8+0.8
Avg total210.1209.4210.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%53%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeLWLLL62%
AwayLLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331320
Win %52%62%45%
Points / game105.8108.4104.2
Allowed / game108.7109.2108.3
Point differential-2.8-0.8-4.2
Avg total214.5217.5212.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %9%15%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3327682%111.6101.2+10.4
2 Phoenix Suns3326779%111.7104.7+7.1
3 Utah Jazz3324973%115.8105.6+10.2
4 Brooklyn Nets3223972%110.5106.6+3.9
5 Chicago Bulls31211068%110.1106.6+3.5
6 Milwaukee Bucks36231364%110.9107.1+3.8
7 Miami Heat34211362%107.0103.1+3.9
8 Cleveland Cavaliers33201361%107.9101.4+6.6
9 Memphis Grizzlies35211460%111.1108.6+2.5
10 Philadelphia 76ers33171652%105.7106.0-0.2
11 Washington Wizards33171652%105.8108.7-2.8
12 Charlotte Hornets35181751%115.1116.3-1.2
13 Los Angeles Clippers34171750%105.4105.3+0.2
14 Denver Nuggets32161650%106.3106.6-0.3
15 Dallas Mavericks33161748%105.6105.5+0.2
16 Minnesota Timberwolves33161748%108.8109.2-0.4
17 Boston Celtics34161847%108.4107.4+0.9
18 Los Angeles Lakers34161847%110.0112.3-2.3
19 Toronto Raptors30141647%106.1106.5-0.4
20 Atlanta Hawks33151845%110.1109.7+0.4
21 New York Knicks33151845%106.0106.8-0.8
22 San Antonio Spurs33141942%111.5109.8+1.7
23 Indiana Pacers34142041%107.8107.2+0.6
24 Portland Trail Blazers33132039%108.4111.7-3.3
25 Sacramento Kings34132138%109.9114.4-4.5
26 Oklahoma City Thunder32122038%100.1107.7-7.6
27 New Orleans Pelicans34122235%105.0109.6-4.6
28 Houston Rockets34102429%106.5114.3-7.8
29 Orlando Magic3572820%101.2110.8-9.6
30 Detroit Pistons3252716%100.7110.5-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat38272628119
Washington Wizards24272239112
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